Jazz vs. Trail Blazers prediction: Why Portland is favored to win Monday's NBA game [1/5/2026]

The Portland Trail Blazers will face the Utah Jazz in NBA action at Moda Center on Monday, starting at 10:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Trail Blazers as the most likely winner of the Jazz vs. Trail Blazers game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Trail Blazers lineup will feature players like Deni Avdija, Shaedon Sharpe and Caleb Love, while the Jazz will look to Lauri Markkanen, Keyonte George and Brice Sensabaugh.

This article offers further insights into Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Jazz vs. Blazers prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NBA game between the Jazz and Trail Blazers 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Trail Blazers a 67% chance of defeating the Jazz. Our predicted final score has the Trail Blazers winning 122-118.

According to our model, the Jazz (+5.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 242.5 points has a 55% chance of staying under.

Jazz vs. Trail Blazers odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Jazz	Trail Blazers
Spread	+5.5 (-102)	-5.5 (-118)
Moneyline	+190	-220
Total	o242.5 (-105)	u242.5 (-114)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Jazz vs. Trail Blazers picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Jazz +5.5	-102
Moneyline	Trail Blazers	-220
Total	Under 242.5	-114

According to our best NBA bets for Monday, the top play to make on this game is Jazz +5.5 at the spread.

Jazz vs. Trail Blazers player props

Betting on Jazz vs. Trail Blazers NBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Moda Center.

Lauri Markkanen is expected to lead the Jazz with 26 points, 6 rebounds and 2 assists, while Deni Avdija is projected to have 31 points, 9 rebounds and 9 assists for the Trail Blazers.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Jazz prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Jazz are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Lauri Markkanen	26	6	2	3	43
Keyonte George	24	4	7	2	46
B. Sensabaugh	14	4	2	2	28
Jusuf Nurkic	13	9	5	1	37
Kyle Filipowski	10	6	2	1	24

Trail Blazers prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Trail Blazers:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Deni Avdija	31	9	9	3	62
Shaedon Sharpe	23	5	3	2	39
Caleb Love	14	4	3	3	28
Toumani Camara	14	5	3	3	31
Donovan Clingan	13	11	2	1	36

Jazz vs. Blazers game-day updates and essential details

Monday's game between the Trail Blazers and Jazz at Moda Center is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.

• Who: Utah Jazz vs. Portland Trail Blazers
• Date: Monday, January 5, 2026
• Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: Moda Center

Conclusion

We predict the Trail Blazers, with a 67% win probability, will likely beat the Jazz on Monday, with Deni Avdija projected for a game-high 62 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Jazz vs. Trail Blazers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.