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Jazz vs. Heat prediction: Why Miami is favored to win Monday's NBA matchup [2/9/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Utah Jazz vs Miami Heat predictions for NBA Monday.
The Miami Heat will face the Utah Jazz in NBA action at Kaseya Center on Monday, starting at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Heat as the most likely winner of the Jazz vs. Heat game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Heat lineup will feature players like Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo and Andrew Wiggins, while the Jazz will rely on Lauri Markkanen, Jaren Jackson and Brice Sensabaugh.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Jazz vs. Heat prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NBA matchup between the Jazz and Heat 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Heat a 71% chance of beating the Jazz. Our predicted final score has the Heat winning 122-115.
According to our model, the Jazz (+7.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 240.5 points has a 54% chance of staying under.
Jazz vs. Heat odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Jazz | Heat |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +7.5 (-108) | -7.5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | +240 | -295 |
| Total | o240.5 (-110) | u240.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Jazz vs. Heat picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Jazz +7.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Jazz | +240 |
| Total | Under 240.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Jazz +7.5 at the spread.
Jazz vs. Heat player props
NBA prop bets are a common way to wager on the Utah vs. Miami matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Kaseya Center.
Lauri Markkanen is expected to lead the Jazz with 21 points, 5 rebounds and 2 assists, while Norman Powell is projected to have 24 points, 4 rebounds and 3 assists for the Heat.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Jazz prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Jazz are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauri Markkanen | 21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 35 |
| Jaren Jackson | 16 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 32 |
| B. Sensabaugh | 14 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 25 |
| Ace Bailey | 14 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 27 |
| Isaiah Collier | 13 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 37 |
Heat prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Heat:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norman Powell | 24 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 38 |
| Bam Adebayo | 20 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 44 |
| Andrew Wiggins | 18 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 36 |
| Jaime Jaquez | 18 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 38 |
| Pelle Larsson | 13 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 29 |
Jazz vs. Heat game-day updates and essential details
Monday's matchup between the Heat and Jazz at Kaseya Center is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Utah Jazz vs. Miami Heat
- Date: Monday, February 9, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Kaseya Center
Conclusion
We predict the Heat, with a 71% win probability, will likely beat the Jazz on Monday, with Bam Adebayo projected for a game-high 44 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Jazz vs. Heat insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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