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Uruguay vs. Saudi Arabia 2026 World Cup early prediction with win probabilities
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get early predictions for the upcoming Uruguay vs Saudi Arabia FIFA World Cup game.
Uruguay and Saudi Arabia will meet in the group stage of the 2026 World Cup at Hard Rock Stadium on Monday, June 15.
This Group H fixture places Uruguay, hosts and winners of the inaugural World Cup in 1930, against Saudi Arabia, the nation set to host the tournament in 2034.
With 101 days until kickoff, Dimers’ trusted soccer model currently favors Uruguay to win.
For full coverage, see our interactive Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay page and World Cup predictions hub.
Uruguay vs. Saudi Arabia early predictions
Leveraging trusted machine learning and analysis, we have simulated the Uruguay vs. Saudi Arabia game as part of our World Cup predictions coverage. Here are the latest insights:
- Win probabilities: Uruguay 64.5%, Draw 21.2%, Saudi Arabia 14.3%
- Total goals (2.5): Over 51%, Under 49%
- Both teams to score: Yes 46%, No 54%
- Most likely final score: Saudi Arabia 0-1 Uruguay (13%)
As of March 6, 2026, these Saudi Arabia-Uruguay numbers and predictions reflect the latest data and insights available.
Uruguay vs. Saudi Arabia World Cup details
The FIFA World Cup matchup between Saudi Arabia and Uruguay is scheduled for June 15, 2026, with the two teams kicking off their campaigns in what is going to be the biggest ever World Cup.
- Teams: Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay
- Tournament stage: Group H
- Date: Monday, June 15, 2026
- Time: 6:00 PM ET/3:00PM PT
- Venue: Hard Rock Stadium
- Tournament odds: Who will win the World Cup?
Uruguay vs. Saudi Arabia latest odds
We've researched the best betting odds across America for this Group H game, which are listed here:
- Moneyline: Uruguay -175, Saudi Arabia +475, Draw +310
- Total goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-120/-110)
Odds subject to change as the game draws nearer.
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay picks and best bet
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Uruguay | -175 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | -110 |
We will be providing 2026 World Cup best bets all tournament long, with the early edge on this game being on Uruguay to win.
As well as being the most likely winner of the game, the edge provided on Uruguay's odds also provide the best value for bettors.
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-0 Uruguay win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia 0-1 Uruguay | 13% |
| Saudi Arabia 0-2 Uruguay | 12.5% |
| Saudi Arabia 1-1 Uruguay | 10% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 46.0% chance of both Saudi Arabia and Uruguay finding the net and a 54.0% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Conclusion: Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay prediction
Our World Cup predictions for this matchup suggest that Uruguay to win is the most likely outcome, followed by a draw, with Saudi Arabia to win as the least likely result..
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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