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Maple Leafs vs. Ducks prediction: Why Anaheim is favored to win Monday's NHL matchup [3/30/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Toronto Maple Leafs vs Anaheim Ducks predictions for NHL Monday.
NHL action continues on Monday at 10:00 PM ET as the Toronto Maple Leafs square off with the Anaheim Ducks at Honda Center.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model predicts the Ducks as the most likely winner of the Maple Leafs vs. Ducks game.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Maple Leafs vs. Ducks prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's NHL matchup between the Maple Leafs and Ducks, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Ducks a 58% chance of beating the Maple Leafs.
According to our model, the Maple Leafs (+1.5) have a 62% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Maple Leafs vs. Ducks odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Maple Leafs | Ducks |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-150) | -1.5 (+135) |
| Moneyline | +155 | -175 |
| Total | o6.5 (-135) | u6.5 (+110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Maple Leafs vs. Ducks picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Maple Leafs +1.5 | -150 |
| Moneyline | Maple Leafs | +155 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | +110 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Maple Leafs to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Maple Leafs vs. Ducks player props
Who will score a goal in Maple Leafs vs. Ducks?
According to our model, William Nylander is most likely to score an anytime goal in Maple Leafs vs. Ducks.
Our projections give Nylander a 42.7% chance of scoring a goal at Honda Center, while the star is a 9.0% chance of registering the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| William Nylander | 42.7% |
| John Tavares | 38.7% |
| Matthew Knies | 34.4% |
| Benoit-Olivier Groulx | 23.7% |
| Matias Maccelli | 23.0% |
Anaheim Ducks
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Cutter Gauthier | 33.9% |
| Chris Kreider | 33.3% |
| Leo Carlsson | 32.7% |
| Ryan Poehling | 25.8% |
| Mikael Granlund | 25.7% |
First goal scorer predictions
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| William Nylander | 9.0% |
| John Tavares | 7.8% |
| Matthew Knies | 6.0% |
| Matias Maccelli | 3.9% |
| Benoit-Olivier Groulx | 3.8% |
Anaheim Ducks
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Chris Kreider | 6.3% |
| Cutter Gauthier | 6.2% |
| Leo Carlsson | 5.8% |
| Mikael Granlund | 4.7% |
| Troy Terry | 4.5% |
Maple Leafs vs. Ducks game-day updates and essential details
Monday's game between the Ducks and Maple Leafs at Honda Center is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Anaheim Ducks
- Date: Monday, March 30, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Honda Center
Conclusion
We predict the Ducks, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat the Maple Leafs on Monday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Maple Leafs vs. Ducks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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