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Maple Leafs vs. Ducks Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Ducks NHL game on March 30, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
5
4
Mar 31, 2AM Honda Center
Mar 31, 2AM Honda Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Maple Leafs | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
Ducks | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Maple Leafs | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
Ducks | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
OT1 04:08 Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Ville Husso
OT1 03:58 Shot on goal by Troy Terry saved by Anthony Stolarz
OT1 02:56 Shot on goal by Mikael Granlund saved by Anthony Stolarz
OT1 02:39 Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Ville Husso
OT1 01:42 Shot missed by Jacob Trouba
P3 19:27 Shot on goal by Pavel Mintyukov saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 18:20 Goal scored by Leo Carlsson
P3 17:52 William Nylander shot blocked by John Carlson
P3 16:31 Power play - Mason McTavish shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 16:11 Power play - Shot missed by Mikael Granlund
P3 15:50 Shorthanded - Shot missed by Simon Benoit
P3 14:51 Power play - Shot missed by Troy Terry
P3 14:21 Shot missed by William Nylander
P3 14:17 Shot missed by Jake McCabe
P3 13:33 Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Olen Zellweger
P3 12:52 Pavel Mintyukov shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
P3 12:46 Chris Kreider shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
P3 09:58 Shot on goal by Mikael Granlund saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 09:23 Shot on goal by Easton Cowan saved by Ville Husso
P3 06:54 Power play - Shot missed by Matthew Knies
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
End of 1st OT.
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Ducks in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Ville Husso
SHOT
Shot on goal by Troy Terry saved by Anthony Stolarz
Bo Groulx won faceoff against Tim Washe in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mikael Granlund saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Ville Husso
Ryan Poehling won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Jacob Trouba
John Tavares won faceoff against Mikael Granlund in neutral zone
End of 3rd Period.
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pavel Mintyukov saved by Anthony Stolarz
Ryan Poehling won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Mikael Granlund won faceoff against Bo Groulx in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Leo Carlsson
4-4
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by John Carlson
Ryan Poehling won faceoff against Bo Groulx in defensive zone
Bo Groulx won faceoff against Tim Washe in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Mason McTavish shot blocked by Jake McCabe
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Mikael Granlund
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Simon Benoit
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Troy Terry
Power play - Mikael Granlund won faceoff against Bo Groulx in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by William Nylander
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake McCabe
SHOT
Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Olen Zellweger
SHOT
Pavel Mintyukov shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
SHOT
Chris Kreider shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
John Tavares won faceoff against Tim Washe in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
Chris Kreider credited with hit on Jake McCabe in offensive zone
Leo Carlsson won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mikael Granlund saved by Anthony Stolarz
Simon Benoit credited with hit on Beckett Sennecke in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Easton Cowan saved by Ville Husso
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Tim Washe won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in neutral zone
Stoppage - Hand Pass
Tim Washe won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Matthew Knies
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Ducks in neutral zone
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Ducks in neutral zone
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Tim Washe in offensive zone
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Ducks in neutral zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
Mikael Granlund won faceoff against Bo Groulx in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Beckett Sennecke
Mikael Granlund won faceoff against Calle Jarnkrok in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jacob Quillan saved by Ville Husso
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
John Tavares won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in neutral zone
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Ducks in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Jeffrey Viel
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Knies
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
SHOT
Shot missed by Dakota Joshua
Bo Groulx won faceoff against Mikael Granlund in neutral zone
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson
End of 2nd Period.
Mikael Granlund won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ian Moore saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bo Groulx saved by Ville Husso
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Ville Husso
SHOT
Jacob Trouba shot blocked by Easton Cowan
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jeffrey Viel saved by Anthony Stolarz
Giveaway by William Nylander in defensive zone
Mason McTavish won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Leo Carlsson saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by John Carlson saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Alex Killorn
Shorthanded - Ryan Poehling won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Net Dislodged Defensive Skater
John Tavares won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in offensive zone
Penalty to Chris Kreider 2 minutes for Misconduct
Stoppage - TV timeout
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by teammate
Bo Groulx won faceoff against Leo Carlsson in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Ryan Poehling
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Ville Husso
John Tavares won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Knies
Jacob Quillan won faceoff against Tim Washe in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
John Tavares won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in offensive zone
Penalty to Leo Carlsson 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Simon Benoit)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Chris Kreider saved by Anthony Stolarz
Bo Groulx won faceoff against Mikael Granlund in defensive zone
Penalty to Jacob Quillan 2 minutes for Misconduct
Stoppage
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Jacob Quillan
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Easton Cowan
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Tim Washe in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Jeffrey Viel credited with hit on Troy Stecher in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mikael Granlund saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shorthanded - Bo Groulx shot blocked by Leo Carlsson
SHOT
Shorthanded - Simon Benoit shot blocked by teammate
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Max Domi in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Beckett Sennecke
SHOT
Power play - Ryan Poehling shot blocked by Jake McCabe
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Simon Benoit in defensive zone
Power play - Mikael Granlund won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Leo Carlsson
Shorthanded - Bo Groulx won faceoff against Mikael Granlund in defensive zone
Penalty to Michael Pezzetta 2 minutes for Misconduct
SHOT
Shot on goal by Chris Kreider saved by Anthony Stolarz
Ryan Poehling won faceoff against Bo Groulx in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Beckett Sennecke saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot missed by Beckett Sennecke
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Ducks in neutral zone
Takeaway by Max Domi in defensive zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Shot missed by Tim Washe
Giveaway by Troy Terry in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Troy Terry saved by Anthony Stolarz
Jeffrey Viel credited with hit on Troy Stecher in offensive zone
Ryan Poehling won faceoff against Max Domi in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Bo Groulx won faceoff against Tim Washe in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Easton Cowan
John Tavares won faceoff against Mikael Granlund in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
John Tavares won faceoff against Mikael Granlund in offensive zone
SHOT
Max Domi shot blocked by Leo Carlsson
Leo Carlsson won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Ville Husso
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Easton Cowan
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in offensive zone
Jackson LaCombe credited with hit on John Tavares in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Olen Zellweger
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Carlo saved by Ville Husso
SHOT
Shot missed by Beckett Sennecke
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Ducks in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Power play - Ryan Poehling won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Cutter Gauthier assisted by Mikael Granlund and Chris Kreider
0-2
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Cutter Gauthier
Penalty to William Nylander 2 minutes for Misconduct
Penalty to Pavel Mintyukov 2 minutes for Misconduct
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by John Carlson
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Ville Husso
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Alex Killorn shot blocked by Troy Stecher
SHOT
Shot missed by Jacob Trouba
Tim Washe credited with hit on Jacob Quillan in offensive zone
Tim Washe won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in neutral zone
Max Domi won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in neutral zone
Takeaway by Leo Carlsson in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Chris Kreider
Mikael Granlund won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Beckett Sennecke saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Jackson LaCombe shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Ville Husso
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by John Carlson saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by John Carlson
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Ville Husso
Shorthanded - Troy Stecher won faceoff against Leo Carlsson in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Chris Kreider
Giveaway by John Carlson in neutral zone
Penalty to Max Domi 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Radko Gudas)
Tim Washe won faceoff against Michael Pezzetta in neutral zone
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 29 | Shots on Goal | 32 | |||
| 43% | Faceoff Win % | 58% | |||
| 5/2 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 6/1 | |||
| 61 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 32 | |||
| 28 | Hits | 15 | |||
| 15 | Shots Blocked | 10 | |||
| 15 | Giveaways | 23 |
| |
|---|
| 29 | Shots on Goal | 32 | |||
| 43% | Faceoff Win % | 58% | |||
| 5/2 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 6/1 | |||
| 61 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 32 | |||
| 28 | Hits | 15 | |||
| 15 | Shots Blocked | 10 | |||
| 15 | Giveaways | 23 |
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Maple Leafs vs. Ducks: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Ducks
- Date: Monday, March 30, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Honda Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Ducks favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs +164, Ducks -160
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Maple Leafs: 42%
- Ducks: 58%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 42%, while the Ducks have a win probability of 58%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Ducks are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at Honda Center on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Maple Leafs vs. Ducks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
