Maple Leafs vs. Ducks Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Ducks NHL game on March 30, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
Hoops season sale: $30 off Dimers Pro passes. Limited time only.
FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Maple Leafs
5
4
Honda Center
Ducks
Honda Center
TEAM123OTT
Maple Leafs
1 0 3 1 5
Ducks
2 1 1 0 4
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Maple Leafs
    100%
  • Ducks
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Maple Leafs
1 0 3 1 5
Ducks
2 1 1 0 4
OT1 04:08 Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Ville Husso
OT1 03:58 Shot on goal by Troy Terry saved by Anthony Stolarz
OT1 02:56 Shot on goal by Mikael Granlund saved by Anthony Stolarz
OT1 02:39 Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Ville Husso
OT1 01:42 Shot missed by Jacob Trouba
P3 19:27 Shot on goal by Pavel Mintyukov saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 18:20 Goal scored by Leo Carlsson
P3 17:52 William Nylander shot blocked by John Carlson
P3 16:31 Power play - Mason McTavish shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 16:11 Power play - Shot missed by Mikael Granlund
P3 15:50 Shorthanded - Shot missed by Simon Benoit
P3 14:51 Power play - Shot missed by Troy Terry
P3 14:21 Shot missed by William Nylander
P3 14:17 Shot missed by Jake McCabe
P3 13:33 Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Olen Zellweger
P3 12:52 Pavel Mintyukov shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
P3 12:46 Chris Kreider shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
P3 09:58 Shot on goal by Mikael Granlund saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 09:23 Shot on goal by Easton Cowan saved by Ville Husso
P3 06:54 Power play - Shot missed by Matthew Knies
Play by Play
  1. OT1 05:00
    End of 1st OT.
  2. OT1 04:55
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Ducks in neutral zone
  3. OT1 04:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Ville Husso
  4. OT1 03:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Troy Terry saved by Anthony Stolarz
  5. OT1 03:19
    Bo Groulx won faceoff against Tim Washe in defensive zone
  6. OT1 02:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mikael Granlund saved by Anthony Stolarz
  7. OT1 02:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Ville Husso
  8. OT1 02:08
    Ryan Poehling won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
  9. OT1 01:42
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jacob Trouba
  10. OT1 00:00
    John Tavares won faceoff against Mikael Granlund in neutral zone
  11. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  12. P3 19:29
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  13. P3 19:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pavel Mintyukov saved by Anthony Stolarz
  14. P3 19:25
    Ryan Poehling won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
  15. P3 18:21
    Mikael Granlund won faceoff against Bo Groulx in neutral zone
  16. P3 18:20
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Leo Carlsson
    4-4
  17. P3 17:52
    SHOT
    William Nylander shot blocked by John Carlson
  18. P3 17:18
    Ryan Poehling won faceoff against Bo Groulx in defensive zone
  19. P3 17:00
    Bo Groulx won faceoff against Tim Washe in neutral zone
  20. P3 16:31
    SHOT
    Power play - Mason McTavish shot blocked by Jake McCabe
  21. P3 16:14
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  22. P3 16:11
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Mikael Granlund
  23. P3 15:50
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Simon Benoit
  24. P3 14:51
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Troy Terry
  25. P3 14:46
    Power play - Mikael Granlund won faceoff against Bo Groulx in offensive zone
  26. P3 14:21
    SHOT
    Shot missed by William Nylander
  27. P3 14:17
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jake McCabe
  28. P3 13:33
    SHOT
    Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Olen Zellweger
  29. P3 12:52
    SHOT
    Pavel Mintyukov shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
  30. P3 12:46
    SHOT
    Chris Kreider shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
  31. P3 11:54
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  32. P3 11:36
    John Tavares won faceoff against Tim Washe in defensive zone
  33. P3 11:36
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  34. P3 10:40
    Chris Kreider credited with hit on Jake McCabe in offensive zone
  35. P3 10:14
    Leo Carlsson won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in neutral zone
  36. P3 09:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mikael Granlund saved by Anthony Stolarz
  37. P3 09:46
    Simon Benoit credited with hit on Beckett Sennecke in defensive zone
  38. P3 09:25
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  39. P3 09:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Easton Cowan saved by Ville Husso
  40. P3 09:18
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  41. P3 07:09
    Tim Washe won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in neutral zone
  42. P3 07:09
    Stoppage - Hand Pass
  43. P3 06:55
    Tim Washe won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in neutral zone
  44. P3 06:54
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Matthew Knies
  45. P3 06:41
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Ducks in neutral zone
  46. P3 06:40
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Ducks in neutral zone
  47. P3 06:20
    Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Tim Washe in offensive zone
  48. P3 06:11
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Ducks in neutral zone
  49. P3 06:11
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  50. P3 05:49
    Mikael Granlund won faceoff against Bo Groulx in defensive zone
  51. P3 05:26
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Beckett Sennecke
  52. P3 05:13
    Mikael Granlund won faceoff against Calle Jarnkrok in defensive zone
  53. P3 05:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jacob Quillan saved by Ville Husso
  54. P3 04:29
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  55. P3 04:07
    John Tavares won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in neutral zone
  56. P3 03:45
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Ducks in neutral zone
  57. P3 02:23
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jeffrey Viel
  58. P3 02:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matthew Knies
  59. P3 01:35
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  60. P3 01:29
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Dakota Joshua
  61. P3 00:23
    Bo Groulx won faceoff against Mikael Granlund in neutral zone
  62. P3 00:23
    Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson
  63. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  64. P2 19:31
    Mikael Granlund won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in neutral zone
  65. P2 19:31
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  66. P2 19:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ian Moore saved by Anthony Stolarz
  67. P2 18:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bo Groulx saved by Ville Husso
  68. P2 18:46
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  69. P2 18:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Ville Husso
  70. P2 18:04
    SHOT
    Jacob Trouba shot blocked by Easton Cowan
  71. P2 17:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jeffrey Viel saved by Anthony Stolarz
  72. P2 17:15
    Giveaway by William Nylander in defensive zone
  73. P2 16:41
    Mason McTavish won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in offensive zone
  74. P2 16:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Leo Carlsson saved by Anthony Stolarz
  75. P2 15:52
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by John Carlson saved by Anthony Stolarz
  76. P2 14:47
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Alex Killorn
  77. P2 14:17
    Shorthanded - Ryan Poehling won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
  78. P2 14:17
    Stoppage - Net Dislodged Defensive Skater
  79. P2 14:13
    John Tavares won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in offensive zone
  80. P2 14:13
    Penalty to Chris Kreider 2 minutes for Misconduct
  81. P2 14:13
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  82. P2 14:08
    SHOT
    William Nylander shot blocked by teammate
  83. P2 13:39
    Bo Groulx won faceoff against Leo Carlsson in neutral zone
  84. P2 13:06
    SHOT
    Power play - Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Ryan Poehling
  85. P2 12:58
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Ville Husso
  86. P2 12:25
    John Tavares won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in offensive zone
  87. P2 12:25
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  88. P2 12:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matthew Knies
  89. P2 11:33
    Jacob Quillan won faceoff against Tim Washe in neutral zone
  90. P2 11:09
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
  91. P2 11:07
    John Tavares won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in offensive zone
  92. P2 11:07
    Penalty to Leo Carlsson 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Simon Benoit)
  93. P2 10:44
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Chris Kreider saved by Anthony Stolarz
  94. P2 10:30
    Bo Groulx won faceoff against Mikael Granlund in defensive zone
  95. P2 10:30
    Penalty to Jacob Quillan 2 minutes for Misconduct
  96. P2 10:30
    Stoppage
  97. P2 10:15
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Jacob Quillan
  98. P2 09:53
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Easton Cowan
  99. P2 09:04
    Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Tim Washe in offensive zone
  100. P2 09:04
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  101. P2 08:54
    Jeffrey Viel credited with hit on Troy Stecher in offensive zone
  102. P2 08:28
    Stoppage - Icing
  103. P2 07:37
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Mikael Granlund saved by Anthony Stolarz
  104. P2 07:24
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Bo Groulx shot blocked by Leo Carlsson
  105. P2 07:15
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Simon Benoit shot blocked by teammate
  106. P2 06:22
    Shorthanded - Giveaway by Max Domi in neutral zone
  107. P2 05:17
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Beckett Sennecke
  108. P2 04:59
    SHOT
    Power play - Ryan Poehling shot blocked by Jake McCabe
  109. P2 04:12
    Shorthanded - Giveaway by Simon Benoit in defensive zone
  110. P2 03:41
    Power play - Mikael Granlund won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in offensive zone
  111. P2 03:39
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Leo Carlsson
  112. P2 02:49
    Shorthanded - Bo Groulx won faceoff against Mikael Granlund in defensive zone
  113. P2 02:49
    Penalty to Michael Pezzetta 2 minutes for Misconduct
  114. P2 02:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Chris Kreider saved by Anthony Stolarz
  115. P2 01:59
    Ryan Poehling won faceoff against Bo Groulx in offensive zone
  116. P2 01:59
    Stoppage - Icing
  117. P2 01:49
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  118. P2 01:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Beckett Sennecke saved by Anthony Stolarz
  119. P2 01:26
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Beckett Sennecke
  120. P2 01:08
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Ducks in neutral zone
  121. P2 00:47
    Takeaway by Max Domi in defensive zone
  122. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  123. P1 19:15
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tim Washe
  124. P1 18:10
    Giveaway by Troy Terry in neutral zone
  125. P1 18:03
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Troy Terry saved by Anthony Stolarz
  126. P1 17:19
    Jeffrey Viel credited with hit on Troy Stecher in offensive zone
  127. P1 16:36
    Ryan Poehling won faceoff against Max Domi in offensive zone
  128. P1 16:36
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  129. P1 15:58
    Bo Groulx won faceoff against Tim Washe in offensive zone
  130. P1 15:56
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Easton Cowan
  131. P1 15:32
    John Tavares won faceoff against Mikael Granlund in offensive zone
  132. P1 15:32
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  133. P1 15:28
    John Tavares won faceoff against Mikael Granlund in offensive zone
  134. P1 14:54
    SHOT
    Max Domi shot blocked by Leo Carlsson
  135. P1 14:18
    Leo Carlsson won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
  136. P1 14:15
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Ville Husso
  137. P1 13:42
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Easton Cowan
  138. P1 13:31
    Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in offensive zone
  139. P1 12:36
    Jackson LaCombe credited with hit on John Tavares in defensive zone
  140. P1 12:02
    SHOT
    Shot missed by John Tavares
  141. P1 11:57
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
  142. P1 11:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Olen Zellweger
  143. P1 10:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandon Carlo saved by Ville Husso
  144. P1 10:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Beckett Sennecke
  145. P1 10:07
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Ducks in neutral zone
  146. P1 09:59
    Stoppage - Offside
  147. P1 09:46
    Power play - Ryan Poehling won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
  148. P1 09:46
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Cutter Gauthier assisted by Mikael Granlund and Chris Kreider
    0-2
  149. P1 09:05
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Cutter Gauthier
  150. P1 08:56
    Penalty to William Nylander 2 minutes for Misconduct
  151. P1 08:56
    Penalty to Pavel Mintyukov 2 minutes for Misconduct
  152. P1 08:52
    SHOT
    Morgan Rielly shot blocked by John Carlson
  153. P1 08:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Ville Husso
  154. P1 08:14
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  155. P1 08:09
    SHOT
    Alex Killorn shot blocked by Troy Stecher
  156. P1 07:48
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jacob Trouba
  157. P1 07:23
    Tim Washe credited with hit on Jacob Quillan in offensive zone
  158. P1 07:12
    Tim Washe won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in neutral zone
  159. P1 06:43
    Max Domi won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in neutral zone
  160. P1 06:30
    Takeaway by Leo Carlsson in offensive zone
  161. P1 06:23
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Chris Kreider
  162. P1 05:20
    Mikael Granlund won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
  163. P1 05:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Beckett Sennecke saved by Anthony Stolarz
  164. P1 05:14
    SHOT
    Jackson LaCombe shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
  165. P1 03:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Ville Husso
  166. P1 03:03
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by John Carlson saved by Anthony Stolarz
  167. P1 02:41
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by John Carlson
  168. P1 01:27
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Ville Husso
  169. P1 01:16
    Shorthanded - Troy Stecher won faceoff against Leo Carlsson in neutral zone
  170. P1 00:38
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Chris Kreider
  171. P1 00:08
    Giveaway by John Carlson in neutral zone
  172. P1 00:03
    Penalty to Max Domi 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Radko Gudas)
  173. P1 00:00
    Tim Washe won faceoff against Michael Pezzetta in neutral zone
Stats
Maple Leafs
STATS
Ducks
29Shots on Goal32
43% Faceoff Win % 58%
5/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 6/1
61Penalty Infraction Mins32
28Hits15
15 Shots Blocked 10
15Giveaways23
Maple LeafsTOR
DucksANA
29Shots on Goal32
43% Faceoff Win % 58%
5/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 6/1
61Penalty Infraction Mins32
28Hits15
15 Shots Blocked 10
15Giveaways23

Maple Leafs vs. Ducks: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Ducks
  • Date: Monday, March 30, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Honda Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Ducks favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs 38¢, Ducks 61¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Maple Leafs: 42%
  • Ducks: 58%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 42%, while the Ducks have a win probability of 58%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Ducks are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at Honda Center on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Maple Leafs vs. Ducks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.