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Read Article Sevilla vs. Real Madrid prediction, odds, La Liga picks [5/17/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Sevilla vs Real Madrid predictions for La Liga Sunday.
Sevilla will take on Real Madrid in La Liga action on Sunday, beginning at 1:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced La Liga model predicts Real Madrid as the most likely winner of the Sevilla vs. Real Madrid game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.
Sevilla vs. Real Madrid prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's La Liga match between Sevilla and Real Madrid, forming part of our La Liga predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model suggests a 30.6% chance of Sevilla winning, a 44.6% chance for Real Madrid, and a 24.8% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 54% chance of going over, according to our model.
Sevilla vs. Real Madrid odds
We have sourced the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Sevilla | Real Madrid | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +225 | +120 | +250 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -145 | +105 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sevilla vs. Real Madrid picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Sevilla | +225 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +105 |
According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Sevilla to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Sevilla vs. Real Madrid: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| SEV 1-1 MAD | 11.7% |
| SEV 0-1 MAD | 9.3% |
| SEV 1-2 MAD | 9.2% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 56.6% chance of both sides finding the net and a 43.4% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Sevilla vs. Real Madrid game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's La Liga game between Sevilla and Real Madrid is scheduled to begin in the USA at 1:00 PM ET.
- Who: Sevilla vs. Real Madrid
- Date: Sunday, May 17, 2026
- Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Sevilla has a 30.6% win probability on Sunday, Real Madrid has a 44.6% win probability, and there is a 24.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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