Sevilla vs. Real Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Sevilla vs. Real Madrid La Liga match on May 17, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Real Madrid
1
0
Sevilla
SevillaSEV
Score Summary
Real MadridRMA
Vinicius Junior (15')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Sevilla
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Real Madrid
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    L. Agoume (Sevilla) cautioned
  2. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Madrid: A. Leiva replaces J. Bellingham
  3. 84'
    Yellow Card
    J. Sanchez (Sevilla) cautioned
  4. 80'
    Yellow Card
    A. Sanchez (Sevilla) cautioned
  5. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: I. Romero replaces Oso
  6. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Madrid: G. Garcia replaces Vinicius Junior
  7. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Madrid: T. Alexander-Arnold replaces B. Diaz
  8. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Madrid: F. Mastantuono replaces T. Pitarch
  9. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Madrid: E. Camavinga replaces A. Tchouameni
  10. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: J. Sanchez replaces J. A. Carmona
  11. 54'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: L. Agoume replaces N. Gudelj
  12. 54'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: C. Ejuke replaces R. Vargas
  13. 53'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: A. Sanchez replaces N. Maupay
  14. 48'
    Yellow Card
    N. Gudelj (Sevilla) cautioned
  15. 15'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Madrid by Vinicius Junior
    1-0

Sevilla vs. Real Madrid: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Sevilla vs. Real Madrid
  • Date: Sunday, May 17, 2026
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Sevilla +280, Real Madrid +100, draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-145/+130)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Sevilla: 30.3%
  • Real Madrid: 45.0%
  • Draw: 24.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Sevilla 1-1 Real Madrid (11.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Sevilla vs. Real Madrid? Prediction & correct score

Real Madrid is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 45.0%.

The most likely correct score is Sevilla 1-1 Real Madrid.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Sevilla vs. Real Madrid, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.