Sevilla vs. Real Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Sevilla vs. Real Madrid in the World Cup on May 17, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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Real Madrid
1
0
May 17, 1:00 PM ET
Sevilla
May 17, 1:00 PM ET
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
SevillaSEV
Score Summary
Real MadridRMA
Vinicius Junior (15')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SEV
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
RMA
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
L. Agoume (Sevilla) cautioned
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: A. Leiva replaces J. Bellingham
84'
Yellow Card
J. Sanchez (Sevilla) cautioned
80'
Yellow Card
A. Sanchez (Sevilla) cautioned
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: I. Romero replaces Oso
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: G. Garcia replaces Vinicius Junior
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: T. Alexander-Arnold replaces B. Diaz
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: F. Mastantuono replaces T. Pitarch
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: E. Camavinga replaces A. Tchouameni
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: J. Sanchez replaces J. A. Carmona
54'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: L. Agoume replaces N. Gudelj
54'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: C. Ejuke replaces R. Vargas
53'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: A. Sanchez replaces N. Maupay
48'
Yellow Card
N. Gudelj (Sevilla) cautioned
15'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Madrid by Vinicius Junior
1-0

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Sevilla vs. Real Madrid: World Cup prediction & analysis

Dimers' Sevilla vs. Real Madrid prediction is powered by a data-driven model built specifically for World Cup matches. The model projects how many goals each team is expected to score, then converts those projections into probabilities and picks across major betting markets.

Our coverage includes predictions, bets and odds for moneyline, over/under, double chance, both teams to score (BTTS), win to nil, and correct score.

The model factors in team attacking and defensive performance, recent form, opponent strength, tournament history, match location and expected player involvement to deliver consistent insights across every World Cup match.

Match overview

  • Teams: Sevilla vs. Real Madrid
  • Date: Sunday, May 17, 2026
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Tournament: 2026 FIFA World Cup

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Sevilla +280, Real Madrid +100, draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-145/+130)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Sevilla: 30.3%
  • Real Madrid: 45.0%
  • Draw: 24.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' World Cup data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Sevilla 1-1 Real Madrid (11.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Double chance probabilities
  • BTTS probabilities
  • Win to nil probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities
  • Anytime goalscorer probabilities
  • First goalscorer probabilities
  • 2+ and 3+ goals probabilities
  • Shots and shots on target projections

Unlock today's best bets for this match with a free 3-day trial—cancel anytime.

Why trust Dimers' World Cup predictions?

The Dimers betting model has already uncovered standout betting opportunities throughout the World Cup, including:

These are just a few examples of how the Dimers model has identified betting value throughout the tournament.

Read how the Dimers Pro model nailed five bold Round 1 bets, including full pre-match reasoning and breakdowns.

Explore all of our 2026 World Cup Predictions to see today's model projections and betting insights across every match.

Who will win Sevilla vs. Real Madrid? Prediction & correct score

Real Madrid is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 45.0%.

The most likely correct score is Sevilla 1-1 Real Madrid.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Sevilla vs. Real Madrid, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.