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Kings vs. Trail Blazers prediction: Why Portland is favored to win Sunday's NBA game [4/12/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Sacramento Kings vs Portland Trail Blazers predictions for NBA Sunday.
The Portland Trail Blazers will take on the Sacramento Kings in NBA action at Moda Center on Sunday, commencing at 8:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Trail Blazers as the most likely winner of the Kings vs. Trail Blazers game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Trail Blazers lineup will feature stars like Deni Avdija, Jrue Holiday and Scoot Henderson, while the Kings will be led by Maxime Raynaud, Devin Carter and Daeqwon Plowden.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Kings vs. Blazers prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NBA game between the Kings and Trail Blazers, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Trail Blazers a 90% chance of defeating the Kings. Our predicted final score has the Trail Blazers winning 120-105.
According to our model, the Kings (+17.5) have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 225.5 points has a 51% chance of going over.
Kings vs. Trail Blazers odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Kings | Trail Blazers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +17.5 (-108) | -17.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +1050 | -1700 |
| Total | o225.5 (-110) | u225.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Kings vs. Trail Blazers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Kings +17.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Kings | +1050 |
| Total | Over 225.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Kings +17.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Kings vs. Trail Blazers player props
Betting on Sacramento vs. Portland NBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Moda Center.
Maxime Raynaud is expected to lead the Kings with 16 points, 9 rebounds and 2 assists, while Deni Avdija is projected to have 27 points, 6 rebounds and 9 assists for the Trail Blazers.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Kings prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Kings are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxime Raynaud | 16 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 34 |
| Devin Carter | 15 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 35 |
| Daeqwon Plowden | 14 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 26 |
| Nique Clifford | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 31 |
| P. Achiuwa | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 26 |
Trail Blazers prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Trail Blazers:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deni Avdija | 27 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 53 |
| Jrue Holiday | 22 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 45 |
| Scoot Henderson | 20 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 37 |
| Toumani Camara | 15 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 30 |
| Donovan Clingan | 13 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 38 |
Kings vs. Blazers game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's matchup between the Trail Blazers and Kings at Moda Center is scheduled to begin at 8:30 PM ET.
- Who: Sacramento Kings vs. Portland Trail Blazers
- Date: Sunday, April 12, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: Moda Center
Conclusion
We predict the Trail Blazers, with a 90% win probability, will likely beat the Kings in Sunday's NBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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