Queretaro vs. Puebla prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [11/8/2026]

Queretaro will face Puebla in Liga MX Cup action at Estadio La Corregidora on Sunday, commencing at 7:00 PM ET.

Dimers' proven Liga MX model projects Queretaro as the most likely winner in this Queretaro vs. Puebla prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.

Queretaro vs. Puebla prediction and odds

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Sunday's Liga MX matchup between Queretaro and Puebla, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently indicates a 49.7% chance of Queretaro winning, a 25.8% chance for Puebla, and a 24.6% chance of a draw. Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 51.8% chance of going over., with a 54.0% chance that both teams score.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Puebla +320, Queretaro -130
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-148/+128)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Puebla @ +320 via DraftKings
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +128 via DraftKings

According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Queretaro 1-1 Puebla (11.6% probability)
• Queretaro 1-0 Puebla (10.5%)
• Queretaro 2-1 Puebla (9.5%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 54.0% chance of both Queretaro and Puebla finding the net and a 46.0% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Sunday's Liga MX game between Queretaro and Puebla at Estadio La Corregidora is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Queretaro vs. Puebla
• Date: Sunday, November 8, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00 PM PT
• Venue: Estadio La Corregidora
• Tournament details: 2026 Emirates NBA Cup

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Queretaro has a 49.7% win probability on Sunday, Puebla has a 25.8% win probability, and there is a 24.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Liga MX prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.