Penguins vs. Rangers prediction: Pittsburgh favored to win Saturday's NHL matchup [2/28/2026]

The NY Rangers will take on the Pittsburgh Penguins, in what is expected to be a close NHL game, at Madison Square Garden on Saturday, beginning at 12:30 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model gives the Penguins a slight edge with a 53% win probability over the Rangers.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's Penguins vs. Rangers matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Penguins vs. Rangers prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NHL game between the Penguins and Rangers 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Penguins a 53% chance of beating the Rangers.

According to our model, the Rangers (+1.5) have a 68% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal over/under has a 51% chance of going over.

Penguins vs. Rangers odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Penguins	Rangers
Puck Line	-1.5 (+198)	+1.5 (-235)
Moneyline	-120	+105
Total	o6 (-110)	u6 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Penguins vs. Rangers picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Penguins -1.5	+198
Moneyline	Penguins	-120
Total	Over 6	-110

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Penguins -1.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Penguins vs. Rangers player props

Who will score a goal in Penguins vs. Rangers?

According to our model, Mika Zibanejad is most likely to score an anytime goal in Penguins vs. Rangers.

Our projections give Zibanejad a 34.3% chance of scoring a goal at Madison Square Garden, while the star is a 6.4% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Rickard Rakell	31.2%
Bryan Rust	29.4%
Avery Hayes	27.1%
Anthony Mantha	22.4%
Evgeni Malkin	22.3%

NY Rangers

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Mika Zibanejad	34.3%
J.T. Miller	32.1%
Vincent Trocheck	28.3%
Alexis Lafreniere	26.9%
Will Cuylle	23.5%

First goal scorer predictions

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player	First Goal Probability
Rickard Rakell	6.0%
Bryan Rust	5.8%
Avery Hayes	4.8%
Yegor Chinakhov	4.0%
Anthony Mantha	4.0%

NY Rangers

Player	First Goal Probability
Mika Zibanejad	6.4%
J.T. Miller	6.3%
Vincent Trocheck	5.2%
Alexis Lafreniere	4.8%
Will Cuylle	4.2%

Penguins vs. Rangers game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's matchup between the Rangers and Penguins at Madison Square Garden is scheduled to start at 12:30 PM ET.

• Who: Pittsburgh Penguins vs. NY Rangers
• Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026
• Time: 12:30 PM ET/9:30AM PT
• Venue: Madison Square Garden

Conclusion

We predict the Penguins, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat the Rangers on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Penguins vs. Rangers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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