Penguins vs. Rangers Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Penguins vs. Rangers NHL game on February 28, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Penguins
2
3
Madison Square Garden
Rangers
Madison Square Garden
TEAM123OTT
Penguins
1 1 0 0 2
Rangers
0 1 1 0 3
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Penguins
    0%
  • Rangers
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Penguins
1 1 0 0 2
Rangers
0 1 1 0 3
OT1 04:54 Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Igor Shesterkin
OT1 04:17 Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Igor Shesterkin
OT1 04:10 Shot on goal by Alexis Lafreniere saved by Stuart Skinner
OT1 03:02 Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Igor Shesterkin
OT1 02:32 Shot on goal by Will Cuylle saved by Stuart Skinner
OT1 02:13 Shot missed by J.T. Miller
P3 19:43 Connor Clifton shot blocked by Noah Laba
P3 18:33 Shot missed by Will Borgen
P3 17:58 Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Igor Shesterkin
P3 17:25 Vladislav Gavrikov shot blocked by Connor Clifton
P3 16:12 Will Borgen shot blocked by Avery Hayes
P3 14:03 Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Igor Shesterkin
P3 13:12 Will Borgen shot blocked by Connor Clifton
P3 13:04 Shot on goal by Noah Laba saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 13:00 Braden Schneider shot blocked by Justin Brazeau
P3 11:40 Shot on goal by Will Cuylle saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 11:05 Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Igor Shesterkin
P3 10:55 Blake Lizotte shot blocked by Braden Schneider
P3 09:18 Shot missed by Conor Sheary
P3 08:52 Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Igor Shesterkin
Play by Play
  1. SO
    End of Shootout period.
  2. SO
    Shootout attempt missed by Thomas Novak
  3. SO
    Penguins won faceoff against Rangers in neutral zone
  4. SO
    Shootout attempt by J.T. Miller saved by Stuart Skinner
  5. SO
    Shootout attempt by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Igor Shesterkin
  6. SO
    Shootout Goal scored by Vincent Trocheck on Stuart Skinner
  7. OT1 05:00
    End of 1st OT.
  8. OT1 04:56
    Penguins won faceoff against Rangers in neutral zone
  9. OT1 04:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Igor Shesterkin
  10. OT1 04:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Igor Shesterkin
  11. OT1 04:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alexis Lafreniere saved by Stuart Skinner
  12. OT1 03:35
    Takeaway by Adam Fox in defensive zone
  13. OT1 03:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Igor Shesterkin
  14. OT1 02:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Will Cuylle saved by Stuart Skinner
  15. OT1 02:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by J.T. Miller
  16. OT1 00:57
    Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in offensive zone
  17. OT1 00:00
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against J.T. Miller in neutral zone
  18. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  19. P3 19:43
    SHOT
    Connor Clifton shot blocked by Noah Laba
  20. P3 18:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Will Borgen
  21. P3 17:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Igor Shesterkin
  22. P3 17:25
    SHOT
    Vladislav Gavrikov shot blocked by Connor Clifton
  23. P3 17:21
    Stoppage - Icing
  24. P3 16:19
    Avery Hayes credited with hit on Will Borgen in offensive zone
  25. P3 16:12
    SHOT
    Will Borgen shot blocked by Avery Hayes
  26. P3 16:11
    Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in offensive zone
  27. P3 14:44
    Giveaway by Thomas Novak in offensive zone
  28. P3 14:13
    Matthew Robertson credited with hit on Evgeni Malkin in defensive zone
  29. P3 14:03
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Igor Shesterkin
  30. P3 13:12
    SHOT
    Will Borgen shot blocked by Connor Clifton
  31. P3 13:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noah Laba saved by Stuart Skinner
  32. P3 13:00
    SHOT
    Braden Schneider shot blocked by Justin Brazeau
  33. P3 11:43
    Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in defensive zone
  34. P3 11:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Will Cuylle saved by Stuart Skinner
  35. P3 11:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Igor Shesterkin
  36. P3 10:55
    SHOT
    Blake Lizotte shot blocked by Braden Schneider
  37. P3 09:36
    Vladislav Gavrikov credited with hit on Bryan Rust in defensive zone
  38. P3 09:26
    J.T. Miller won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
  39. P3 09:18
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Conor Sheary
  40. P3 08:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Igor Shesterkin
  41. P3 07:25
    Connor Clifton credited with hit on Taylor Raddysh in defensive zone
  42. P3 06:54
    SHOT
    Matthew Robertson shot blocked by Kris Letang
  43. P3 05:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bryan Rust
  44. P3 05:06
    Penguins won faceoff against Rangers in neutral zone
  45. P3 04:57
    Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Avery Hayes in defensive zone
  46. P3 04:38
    Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
  47. P3 04:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by J.T. Miller saved by Stuart Skinner
  48. P3 03:54
    Thomas Novak won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in offensive zone
  49. P3 03:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor Clifton
  50. P3 03:35
    SHOT
    Noel Acciari shot blocked by teammate
  51. P3 03:02
    Connor Dewar credited with hit on Will Borgen in neutral zone
  52. P3 02:57
    Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in neutral zone
  53. P3 02:57
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Taylor Raddysh
    2-2
  54. P3 02:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Vladislav Gavrikov saved by Stuart Skinner
  55. P3 01:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matthew Robertson saved by Stuart Skinner
  56. P3 01:44
    Noah Laba won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in offensive zone
  57. P3 01:04
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Braden Schneider
  58. P3 00:05
    Giveaway by Alexis Lafreniere in neutral zone
  59. P3 00:00
    Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
  60. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  61. P2 19:49
    Penguins won faceoff against Rangers in offensive zone
  62. P2 19:47
    SHOT
    Connor Dewar shot blocked by Adam Fox
  63. P2 19:37
    Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in defensive zone
  64. P2 19:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mika Zibanejad saved by Stuart Skinner
  65. P2 18:45
    SHOT
    Scott Morrow shot blocked by Erik Karlsson
  66. P2 18:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Parker Wotherspoon saved by Igor Shesterkin
  67. P2 17:56
    Sam Carrick won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
  68. P2 17:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Igor Shesterkin
  69. P2 17:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
  70. P2 17:14
    Penguins won faceoff against Rangers in offensive zone
  71. P2 17:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Igor Shesterkin
  72. P2 16:36
    Noel Acciari won faceoff against Noah Laba in defensive zone
  73. P2 16:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Scott Morrow saved by Stuart Skinner
  74. P2 16:04
    SHOT
    Avery Hayes shot blocked by Vladislav Gavrikov
  75. P2 15:51
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  76. P2 15:37
    Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  77. P2 15:27
    J.T. Miller won faceoff against Avery Hayes in neutral zone
  78. P2 15:08
    Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
  79. P2 15:08
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  80. P2 15:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Igor Shesterkin
  81. P2 14:40
    SHOT
    Vladislav Gavrikov shot blocked by teammate
  82. P2 14:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mika Zibanejad saved by Stuart Skinner
  83. P2 14:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Igor Shesterkin
  84. P2 13:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Conor Sheary saved by Stuart Skinner
  85. P2 12:55
    SHOT
    Matthew Robertson shot blocked by Connor Dewar
  86. P2 12:08
    Will Cuylle credited with hit on Rickard Rakell in offensive zone
  87. P2 12:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Adam Fox
  88. P2 12:02
    Penguins won faceoff against Rangers in defensive zone
  89. P2 11:52
    SHOT
    Shot missed by J.T. Miller
  90. P2 11:14
    Yegor Chinakhov credited with hit on Will Borgen in offensive zone
  91. P2 11:04
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Penguins
  92. P2 10:34
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Conor Sheary
  93. P2 10:19
    Noah Laba won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
  94. P2 10:19
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  95. P2 10:00
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Mika Zibanejad assisted by Vincent Trocheck and J.T. Miller
    2-1
  96. P2 09:09
    Penalty to Rickard Rakell 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Will Cuylle)
  97. P2 08:40
    Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
  98. P2 08:40
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  99. P2 08:04
    Taylor Raddysh won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
  100. P2 08:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Igor Shesterkin
  101. P2 07:53
    SHOT
    Vladislav Gavrikov shot blocked by Connor Clifton
  102. P2 07:46
    Thomas Novak won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in defensive zone
  103. P2 07:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mika Zibanejad saved by Stuart Skinner
  104. P2 07:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adam Fox saved by Stuart Skinner
  105. P2 05:59
    SHOT
    Alexis Lafreniere shot blocked by teammate
  106. P2 05:57
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  107. P2 05:55
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alexis Lafreniere
  108. P2 05:51
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  109. P2 05:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mika Zibanejad saved by Stuart Skinner
  110. P2 05:26
    Stoppage - Offside
  111. P2 05:21
    Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
  112. P2 04:28
    Brendan Brisson credited with hit on Thomas Novak in offensive zone
  113. P2 04:25
    SHOT
    Will Borgen shot blocked by Thomas Novak
  114. P2 04:12
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Noah Laba
  115. P2 04:02
    Noah Laba won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
  116. P2 03:14
    J.T. Miller credited with hit on Parker Wotherspoon in offensive zone
  117. P2 03:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Adam Fox
  118. P2 01:59
    Sam Carrick won faceoff against Noel Acciari in neutral zone
  119. P2 01:04
    Matthew Robertson credited with hit on Avery Hayes in defensive zone
  120. P2 00:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Thomas Novak
  121. P2 00:00
    Shorthanded - J.T. Miller won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in neutral zone
  122. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  123. P1 19:57
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Anthony Mantha
  124. P1 19:07
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Igor Shesterkin
  125. P1 18:30
    Shorthanded - Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
  126. P1 18:22
    SHOT
    Kris Letang shot blocked by Noah Laba
  127. P1 17:54
    SHOT
    Power play - Will Cuylle shot blocked by Samuel Girard
  128. P1 16:47
    SHOT
    Power play - Adam Fox shot blocked by Ben Kindel
  129. P1 15:59
    Noel Acciari won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in defensive zone
  130. P1 15:59
    Penalty to Blake Lizotte 2 minutes for Slashing
  131. P1 15:45
    Blake Lizotte won faceoff against J.T. Miller in offensive zone
  132. P1 15:45
    Stoppage - Icing
  133. P1 15:07
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Will Cuylle
  134. P1 14:59
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Adam Fox
  135. P1 14:18
    Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
  136. P1 14:18
    Stoppage - Offside
  137. P1 14:11
    Penguins won faceoff against Rangers in neutral zone
  138. P1 14:11
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  139. P1 13:23
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bryan Rust
  140. P1 13:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Igor Shesterkin
  141. P1 12:00
    Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in neutral zone
  142. P1 12:00
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  143. P1 11:21
    SHOT
    Tye Kartye shot blocked by Connor Clifton
  144. P1 10:15
    SHOT
    Braden Schneider shot blocked by teammate
  145. P1 10:13
    Sam Carrick won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
  146. P1 10:06
    SHOT
    Braden Schneider shot blocked by Justin Brazeau
  147. P1 09:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Parker Wotherspoon saved by Igor Shesterkin
  148. P1 09:15
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Thomas Novak
  149. P1 08:54
    Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
  150. P1 08:25
    J.T. Miller won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
  151. P1 07:57
    Noah Laba won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in neutral zone
  152. P1 07:57
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
  153. P1 07:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alexis Lafreniere saved by Stuart Skinner
  154. P1 06:38
    SHOT
    Evgeni Malkin shot blocked by Scott Morrow
  155. P1 05:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Avery Hayes
  156. P1 04:58
    Will Cuylle credited with hit on Samuel Girard in defensive zone
  157. P1 04:34
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Igor Shesterkin
  158. P1 04:22
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Igor Shesterkin
  159. P1 03:45
    SHOT
    Power play - Bryan Rust shot blocked by Braden Schneider
  160. P1 03:00
    Shorthanded - Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in neutral zone
  161. P1 03:00
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Bryan Rust assisted by Evgeni Malkin and Erik Karlsson
    2-0
  162. P1 02:41
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Igor Shesterkin
  163. P1 02:36
    Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in offensive zone
  164. P1 02:08
    Noah Laba won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
  165. P1 02:00
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
  166. P1 01:28
    Power play - Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in offensive zone
  167. P1 01:26
    SHOT
    Avery Hayes shot blocked by teammate
  168. P1 01:15
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Avery Hayes
  169. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Penguins
STATS
Rangers
33Shots on Goal25
23% Faceoff Win % 77%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/1
4Penalty Infraction Mins16
15Hits28
19 Shots Blocked 11
15Giveaways16
PenguinsPIT
RangersNYR
33Shots on Goal25
23% Faceoff Win % 77%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/1
4Penalty Infraction Mins16
15Hits28
19 Shots Blocked 11
15Giveaways16

Penguins vs. Rangers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Penguins vs. Rangers
  • Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Madison Square Garden

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Penguins favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Penguins -120, Rangers +106

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Penguins: 53%
  • Rangers: 47%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Penguins a win probability of 53%, while the Rangers have a win probability of 47%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Penguins are more likely to beat the Rangers in the NHL game at Madison Square Garden on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Penguins vs. Rangers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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