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Penguins vs. Rangers Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Penguins vs. Rangers NHL game on February 28, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
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NHL
Penguins
2
3
Feb 28, 5:30PM Madison Square Garden
Rangers
Feb 28, 5:30PM Madison Square Garden
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123OTT
Penguins
1 1 0 0 2
Rangers
0 1 1 0 3
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
PenguinsPIT
Win %
0%
100%
RangersNYR
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Penguins
1 1 0 0 2
Rangers
0 1 1 0 3
OT1 04:54 Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Igor Shesterkin
OT1 04:17 Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Igor Shesterkin
OT1 04:10 Shot on goal by Alexis Lafreniere saved by Stuart Skinner
OT1 03:02 Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Igor Shesterkin
OT1 02:32 Shot on goal by Will Cuylle saved by Stuart Skinner
OT1 02:13 Shot missed by J.T. Miller
P3 19:43 Connor Clifton shot blocked by Noah Laba
P3 18:33 Shot missed by Will Borgen
P3 17:58 Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Igor Shesterkin
P3 17:25 Vladislav Gavrikov shot blocked by Connor Clifton
P3 16:12 Will Borgen shot blocked by Avery Hayes
P3 14:03 Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Igor Shesterkin
P3 13:12 Will Borgen shot blocked by Connor Clifton
P3 13:04 Shot on goal by Noah Laba saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 13:00 Braden Schneider shot blocked by Justin Brazeau
P3 11:40 Shot on goal by Will Cuylle saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 11:05 Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Igor Shesterkin
P3 10:55 Blake Lizotte shot blocked by Braden Schneider
P3 09:18 Shot missed by Conor Sheary
P3 08:52 Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Igor Shesterkin
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
SO
End of Shootout period.
SO
Shootout attempt missed by Thomas Novak
SO
Penguins won faceoff against Rangers in neutral zone
SO
Shootout attempt by J.T. Miller saved by Stuart Skinner
SO
Shootout attempt by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Igor Shesterkin
SO
Shootout Goal scored by Vincent Trocheck on Stuart Skinner
OT1 05:00
End of 1st OT.
OT1 04:56
Penguins won faceoff against Rangers in neutral zone
OT1 04:54
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Igor Shesterkin
OT1 04:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Igor Shesterkin
OT1 04:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexis Lafreniere saved by Stuart Skinner
OT1 03:35
Takeaway by Adam Fox in defensive zone
OT1 03:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Igor Shesterkin
OT1 02:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by Will Cuylle saved by Stuart Skinner
OT1 02:13
SHOT
Shot missed by J.T. Miller
OT1 00:57
Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in offensive zone
OT1 00:00
Ben Kindel won faceoff against J.T. Miller in neutral zone
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:43
SHOT
Connor Clifton shot blocked by Noah Laba
P3 18:33
SHOT
Shot missed by Will Borgen
P3 17:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Igor Shesterkin
P3 17:25
SHOT
Vladislav Gavrikov shot blocked by Connor Clifton
P3 17:21
Stoppage - Icing
P3 16:19
Avery Hayes credited with hit on Will Borgen in offensive zone
P3 16:12
SHOT
Will Borgen shot blocked by Avery Hayes
P3 16:11
Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in offensive zone
P3 14:44
Giveaway by Thomas Novak in offensive zone
P3 14:13
Matthew Robertson credited with hit on Evgeni Malkin in defensive zone
P3 14:03
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Igor Shesterkin
P3 13:12
SHOT
Will Borgen shot blocked by Connor Clifton
P3 13:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Laba saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 13:00
SHOT
Braden Schneider shot blocked by Justin Brazeau
P3 11:43
Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in defensive zone
P3 11:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Will Cuylle saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 11:05
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Igor Shesterkin
P3 10:55
SHOT
Blake Lizotte shot blocked by Braden Schneider
P3 09:36
Vladislav Gavrikov credited with hit on Bryan Rust in defensive zone
P3 09:26
J.T. Miller won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
P3 09:18
SHOT
Shot missed by Conor Sheary
P3 08:52
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Igor Shesterkin
P3 07:25
Connor Clifton credited with hit on Taylor Raddysh in defensive zone
P3 06:54
SHOT
Matthew Robertson shot blocked by Kris Letang
P3 05:22
SHOT
Shot missed by Bryan Rust
P3 05:06
Penguins won faceoff against Rangers in neutral zone
P3 04:57
Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Avery Hayes in defensive zone
P3 04:38
Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
P3 04:33
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.T. Miller saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 03:54
Thomas Novak won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in offensive zone
P3 03:46
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor Clifton
P3 03:35
SHOT
Noel Acciari shot blocked by teammate
P3 03:02
Connor Dewar credited with hit on Will Borgen in neutral zone
P3 02:57
Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in neutral zone
P3 02:57
GOAL
Goal scored by Taylor Raddysh
2-2
P3 02:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Vladislav Gavrikov saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 01:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Robertson saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 01:44
Noah Laba won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in offensive zone
P3 01:04
SHOT
Shot missed by Braden Schneider
P3 00:05
Giveaway by Alexis Lafreniere in neutral zone
P3 00:00
Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:49
Penguins won faceoff against Rangers in offensive zone
P2 19:47
SHOT
Connor Dewar shot blocked by Adam Fox
P2 19:37
Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in defensive zone
P2 19:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mika Zibanejad saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 18:45
SHOT
Scott Morrow shot blocked by Erik Karlsson
P2 18:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by Parker Wotherspoon saved by Igor Shesterkin
P2 17:56
Sam Carrick won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
P2 17:54
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Igor Shesterkin
P2 17:16
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
P2 17:14
Penguins won faceoff against Rangers in offensive zone
P2 17:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Igor Shesterkin
P2 16:36
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Noah Laba in defensive zone
P2 16:34
SHOT
Shot on goal by Scott Morrow saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 16:04
SHOT
Avery Hayes shot blocked by Vladislav Gavrikov
P2 15:51
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P2 15:37
Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
P2 15:27
J.T. Miller won faceoff against Avery Hayes in neutral zone
P2 15:08
Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
P2 15:08
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 15:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Igor Shesterkin
P2 14:40
SHOT
Vladislav Gavrikov shot blocked by teammate
P2 14:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mika Zibanejad saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 14:00
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Igor Shesterkin
P2 13:48
SHOT
Shot on goal by Conor Sheary saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 12:55
SHOT
Matthew Robertson shot blocked by Connor Dewar
P2 12:08
Will Cuylle credited with hit on Rickard Rakell in offensive zone
P2 12:05
SHOT
Shot missed by Adam Fox
P2 12:02
Penguins won faceoff against Rangers in defensive zone
P2 11:52
SHOT
Shot missed by J.T. Miller
P2 11:14
Yegor Chinakhov credited with hit on Will Borgen in offensive zone
P2 11:04
SHOT
Shot missed by Penguins
P2 10:34
SHOT
Shot missed by Conor Sheary
P2 10:19
Noah Laba won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
P2 10:19
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P2 10:00
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Mika Zibanejad assisted by Vincent Trocheck and J.T. Miller
2-1
P2 09:09
Penalty to Rickard Rakell 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Will Cuylle)
P2 08:40
Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
P2 08:40
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 08:04
Taylor Raddysh won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
P2 08:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Igor Shesterkin
P2 07:53
SHOT
Vladislav Gavrikov shot blocked by Connor Clifton
P2 07:46
Thomas Novak won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in defensive zone
P2 07:45
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mika Zibanejad saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 07:38
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Fox saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 05:59
SHOT
Alexis Lafreniere shot blocked by teammate
P2 05:57
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P2 05:55
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexis Lafreniere
P2 05:51
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 05:49
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mika Zibanejad saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 05:26
Stoppage - Offside
P2 05:21
Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
P2 04:28
Brendan Brisson credited with hit on Thomas Novak in offensive zone
P2 04:25
SHOT
Will Borgen shot blocked by Thomas Novak
P2 04:12
SHOT
Shot missed by Noah Laba
P2 04:02
Noah Laba won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
P2 03:14
J.T. Miller credited with hit on Parker Wotherspoon in offensive zone
P2 03:00
SHOT
Shot missed by Adam Fox
P2 01:59
Sam Carrick won faceoff against Noel Acciari in neutral zone
P2 01:04
Matthew Robertson credited with hit on Avery Hayes in defensive zone
P2 00:50
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Novak
P2 00:00
Shorthanded - J.T. Miller won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:57
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Anthony Mantha
P1 19:07
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Igor Shesterkin
P1 18:30
Shorthanded - Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
P1 18:22
SHOT
Kris Letang shot blocked by Noah Laba
P1 17:54
SHOT
Power play - Will Cuylle shot blocked by Samuel Girard
P1 16:47
SHOT
Power play - Adam Fox shot blocked by Ben Kindel
P1 15:59
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in defensive zone
P1 15:59
Penalty to Blake Lizotte 2 minutes for Slashing
P1 15:45
Blake Lizotte won faceoff against J.T. Miller in offensive zone
P1 15:45
Stoppage - Icing
P1 15:07
SHOT
Shot missed by Will Cuylle
P1 14:59
SHOT
Shot missed by Adam Fox
P1 14:18
Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
P1 14:18
Stoppage - Offside
P1 14:11
Penguins won faceoff against Rangers in neutral zone
P1 14:11
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P1 13:23
SHOT
Shot missed by Bryan Rust
P1 13:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Igor Shesterkin
P1 12:00
Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in neutral zone
P1 12:00
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P1 11:21
SHOT
Tye Kartye shot blocked by Connor Clifton
P1 10:15
SHOT
Braden Schneider shot blocked by teammate
P1 10:13
Sam Carrick won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
P1 10:06
SHOT
Braden Schneider shot blocked by Justin Brazeau
P1 09:33
SHOT
Shot on goal by Parker Wotherspoon saved by Igor Shesterkin
P1 09:15
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Novak
P1 08:54
Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
P1 08:25
J.T. Miller won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
P1 07:57
Noah Laba won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in neutral zone
P1 07:57
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
P1 07:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexis Lafreniere saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 06:38
SHOT
Evgeni Malkin shot blocked by Scott Morrow
P1 05:50
SHOT
Shot missed by Avery Hayes
P1 04:58
Will Cuylle credited with hit on Samuel Girard in defensive zone
P1 04:34
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Igor Shesterkin
P1 04:22
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Igor Shesterkin
P1 03:45
SHOT
Power play - Bryan Rust shot blocked by Braden Schneider
P1 03:00
Shorthanded - Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in neutral zone
P1 03:00
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Bryan Rust assisted by Evgeni Malkin and Erik Karlsson
2-0
P1 02:41
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Igor Shesterkin
P1 02:36
Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in offensive zone
P1 02:08
Noah Laba won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
P1 02:00
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
P1 01:28
Power play - Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in offensive zone
P1 01:26
SHOT
Avery Hayes shot blocked by teammate
P1 01:15
SHOT
Shot missed by Avery Hayes
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Penguins
STATS
Rangers
33Shots on Goal25
23% Faceoff Win % 77%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/1
4Penalty Infraction Mins16
15Hits28
19Shots Blocked11
15Giveaways16
PenguinsPIT
RangersNYR
33Shots on Goal25
23% Faceoff Win % 77%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/1
4Penalty Infraction Mins16
15Hits28
19Shots Blocked11
15Giveaways16

Game Prediction Article

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Penguins vs. Rangers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Penguins vs. Rangers
  • Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Madison Square Garden

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Penguins favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Penguins -120, Rangers +106

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Penguins: 53%
  • Rangers: 47%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Penguins a win probability of 53%, while the Rangers have a win probability of 47%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Penguins are more likely to beat the Rangers in the NHL game at Madison Square Garden on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Penguins vs. Rangers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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