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Penguins vs. Rangers Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Penguins vs. Rangers NHL game on February 28, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
2
3
Feb 28, 5:30PM Madison Square Garden
Feb 28, 5:30PM Madison Square Garden
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Penguins | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Rangers | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Penguins | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Rangers | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
OT1 04:54 Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Igor Shesterkin
OT1 04:17 Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Igor Shesterkin
OT1 04:10 Shot on goal by Alexis Lafreniere saved by Stuart Skinner
OT1 03:02 Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Igor Shesterkin
OT1 02:32 Shot on goal by Will Cuylle saved by Stuart Skinner
OT1 02:13 Shot missed by J.T. Miller
P3 19:43 Connor Clifton shot blocked by Noah Laba
P3 18:33 Shot missed by Will Borgen
P3 17:58 Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Igor Shesterkin
P3 17:25 Vladislav Gavrikov shot blocked by Connor Clifton
P3 16:12 Will Borgen shot blocked by Avery Hayes
P3 14:03 Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Igor Shesterkin
P3 13:12 Will Borgen shot blocked by Connor Clifton
P3 13:04 Shot on goal by Noah Laba saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 13:00 Braden Schneider shot blocked by Justin Brazeau
P3 11:40 Shot on goal by Will Cuylle saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 11:05 Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Igor Shesterkin
P3 10:55 Blake Lizotte shot blocked by Braden Schneider
P3 09:18 Shot missed by Conor Sheary
P3 08:52 Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Igor Shesterkin
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
End of Shootout period.
Shootout attempt missed by Thomas Novak
Penguins won faceoff against Rangers in neutral zone
Shootout attempt by J.T. Miller saved by Stuart Skinner
Shootout attempt by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Igor Shesterkin
Shootout Goal scored by Vincent Trocheck on Stuart Skinner
End of 1st OT.
Penguins won faceoff against Rangers in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Igor Shesterkin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Igor Shesterkin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexis Lafreniere saved by Stuart Skinner
Takeaway by Adam Fox in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Igor Shesterkin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Will Cuylle saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Shot missed by J.T. Miller
Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in offensive zone
Ben Kindel won faceoff against J.T. Miller in neutral zone
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Connor Clifton shot blocked by Noah Laba
SHOT
Shot missed by Will Borgen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Igor Shesterkin
SHOT
Vladislav Gavrikov shot blocked by Connor Clifton
Stoppage - Icing
Avery Hayes credited with hit on Will Borgen in offensive zone
SHOT
Will Borgen shot blocked by Avery Hayes
Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in offensive zone
Giveaway by Thomas Novak in offensive zone
Matthew Robertson credited with hit on Evgeni Malkin in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Igor Shesterkin
SHOT
Will Borgen shot blocked by Connor Clifton
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Laba saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Braden Schneider shot blocked by Justin Brazeau
Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Will Cuylle saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Igor Shesterkin
SHOT
Blake Lizotte shot blocked by Braden Schneider
Vladislav Gavrikov credited with hit on Bryan Rust in defensive zone
J.T. Miller won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Conor Sheary
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Igor Shesterkin
Connor Clifton credited with hit on Taylor Raddysh in defensive zone
SHOT
Matthew Robertson shot blocked by Kris Letang
SHOT
Shot missed by Bryan Rust
Penguins won faceoff against Rangers in neutral zone
Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Avery Hayes in defensive zone
Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.T. Miller saved by Stuart Skinner
Thomas Novak won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor Clifton
SHOT
Noel Acciari shot blocked by teammate
Connor Dewar credited with hit on Will Borgen in neutral zone
Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Taylor Raddysh
2-2
SHOT
Shot on goal by Vladislav Gavrikov saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Robertson saved by Stuart Skinner
Noah Laba won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Braden Schneider
Giveaway by Alexis Lafreniere in neutral zone
Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
Penguins won faceoff against Rangers in offensive zone
SHOT
Connor Dewar shot blocked by Adam Fox
Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mika Zibanejad saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Scott Morrow shot blocked by Erik Karlsson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Parker Wotherspoon saved by Igor Shesterkin
Sam Carrick won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Igor Shesterkin
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
Penguins won faceoff against Rangers in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Igor Shesterkin
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Noah Laba in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Scott Morrow saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Avery Hayes shot blocked by Vladislav Gavrikov
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
J.T. Miller won faceoff against Avery Hayes in neutral zone
Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Igor Shesterkin
SHOT
Vladislav Gavrikov shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mika Zibanejad saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Igor Shesterkin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Conor Sheary saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Matthew Robertson shot blocked by Connor Dewar
Will Cuylle credited with hit on Rickard Rakell in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Adam Fox
Penguins won faceoff against Rangers in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by J.T. Miller
Yegor Chinakhov credited with hit on Will Borgen in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Penguins
SHOT
Shot missed by Conor Sheary
Noah Laba won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Mika Zibanejad assisted by Vincent Trocheck and J.T. Miller
2-1
Penalty to Rickard Rakell 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Will Cuylle)
Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Taylor Raddysh won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Igor Shesterkin
SHOT
Vladislav Gavrikov shot blocked by Connor Clifton
Thomas Novak won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mika Zibanejad saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Fox saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Alexis Lafreniere shot blocked by teammate
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexis Lafreniere
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mika Zibanejad saved by Stuart Skinner
Stoppage - Offside
Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
Brendan Brisson credited with hit on Thomas Novak in offensive zone
SHOT
Will Borgen shot blocked by Thomas Novak
SHOT
Shot missed by Noah Laba
Noah Laba won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
J.T. Miller credited with hit on Parker Wotherspoon in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Adam Fox
Sam Carrick won faceoff against Noel Acciari in neutral zone
Matthew Robertson credited with hit on Avery Hayes in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Novak
Shorthanded - J.T. Miller won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Anthony Mantha
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Igor Shesterkin
Shorthanded - Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
SHOT
Kris Letang shot blocked by Noah Laba
SHOT
Power play - Will Cuylle shot blocked by Samuel Girard
SHOT
Power play - Adam Fox shot blocked by Ben Kindel
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in defensive zone
Penalty to Blake Lizotte 2 minutes for Slashing
Blake Lizotte won faceoff against J.T. Miller in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Will Cuylle
SHOT
Shot missed by Adam Fox
Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
Stoppage - Offside
Penguins won faceoff against Rangers in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Bryan Rust
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Igor Shesterkin
Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
SHOT
Tye Kartye shot blocked by Connor Clifton
SHOT
Braden Schneider shot blocked by teammate
Sam Carrick won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
SHOT
Braden Schneider shot blocked by Justin Brazeau
SHOT
Shot on goal by Parker Wotherspoon saved by Igor Shesterkin
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Novak
Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
J.T. Miller won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
Noah Laba won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexis Lafreniere saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Evgeni Malkin shot blocked by Scott Morrow
SHOT
Shot missed by Avery Hayes
Will Cuylle credited with hit on Samuel Girard in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Igor Shesterkin
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Igor Shesterkin
SHOT
Power play - Bryan Rust shot blocked by Braden Schneider
Shorthanded - Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Bryan Rust assisted by Evgeni Malkin and Erik Karlsson
2-0
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Igor Shesterkin
Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in offensive zone
Noah Laba won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
Power play - Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in offensive zone
SHOT
Avery Hayes shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot missed by Avery Hayes
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 33 | Shots on Goal | 25 | |||
| 23% | Faceoff Win % | 77% | |||
| 3/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/1 | |||
| 4 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 16 | |||
| 15 | Hits | 28 | |||
| 19 | Shots Blocked | 11 | |||
| 15 | Giveaways | 16 |
| |
|---|
| 33 | Shots on Goal | 25 | |||
| 23% | Faceoff Win % | 77% | |||
| 3/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/1 | |||
| 4 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 16 | |||
| 15 | Hits | 28 | |||
| 19 | Shots Blocked | 11 | |||
| 15 | Giveaways | 16 |
Game Prediction Article
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Penguins vs. Rangers: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Penguins vs. Rangers
- Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026
- Time: 12:30 PM ET
- Venue: Madison Square Garden
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Penguins favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6
- Moneyline Odds: Penguins -120, Rangers +106
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Penguins: 53%
- Rangers: 47%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Penguins a win probability of 53%, while the Rangers have a win probability of 47%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Penguins are more likely to beat the Rangers in the NHL game at Madison Square Garden on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Penguins vs. Rangers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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