Suns vs. Timberwolves prediction: Why Minnesota is favored to win Tuesday's NBA matchup [3/17/2026]

The Minnesota Timberwolves will take on the Phoenix Suns in NBA action at Target Center on Tuesday, commencing at 8:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Timberwolves as the most likely winner of the Suns vs. Timberwolves game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Timberwolves lineup will feature stars like Julius Randle, Ayo Dosunmu and Jaden McDaniels, while the Suns will look to Devin Booker, Jalen Green and Collin Gillespie.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Suns vs. Wolves prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NBA game between the Suns and Timberwolves 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Timberwolves a 63% chance of beating the Suns. Our predicted final score has the Timberwolves winning 112-108.

According to our model, the Suns (+3.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 221.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Suns vs. Timberwolves odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Suns	Timberwolves
Spread	+3.5 (-105)	-3.5 (-110)
Moneyline	+142	-165
Total	o221.5 (-108)	u221.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Suns vs. Timberwolves picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Suns +3.5	-105
Moneyline	Timberwolves	-165
Total	Over 221.5	-108

According to our best NBA bets for Tuesday, the top play to make on this game is Suns +3.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Suns vs. Timberwolves player props

Looking for Suns vs. Timberwolves NBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Target Center.

Devin Booker is expected to lead the Suns with 25 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists, while Julius Randle is projected to have 22 points, 7 rebounds and 5 assists for the Timberwolves.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Suns prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Suns are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Devin Booker	25	4	6	2	45
Jalen Green	20	5	3	3	37
C. Gillespie	13	4	4	3	29
Royce O'Neale	10	5	3	2	25
Jordan Goodwin	10	5	2	1	23

Timberwolves prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Timberwolves:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Julius Randle	22	7	5	1	44
Ayo Dosunmu	16	4	4	2	30
Jaden McDaniels	14	4	3	1	29
Naz Reid	13	6	3	2	31
D. DiVincenzo	13	5	4	3	31

Suns vs. Wolves game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's action between the Timberwolves and Suns at Target Center is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET.

• Who: Phoenix Suns vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
• Date: Tuesday, March 17, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: Target Center

Conclusion

We predict the Timberwolves, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat the Suns on Tuesday, with Devin Booker projected for a game-high 45 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Suns vs. Timberwolves insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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