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Suns vs. Pacers prediction: Why Phoenix is favored to win Thursday's NBA matchup [3/12/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Phoenix Suns vs Indiana Pacers predictions for NBA Thursday.
The Indiana Pacers and Phoenix Suns are scheduled to meet in NBA action at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Thursday, with tipoff at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model projects the Suns as the most likely winner of the Suns vs. Pacers game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Pacers lineup will feature players like Andrew Nembhard, Jarace Walker and Jay Huff, while the Suns will be led by Devin Booker, Jalen Green and Collin Gillespie.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Suns vs. Pacers prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NBA matchup between the Suns and Pacers 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Suns a 76% chance of beating the Pacers. Our predicted final score has the Suns winning 115-107.
According to our model, the Pacers (+8.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 222.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of going over.
Suns vs. Pacers odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Suns | Pacers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -8.5 (-118) | +8.5 (-102) |
| Moneyline | -410 | +340 |
| Total | o222.5 (-110) | u222.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Suns vs. Pacers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Pacers +8.5 | -102 |
| Moneyline | Pacers | +340 |
| Total | Under 222.5 | -105 |
According to our best NBA bets for Thursday, the top play to make on this game is Pacers +8.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Suns vs. Pacers player props
NBA prop bets are an exciting way to wager on the Suns vs. Pacers game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
Devin Booker is expected to lead the Suns with 26 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists, while Andrew Nembhard is projected to have 17 points, 3 rebounds and 6 assists for the Pacers.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Suns prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Suns are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker | 26 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 46 |
| Jalen Green | 19 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 36 |
| C. Gillespie | 16 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 36 |
| Royce O'Neale | 11 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 26 |
| Oso Ighodaro | 8 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 28 |
Pacers prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Pacers:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nembhard | 17 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 34 |
| Jarace Walker | 16 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 34 |
| Jay Huff | 11 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 26 |
| Micah Potter | 11 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 26 |
| Kobe Brown | 11 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 27 |
Suns vs. Pacers game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's game between the Pacers and Suns at Gainbridge Fieldhouse is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Phoenix Suns vs. Indiana Pacers
- Date: Thursday, March 12, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Conclusion
We predict the Suns, with a 76% win probability, will likely beat the Pacers on Thursday, with Devin Booker projected for a game-high 46 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Suns vs. Pacers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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