Senators vs. Flyers prediction: Why Ottawa is favored to win Thursday's NHL matchup [2/5/2026]

The Philadelphia Flyers will square off with the Ottawa Senators, in what is expected to be a close NHL game, at Xfinity Mobile Arena on Thursday, beginning at 7:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model gives the Senators a slight edge with a 54% win probability over the Flyers.

This article offers a closer look at Thursday's Senators vs. Flyers matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Senators vs. Flyers prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NHL matchup between the Senators and Flyers 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Senators a 54% chance of beating the Flyers.

According to our model, the Flyers (+1.5) have a 66% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of six goals has a 55% chance of going over.

Senators vs. Flyers odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Senators	Flyers
Puck Line	-1.5 (+180)	+1.5 (-218)
Moneyline	-128	+110
Total	o6 (-120)	u6 (+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Senators vs. Flyers picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Senators -1.5	+180
Moneyline	Flyers	+110
Total	Over 6	-120

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 6 total goals.

Senators vs. Flyers player props

Who will score a goal in Senators vs. Flyers?

According to our model, Travis Konecny is most likely to score an anytime goal in Senators vs. Flyers.

Our projections give Konecny a 34.8% chance of scoring a goal at Xfinity Mobile Arena, while the star is a 7.2% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Ottawa Senators

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Brady Tkachuk	34.0%
Tim Stutzle	34.0%
Drake Batherson	26.0%
Shane Pinto	24.4%
Dylan Cozens	22.8%

Philadelphia Flyers

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Travis Konecny	34.8%
Owen Tippett	28.0%
Trevor Zegras	24.7%
Matvei Michkov	23.6%
Bobby Brink	22.0%

First goal scorer predictions

Ottawa Senators

Player	First Goal Probability
Brady Tkachuk	6.9%
Tim Stutzle	6.1%
Shane Pinto	4.5%
Drake Batherson	4.5%
Dylan Cozens	4.0%

Philadelphia Flyers

Player	First Goal Probability
Travis Konecny	7.2%
Owen Tippett	5.7%
Trevor Zegras	4.7%
Matvei Michkov	4.3%
Bobby Brink	3.9%

Senators vs. Flyers game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's matchup between the Flyers and Senators at Xfinity Mobile Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Ottawa Senators vs. Philadelphia Flyers
• Date: Thursday, February 5, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Xfinity Mobile Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Senators, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Flyers on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Senators vs. Flyers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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