Senators vs. Flyers Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Senators vs. Flyers NHL game on February 5, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Senators
2
1
Xfinity Mobile Arena
Flyers
Xfinity Mobile Arena
TEAM123OTT
Senators
0 1 0 1 2
Flyers
0 0 1 0 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Senators
    100%
  • Flyers
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Senators
0 1 0 1 2
Flyers
0 0 1 0 1
OT1 00:38 Shot on goal by Travis Konecny saved by James Reimer
P3 19:14 Shot on goal by Jordan Spence saved by Dan Vladar
P3 18:27 Shot missed by Owen Tippett
P3 17:59 Owen Tippett shot blocked by Artem Zub
P3 17:20 Shot on goal by Matvei Michkov saved by James Reimer
P3 15:50 Shot missed by Travis Konecny
P3 12:53 Drake Batherson shot blocked by Nick Seeler
P3 11:56 Shot missed by Sean Couturier
P3 11:33 Cam York shot blocked by Nick Jensen
P3 10:25 Shot missed by Rasmus Ristolainen
P3 10:13 Travis Konecny shot blocked by Artem Zub
P3 10:11 Shot on goal by Travis Sanheim saved by James Reimer
P3 09:34 Sean Couturier shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
P3 09:11 Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by Dan Vladar
P3 04:11 Shot on goal by Travis Konecny saved by James Reimer
P3 03:53 Christian Dvorak shot blocked by Shane Pinto
P3 03:48 Shot missed by Jamie Drysdale
P3 02:11 Shot on goal by Lars Eller saved by Dan Vladar
P3 01:34 Trevor Zegras shot blocked by Jordan Spence
P3 01:21 Shot on goal by Jordan Spence saved by Dan Vladar
Play by Play
  1. OT1 05:00
    End of 1st OT.
  2. OT1 05:00
    End of 1st OT.
  3. OT1 00:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Travis Konecny saved by James Reimer
  4. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  5. P3 19:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jordan Spence saved by Dan Vladar
  6. P3 18:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Owen Tippett
  7. P3 17:59
    SHOT
    Owen Tippett shot blocked by Artem Zub
  8. P3 17:20
    Bobby Brink credited with hit on Dylan Cozens in offensive zone
  9. P3 17:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matvei Michkov saved by James Reimer
  10. P3 15:52
    Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
  11. P3 15:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Travis Konecny
  12. P3 14:45
    Sean Couturier won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
  13. P3 13:17
    Giveaway by Trevor Zegras in defensive zone
  14. P3 12:53
    SHOT
    Drake Batherson shot blocked by Nick Seeler
  15. P3 11:56
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Sean Couturier
  16. P3 11:33
    SHOT
    Cam York shot blocked by Nick Jensen
  17. P3 10:25
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Rasmus Ristolainen
  18. P3 10:13
    SHOT
    Travis Konecny shot blocked by Artem Zub
  19. P3 10:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Travis Sanheim saved by James Reimer
  20. P3 10:08
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  21. P3 10:07
    Senators won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in defensive zone
  22. P3 09:58
    Senators won faceoff against Flyers in neutral zone
  23. P3 09:34
    SHOT
    Sean Couturier shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
  24. P3 09:18
    Sean Couturier won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
  25. P3 09:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by Dan Vladar
  26. P3 09:09
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Sean Couturier in defensive zone
  27. P3 07:41
    Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in offensive zone
  28. P3 07:27
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Trevor Zegras in neutral zone
  29. P3 04:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Travis Konecny saved by James Reimer
  30. P3 03:53
    SHOT
    Christian Dvorak shot blocked by Shane Pinto
  31. P3 03:48
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jamie Drysdale
  32. P3 02:13
    Noah Cates won faceoff against Lars Eller in defensive zone
  33. P3 02:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Lars Eller saved by Dan Vladar
  34. P3 01:59
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  35. P3 01:34
    SHOT
    Trevor Zegras shot blocked by Jordan Spence
  36. P3 01:24
    Senators won faceoff against Flyers in neutral zone
  37. P3 01:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jordan Spence saved by Dan Vladar
  38. P3 00:21
    Stoppage - Offside
  39. P3 00:06
    Stoppage - Icing
  40. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  41. P2 19:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
  42. P2 19:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Owen Tippett
  43. P2 19:10
    Stoppage - Icing
  44. P2 18:57
    SHOT
    Rasmus Ristolainen shot blocked by Michael Amadio
  45. P2 18:29
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in defensive zone
  46. P2 18:21
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Trevor Zegras in defensive zone
  47. P2 17:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Michael Amadio saved by Dan Vladar
  48. P2 17:23
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Travis Sanheim
  49. P2 17:21
    Stoppage - Icing
  50. P2 17:14
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Sean Couturier in defensive zone
  51. P2 17:11
    Giveaway by Matvei Michkov in offensive zone
  52. P2 16:50
    Noah Cates won faceoff against Ridly Greig in offensive zone
  53. P2 16:50
    Stoppage - Icing
  54. P2 16:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Ristolainen saved by James Reimer
  55. P2 16:02
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Travis Konecny
  56. P2 15:58
    SHOT
    Rasmus Ristolainen shot blocked by Ridly Greig
  57. P2 15:20
    Owen Tippett credited with hit on Shane Pinto in offensive zone
  58. P2 15:07
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Sean Couturier in offensive zone
  59. P2 15:07
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  60. P2 14:47
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jordan Spence
  61. P2 14:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Noah Cates
  62. P2 14:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noah Cates saved by James Reimer
  63. P2 12:29
    Garnet Hathaway credited with hit on Tyler Kleven in offensive zone
  64. P2 12:08
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Sean Couturier in offensive zone
  65. P2 12:08
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  66. P2 12:03
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in offensive zone
  67. P2 10:25
    Garnet Hathaway credited with hit on Jordan Spence in offensive zone
  68. P2 10:03
    SHOT
    Sean Couturier shot blocked by Jordan Spence
  69. P2 09:55
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Nick Cousins assisted by Shane Pinto and Michael Amadio
    1-0
  70. P2 09:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Dan Vladar
  71. P2 09:15
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Trevor Zegras in defensive zone
  72. P2 09:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Christian Dvorak saved by James Reimer
  73. P2 08:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Dan Vladar
  74. P2 08:41
    Senators won faceoff against Flyers in neutral zone
  75. P2 08:39
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nick Cousins
  76. P2 07:16
    Power play - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in offensive zone
  77. P2 07:15
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Dan Vladar
  78. P2 05:52
    Power play - Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in offensive zone
  79. P2 05:52
    Penalty to Sean Couturier 2 minutes for Misconduct
  80. P2 05:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Cousins saved by Dan Vladar
  81. P2 05:20
    Giveaway by Brady Tkachuk in offensive zone
  82. P2 03:58
    Giveaway by Nick Cousins in offensive zone
  83. P2 03:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Dan Vladar
  84. P2 02:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Dan Vladar
  85. P2 02:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jamie Drysdale saved by James Reimer
  86. P2 02:12
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Carl Grundstrom
  87. P2 00:53
    SHOT
    Power play - Denver Barkey shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
  88. P2 00:00
    Power play - Noah Cates won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
  89. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  90. P1 19:19
    Shorthanded - Shane Pinto won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in defensive zone
  91. P1 18:40
    Trevor Zegras won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in neutral zone
  92. P1 18:40
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  93. P1 17:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cam York
  94. P1 17:15
    SHOT
    Cam York shot blocked by Tyler Kleven
  95. P1 17:10
    Stoppage - Icing
  96. P1 16:06
    Giveaway by Lars Eller in defensive zone
  97. P1 15:50
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  98. P1 15:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Denver Barkey saved by James Reimer
  99. P1 15:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Owen Tippett
  100. P1 12:14
    SHOT
    Owen Tippett shot blocked by Tyler Kleven
  101. P1 11:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Dan Vladar
  102. P1 10:47
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Noah Cates in neutral zone
  103. P1 10:35
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Senators
  104. P1 10:04
    Takeaway by Tyler Kleven in defensive zone
  105. P1 09:45
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Shane Pinto
  106. P1 08:37
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Noah Cates in offensive zone
  107. P1 08:37
    Stoppage - Icing
  108. P1 08:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Dan Vladar
  109. P1 08:13
    Senators won faceoff against Flyers in neutral zone
  110. P1 08:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Travis Sanheim saved by James Reimer
  111. P1 07:04
    Giveaway by Tyler Kleven in defensive zone
  112. P1 07:01
    Giveaway by Tyler Kleven in defensive zone
  113. P1 06:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Seeler saved by James Reimer
  114. P1 05:45
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Trevor Zegras in offensive zone
  115. P1 05:28
    Noah Cates won faceoff against Lars Eller in defensive zone
  116. P1 05:06
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
  117. P1 04:19
    Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Shane Pinto in defensive zone
  118. P1 04:19
    Stoppage - Icing
  119. P1 04:05
    SHOT
    Artem Zub shot blocked by Nick Seeler
  120. P1 03:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Christian Dvorak saved by James Reimer
  121. P1 03:31
    Stoppage - Icing
  122. P1 02:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Dan Vladar
  123. P1 02:21
    Giveaway by Dan Vladar in defensive zone
  124. P1 02:13
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Carl Grundstrom in neutral zone
  125. P1 02:02
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Noah Juulsen
  126. P1 02:00
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  127. P1 01:16
    SHOT
    Tim Stutzle shot blocked by Cam York
  128. P1 00:03
    Ridly Greig credited with hit on Travis Sanheim in neutral zone
  129. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Senators
STATS
Flyers
27Shots on Goal16
54% Faceoff Win % 46%
1/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins2
20Hits23
18 Shots Blocked 6
15Giveaways21
SenatorsOTT
FlyersPHI
27Shots on Goal16
54% Faceoff Win % 46%
1/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins2
20Hits23
18 Shots Blocked 6
15Giveaways21

Senators vs. Flyers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Senators vs. Flyers
  • Date: Thursday, February 5, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Xfinity Mobile Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Senators favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Senators -128, Flyers +112

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Senators: 54%
  • Flyers: 46%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Senators a win probability of 54%, while the Flyers have a win probability of 46%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Senators are more likely to beat the Flyers in the NHL game at Xfinity Mobile Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Senators vs. Flyers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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