Penguins vs. Sabres Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Penguins vs. Sabres NHL game on February 5, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
Get 6 months of Dimers Pro for just $99.99
FINAL
NHL
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
NHL sport icon
NHL
Penguins
5
2
KeyBank Center
Sabres
KeyBank Center
TEAM123T
Penguins
2 1 2 5
Sabres
1 0 1 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Penguins
    100%
  • Sabres
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Penguins
2 1 2 5
Sabres
1 0 1 2
P3 19:46 Shorthanded - Goal scored by Ben Kindel assisted by Connor Dewar (Empty Net)
P3 19:36 Power play - Shot missed by Alex Tuch
P3 18:59 Power play - Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Bryan Rust
P3 18:30 Shot on goal by Isak Rosen saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 17:57 Shot missed by Isak Rosen
P3 17:51 Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 16:19 Shot on goal by Avery Hayes saved by Alex Lyon
P3 16:03 Shot missed by Noah Ostlund
P3 15:30 Thomas Novak shot blocked by teammate
P3 14:07 Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Alex Lyon
P3 13:27 Shot on goal by Avery Hayes saved by Alex Lyon
P3 11:11 Power play - Bryan Rust shot blocked by teammate
P3 09:02 Shot missed by Josh Doan
P3 08:45 Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Alex Lyon
P3 08:16 Shot missed by Noah Ostlund
P3 08:06 Shot on goal by Isak Rosen saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 06:31 Shot missed by Rutger McGroarty
P3 04:49 Power play - Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Alex Lyon
P3 04:36 Power play - Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Alex Lyon
P3 04:18 Power play - Evgeni Malkin shot blocked by Owen Power
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  3. P3 19:46
    GOAL
    Shorthanded - Goal scored by Ben Kindel assisted by Connor Dewar (Empty Net)
    5-2
  4. P3 19:36
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Alex Tuch
  5. P3 18:59
    SHOT
    Power play - Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Bryan Rust
  6. P3 18:31
    Shorthanded - Connor Dewar won faceoff against Jason Zucker in defensive zone
  7. P3 18:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Isak Rosen saved by Arturs Silovs
  8. P3 17:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Isak Rosen
  9. P3 17:52
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
  10. P3 17:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Arturs Silovs
  11. P3 16:27
    Stoppage - High Stick
  12. P3 16:23
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
  13. P3 16:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Avery Hayes saved by Alex Lyon
  14. P3 16:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Noah Ostlund
  15. P3 15:38
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in neutral zone
  16. P3 15:30
    SHOT
    Thomas Novak shot blocked by teammate
  17. P3 14:47
    Giveaway by Josh Doan in offensive zone
  18. P3 14:24
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
  19. P3 14:24
    Stoppage - Icing
  20. P3 14:14
    Penguins won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  21. P3 14:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Alex Lyon
  22. P3 13:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Avery Hayes saved by Alex Lyon
  23. P3 12:43
    Mattias Samuelsson credited with hit on Thomas Novak in defensive zone
  24. P3 11:48
    Power play - Thomas Novak won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
  25. P3 11:11
    SHOT
    Power play - Bryan Rust shot blocked by teammate
  26. P3 10:33
    Penalty to Connor Clifton 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Peyton Krebs)
  27. P3 10:33
    Avery Hayes won faceoff against Mattias Samuelsson in defensive zone
  28. P3 09:19
    Connor Dewar won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
  29. P3 09:19
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  30. P3 09:02
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Josh Doan
  31. P3 08:58
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  32. P3 08:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Alex Lyon
  33. P3 08:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Noah Ostlund
  34. P3 08:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Isak Rosen saved by Arturs Silovs
  35. P3 07:31
    Stoppage - Offside
  36. P3 06:53
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
  37. P3 06:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Rutger McGroarty
  38. P3 06:21
    Penguins won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  39. P3 06:21
    Stoppage - Net Dislodged Offensive Skater - TV timeout
  40. P3 05:21
    Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
  41. P3 05:21
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  42. P3 04:49
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Alex Lyon
  43. P3 04:38
    Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in offensive zone
  44. P3 04:36
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Alex Lyon
  45. P3 04:18
    SHOT
    Power play - Evgeni Malkin shot blocked by Owen Power
  46. P3 04:13
    Penalty to Michael Kesselring 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Bryan Rust)
  47. P3 02:55
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
  48. P3 02:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Justin Brazeau saved by Alex Lyon
  49. P3 01:55
    Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in neutral zone
  50. P3 01:55
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Tage Thompson assisted by Jack Quinn and Rasmus Dahlin
    3-2
  51. P3 01:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Alex Lyon
  52. P3 00:36
    Stoppage - Icing
  53. P3 00:05
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
  54. P3 00:00
    Tage Thompson won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
  55. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  56. P2 19:31
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Alex Lyon
  57. P2 19:10
    Penguins won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  58. P2 19:05
    SHOT
    Power play - Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Noah Ostlund
  59. P2 18:17
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Alex Lyon
  60. P2 17:03
    SHOT
    Owen Power shot blocked by Ryan Shea
  61. P2 16:51
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex Tuch
  62. P2 16:35
    Tage Thompson won faceoff against Thomas Novak in offensive zone
  63. P2 16:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by Arturs Silovs
  64. P2 16:24
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  65. P2 16:08
    Tyson Kozak won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
  66. P2 15:53
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor Dewar
  67. P2 15:27
    Penguins won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  68. P2 14:52
    SHOT
    Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Ryan McLeod
  69. P2 14:50
    Stoppage - Icing
  70. P2 14:20
    SHOT
    Josh Doan shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
  71. P2 13:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Peyton Krebs
  72. P2 12:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bowen Byram
  73. P2 11:30
    SHOT
    Power play - Tage Thompson shot blocked by Bryan Rust
  74. P2 11:16
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Arturs Silovs
  75. P2 10:52
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Jack Quinn
  76. P2 10:21
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Arturs Silovs
  77. P2 10:03
    Shorthanded - Connor Dewar won faceoff against Jason Zucker in defensive zone
  78. P2 10:03
    Penalty to Sidney Crosby 2 minutes for Cross Checking
  79. P2 08:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Owen Power saved by Arturs Silovs
  80. P2 08:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tyson Kozak saved by Arturs Silovs
  81. P2 07:44
    Penguins won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  82. P2 07:42
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ben Kindel
  83. P2 07:34
    Stoppage - Icing
  84. P2 07:28
    Stoppage - Icing
  85. P2 06:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bowen Byram
  86. P2 06:06
    Stoppage - Icing
  87. P2 05:59
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  88. P2 05:28
    SHOT
    Beck Malenstyn shot blocked by Ryan Shea
  89. P2 05:20
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  90. P2 03:53
    Giveaway by Bryan Rust in neutral zone
  91. P2 03:47
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Alex Tuch in neutral zone
  92. P2 03:47
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  93. P2 02:31
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
  94. P2 02:29
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Yegor Chinakhov
  95. P2 02:03
    Thomas Novak won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in defensive zone
  96. P2 02:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Arturs Silovs
  97. P2 01:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Arturs Silovs
  98. P2 01:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tage Thompson
  99. P2 00:30
    Shorthanded - Parker Wotherspoon credited with hit on Josh Doan in defensive zone
  100. P2 00:00
    Power play - Jason Zucker won faceoff against Connor Dewar in neutral zone
  101. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  102. P1 19:43
    SHOT
    Power play - Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Bryan Rust
  103. P1 19:03
    Shorthanded - Connor Dewar won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
  104. P1 18:59
    Power play - Jason Zucker won faceoff against Connor Dewar in offensive zone
  105. P1 18:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Avery Hayes
  106. P1 17:42
    Shorthanded - Giveaway by Ben Kindel in defensive zone
  107. P1 16:10
    SHOT
    Power play - Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Connor Clifton
  108. P1 15:54
    Power play - Jason Zucker won faceoff against Connor Dewar in offensive zone
  109. P1 14:59
    Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
  110. P1 14:57
    SHOT
    Ilya Solovyov shot blocked by Owen Power
  111. P1 13:49
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  112. P1 13:49
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  113. P1 12:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Avery Hayes saved by Alex Lyon
  114. P1 11:57
    Tage Thompson won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
  115. P1 11:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Owen Power saved by Arturs Silovs
  116. P1 10:30
    Mattias Samuelsson credited with hit on Bryan Rust in defensive zone
  117. P1 10:23
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  118. P1 10:23
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  119. P1 10:06
    Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
  120. P1 10:06
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  121. P1 09:59
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  122. P1 09:18
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Avery Hayes assisted by Ilya Solovyov
    1-1
  123. P1 09:10
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  124. P1 09:04
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  125. P1 08:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Arturs Silovs
  126. P1 07:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jack Quinn
  127. P1 06:48
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
  128. P1 06:48
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  129. P1 06:36
    SHOT
    Michael Kesselring shot blocked by Ilya Solovyov
  130. P1 05:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Arturs Silovs
  131. P1 05:20
    Tage Thompson won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  132. P1 05:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Alex Lyon
  133. P1 04:52
    Tyson Kozak won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in defensive zone
  134. P1 04:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Alex Lyon
  135. P1 04:40
    Giveaway by Justin Brazeau in neutral zone
  136. P1 04:19
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  137. P1 04:13
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Thomas Novak in offensive zone
  138. P1 04:11
    SHOT
    Tage Thompson shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
  139. P1 02:32
    Noah Ostlund won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in defensive zone
  140. P1 02:32
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  141. P1 01:46
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in neutral zone
  142. P1 01:45
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Jason Zucker
    0-1
  143. P1 01:13
    Stoppage - Icing
  144. P1 00:00
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
Stats
Penguins
STATS
Sabres
32Shots on Goal28
46% Faceoff Win % 55%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 5/1
15Penalty Infraction Mins11
20Hits16
8 Shots Blocked 10
17Giveaways15
PenguinsPIT
SabresBUF
32Shots on Goal28
46% Faceoff Win % 55%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 5/1
15Penalty Infraction Mins11
20Hits16
8 Shots Blocked 10
17Giveaways15

Penguins vs. Sabres: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Penguins vs. Sabres
  • Date: Thursday, February 5, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: KeyBank Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Sabres favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): Not Available
  • Moneyline Odds: Penguins +110, Sabres -125

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Penguins: 46%
  • Sabres: 54%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Penguins a win probability of 46%, while the Sabres have a win probability of 54%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Sabres are more likely to beat the Penguins in the NHL game at KeyBank Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Penguins vs. Sabres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.