NFL Divisional Playoff Round: Most Likely Touchdown Scorers
Last updated: | Published:We're through what was a MASSIVE Wild Card Weekend with six games across Saturday and Sunday and it's time for the Divisional Round with four huge games.
We run over 10,000 simulations for each and every NFL game, with DimersBOT pulling out the probability of each player scoring a touchdown.
We've picked one guy from each team playing this week who looks good to score, with a bet on each of them getting in first and/or anytime the suggested play!
How a TD in ANY game gets you $100 with BetMGM
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Rams @ Packers 🏈
Cam Akers 💥
Anytime touchdown: 56.1% probability
First touchdown: 15.7% probability
Cam Akers had an extremely impressive playoffs debut last week, posting 175 scrimmage yards in what was the most scrimmage yards in a playoff debut for a rookie. With the Rams top two QBs still under injury clouds, they'll need another big game from Akers if they're going to be any chance of winning this week.
122 yards for the man, Cam Akers. Here’s that TD again 😍#LARvsSEA #NFLPlayoffs #SuperWildCard
— Dimers.com (@DimersCom) January 9, 2021
pic.twitter.com/aQV50Pt2Ql
Davante Adams 💥
Anytime touchdown: 64.4% probability
First touchdown: 19.8% probability
The Rams have the best defensive unit in the league, but we can't see Rodgers not finding his man, Tae Adams, at some point in this clash. At almost 20% chance to score the first one, he looks like a great bet for any prop parlays you're placing this week!
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Ravens @ Bills 🏈
Lamar Jackson 💥
Anytime touchdown: 41.8% probability
First touchdown: 8.9% probability
It's hard to look past Lamar after last week's game, and after his 136 rushing yards + TD last week, he's the best pick for a Ravens scorer again here against the Bills.
Lamar gets it done himself and the Ravens tie it up at 10-10 💪#RavensFlock #NFLTwitter pic.twitter.com/cscyKPEDqo
— Dimers.com (@DimersCom) January 10, 2021
Stefon Diggs 💥
Anytime touchdown: 46.4% probability
First touchdown: 10.8% probability
Our man Diggsy saluted for us in the opening game of Super Wild Card and we're not moving off him any time soon. The same logic as last week applies, with the Allen-Diggs connection the key to the Bills going all the way this season!
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Browns @ Chiefs 🏈
Nick Chubb 💥
Anytime touchdown: 53.9% probability
First touchdown: 11.9% probability
It was Kareem Hunt that scored two TDs for the Browns in their MASSIVE win over the Steelers, but Chubb was still at his formidable best, putting up 76 rushing yards, 69 receiving yards and a tuddy. He's made for games like this and should get in for six regardless of the final result.
Nick Chubb goes allll the way 👊#WeWantMore #NFLTwitter pic.twitter.com/tbuOrp1fSO
— Dimers.com (@DimersCom) January 11, 2021
Travis Kelce 💥
Anytime touchdown: 66.2% probability
First touchdown: 16.5% probability
Both Tyreek and Travis look like good chances to score this weekend but we've opted for Kelce. He's scored in each of his last four games and will be raring to go after the time off the Chiefs have experienced.
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Bucs @ Saints 🏈
Antonio Brown 💥
Anytime touchdown: 37.8% probability
First touchdown: 7.9% probability
The Bucs' TD probabilities are the most evenly spread according to DimersBOT but we like AB to get in this week. He's looking more and more comfortable by the week and TB12 will no doubt be seeking him out often!
Alvin Kamara 💥
Anytime touchdown: 67.3% probability
First touchdown: 18.5% probability
He left Kamara out of this article last week with concerns about whether he'd make a full recovery from Covid-19 but we'll be sure to never doubt the great man again! He scored six on Christmas Day and quite simply, you'd be silly to not include him in your prop parlays from now until the end of time.
Kamara is SLIMEY as he gets in for 6️⃣#Saints #ForNOLApic.twitter.com/0xJzXybpxg
— Dimers.com (@DimersCom) January 11, 2021
Seven questions all bettors hate and how to answer them!
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