...
...
Read Article
Wests Tigers vs. Newcastle Knights prediction: Why Tigers are favored to win Sunday's NRL Round 6 matchup [4/12/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer
Get Wests Tigers vs Newcastle Knights predictions for NRL Sunday.
NRL action continues on Sunday at 2:05 AM ET as the Newcastle Knights square off with the Wests Tigers at Campbelltown Sports Stadium.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NRL model projects the Tigers as the most likely winner of the Knights vs. Tigers game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Tigers vs. Knights prediction: Who will win Round 6 game?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NRL game between the Knights and Tigers, forming part of our NRL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Tigers a 67% chance of beating the Knights.
According to our model, the Tigers (-3.5) have a 59% chance of covering the spread, while the 48.5-point over/under has a 58% chance of staying under.
Knights vs. Tigers odds
We have researched the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Knights | Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +125 | -161 |
| Line (Spread) | +3.5 (-105) | -3.5 (-120) |
| Total | o48.5 (-114) | u48.5 (-114) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Knights vs. Tigers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Tigers -3.5 | bet_rivers_in-120 |
| Moneyline | Tigers | bet_rivers_in-161 |
| Total | Under 48.5 | -114 |
According to our best NRL bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 48.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Tigers vs. Knights game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's Australian rugby league game between the Tigers and Knights at Campbelltown Sports Stadium is scheduled to begin at 2:05 AM ET.
- Who: Newcastle Knights vs. Wests Tigers
- Date: Sunday, April 12, 2026
- Time: 2:05 AM ET/11:05PM PT
- Venue: Campbelltown Sports Stadium
The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.
Conclusion
We predict the Tigers, with a 67% win probability, will likely beat the Knights in Sunday's NRL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
Advertiser disclosure