South Sydney Rabbitohs vs. Newcastle Knights prediction: Knights favored to win Sunday's NRL Round 19 matchup [7/12/2026]

The South Sydney Rabbitohs will face the Newcastle Knights in National Rugby League (NRL) action at Stadium Australia on Sunday, starting at 12:00 AM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NRL model projects the Knights as the most likely winner of the Knights vs. Rabbitohs game.

This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Rabbitohs vs. Knights prediction: Who will win Round 19 game?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NRL matchup between the Knights and Rabbitohs, forming part of our NRL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Knights a 56.5% chance of beating the Rabbitohs.

According to our model, the Knights (-1.5) have a 54.1% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 48.5 points has a 53.5% chance of staying under,.

Knights vs. Souths odds

We have sourced the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Knights	Rabbitohs
H2H (Moneyline)	-137	+107
Line (Spread)	-1.5 (-120)	+1.5 (-105)
Total	o48.5 (-114)	u48.5 (-112)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Knights vs. Rabbitohs picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Knights -1.5	bet_rivers_in-120
Moneyline	Knights	bet_rivers_in-137
Total	Under 48.5	-112

According to our best NRL bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 48.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Rabbitohs vs. Knights game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's Australian rugby league action between the Rabbitohs and Knights at Stadium Australia is scheduled to begin at 12:00 AM ET.

• Who: Newcastle Knights vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs
• Date: Sunday, July 12, 2026
• Time: 12:00 AM ET/9:00PM PT
• Venue: Stadium Australia

The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.

Conclusion

We predict the Knights, with a 56.5% win probability, will likely beat the Rabbitohs in Sunday's NRL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.