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New England Revolution vs. D.C. United prediction, odds, MLS picks [4/11/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get New England Revolution vs D.C. United predictions for MLS Saturday.
New England will take on D.C. United in MLS action at Gillette Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLS model projects New England as the most likely winner of the New England vs. D.C. United game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
New England Revolution vs. D.C. United prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's MLS game between New England and D.C. United, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model indicates a 58.8% chance of New England winning, an 18.4% chance for D.C. United, and a 22.8% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 51% chance of going over, according to our model.
New England Revolution vs. D.C. United odds
We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| New England | D.C. United | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -110 | +310 | +240 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| +105 | -145 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
New England Revolution vs. D.C. United picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | New England | -110 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | +105 |
According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is New England to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
New England Revolution vs. D.C. United: Correct score predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-0 New England win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| NER 1-0 DCU | 12.1% |
| NER 2-0 DCU | 10.9% |
| NER 1-1 DCU | 10.8% |
New England Revolution vs. D.C. United game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's matchup between New England and D.C. United in MLS at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to start at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: New England Revolution vs. D.C. United
- Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Gillette Stadium
Conclusion
According to our computer model, New England has a 58.8% win probability on Saturday, D.C. United has an 18.4% win probability, and there is a 22.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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