NBA player props today: Wednesday's best props include Jalen Williams [12/10/2025]

Jalen Williams over 1.5 steals (+162)

• Edge: 10.1%
• Probability: 48.3%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Suns vs. Thunder (7:30PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Oklahoma City's Jalen Williams over 1.5 steals. A probability of 48.3% gives this play an edge of 10.1% at +162 odds.

Deandre Ayton over 1.5 blocks (+162)

• Edge: 9.2%
• Probability: 47.3%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Spurs vs. Lakers (10:00PM ET)

Deandre Ayton’s blocks prop shows a 9.2% edge at +162 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.2 blocks on the over 1.5 line.

De'Aaron Fox over 1.5 steals (+162)

• Edge: 9.1%
• Probability: 47.3%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Spurs vs. Lakers (10:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on De'Aaron Fox over 1.5 steals, with simulations showing a 47.3% probability and a 9.1% edge at +162.

LeBron James over 1.5 steals (+180)

• Edge: 8.8%
• Probability: 44.5%
• Projection: 1.1
• Game: Spurs vs. Lakers (10:00PM ET)

Our model projects LeBron James to put up 1.1 steals today, creating an edge of 8.8% on the over 1.5 line at +180 odds.

Stephon Castle over 1.5 steals (+170)

• Edge: 8.5%
• Probability: 45.5%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Spurs vs. Lakers (10:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Stephon Castle over 1.5 steals for San Antonio, showing an edge of 8.5% at +170 odds.

Austin Reaves over 1.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 7.8%
• Probability: 43.8%
• Projection: 1.0
• Game: Spurs vs. Lakers (10:00PM ET)

Austin Reaves’s steals prop shows an edge of 7.8% at +178 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.0 today.

Royce O'Neale over 2.5 3-pointers made (+114)

• Edge: 7.5%
• Probability: 54.3%
• Projection: 2.9
• Game: Suns vs. Thunder (7:30PM ET)

Our model projects Royce O'Neale for 2.9 3-pointers made for Phoenix, creating an edge of 7.5% on over 2.5 at +114 odds.

Austin Reaves over 4.5 assists (+102)

• Edge: 6.7%
• Probability: 56.2%
• Projection: 5.6
• Game: Spurs vs. Lakers (10:00PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Austin Reaves for 5.6 assists, creating value on the over 4.5 line at +102 odds and a 6.7% edge.

Chet Holmgren over 4.5 blocks (+138)

• Edge: 5.9%
• Probability: 47.9%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Suns vs. Thunder (7:30PM ET)

A 5.9% edge on the over 4.5 blocks line makes Chet Holmgren a value play in Suns vs. Thunder, with our model projecting him for 1.3 blocks at +138 odds.

Luka Doncic over 1.5 steals (+126)

• Edge: 5.4%
• Probability: 49.6%
• Projection: 1.5
• Game: Spurs vs. Lakers (10:00PM ET)

Simulations project Luka Doncic for 1.5 steals here, creating a 5.4% edge on the over 1.5 line at +126 odds.

NBA player prop summary: Wednesday, December 10, 2025

A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 4:22AM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Suns vs. Thunder	Jalen Williams over 1.5 steals	+162 @ FanDuel	10.1%	48.3%
Spurs vs. Lakers	Deandre Ayton over 1.5 blocks	+162 @ DraftKings	9.2%	47.3%
Spurs vs. Lakers	De'Aaron Fox over 1.5 steals	+162 @ FanDuel	8.8%	44.5%
Spurs vs. Lakers	LeBron James over 1.5 steals	+180 @ DraftKings	8.8%	44.5%
Spurs vs. Lakers	Stephon Castle over 1.5 steals	+170 @ DraftKings	8.5%	45.5%
Spurs vs. Lakers	Austin Reaves over 1.5 steals	+178 @ FanDuel	7.8%	43.8%
Suns vs. Thunder	Royce O'Neale over 2.5 3-pointers made	+114 @ FanDuel	7.5%	54.3%
Spurs vs. Lakers	Austin Reaves over 4.5 assists	+102 @ DraftKings	6.7%	56.2%
Suns vs. Thunder	Chet Holmgren over 4.5 blocks	+138 @ FanDuel	5.9%	47.9%
Spurs vs. Lakers	Luka Doncic over 1.5 steals	+126 @ FanDuel	5.4%	49.6%

Conclusion

For December 10, 2025, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Jalen Williams, Deandre Ayton and De'Aaron Fox. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.