NBA player props today: Wednesday's best props include Deandre Ayton [12/10/2025]

Dimers' NBA props are live for December 10, 2025, with today's top betting edges led by the likes of Deandre Ayton, Alex Caruso and Jalen Williams.

Our NBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Spurs vs. Lakers and Suns vs. Thunder, to surface the best NBA player prop bets across the market.

List of NBA prop picks for Wednesday, 12/10

Below are the top ten NBA player props for December 10, ranked by edge.

Deandre Ayton over 1.5 blocks (+175)

• Edge: 11.0%
• Probability: 47.3%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Spurs vs. Lakers (10:00PM ET)

Our model has found value on LA Lakers' Deandre Ayton over 1.5 blocks. A probability of 47.3% gives this play an edge of 11.0% at +175 odds.

Alex Caruso over 1.5 steals (+160)

• Edge: 10.5%
• Probability: 48.9%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Suns vs. Thunder (7:30PM ET)

Alex Caruso’s steals prop shows a 10.5% edge at +160 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.4 steals on the over 1.5 line.

Jalen Williams over 1.5 steals (+162)

• Edge: 10.1%
• Probability: 48.3%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Suns vs. Thunder (7:30PM ET)

The data highlights value on Jalen Williams over 1.5 steals, with simulations showing a 48.3% probability and a 10.1% edge at +162.

Stephon Castle over 1.5 steals (+176)

• Edge: 8.9%
• Probability: 45.2%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Spurs vs. Lakers (10:00PM ET)

Our model projects Stephon Castle to put up 1.2 steals today, creating an edge of 8.9% on the over 1.5 line at +176 odds.

Ryan Dunn over 4.5 rebounds (+134)

• Edge: 8.6%
• Probability: 51.4%
• Projection: 4.8
• Game: Suns vs. Thunder (7:30PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Ryan Dunn over 4.5 rebounds for Phoenix, showing an edge of 8.6% at +134 odds.

Austin Reaves over 1.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 7.8%
• Probability: 43.8%
• Projection: 1.0
• Game: Spurs vs. Lakers (10:00PM ET)

Austin Reaves’s steals prop shows an edge of 7.8% at +178 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.0 today.

De'Aaron Fox over 1.5 steals (+151)

• Edge: 7.4%
• Probability: 47.3%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Spurs vs. Lakers (10:00PM ET)

Our model projects De'Aaron Fox for 1.3 steals for San Antonio, creating an edge of 7.4% on over 1.5 at +151 odds.

Royce O'Neale over 2.5 3-pointers made (+102)

• Edge: 7.4%
• Probability: 56.9%
• Projection: 3.1
• Game: Suns vs. Thunder (7:30PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Royce O'Neale for 3.1 3-pointers made, creating value on the over 2.5 line at +102 odds and a 7.4% edge.

Dillon Brooks under 2.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 6.9%
• Probability: 42.8%
• Projection: 1.0
• Game: Suns vs. Thunder (7:30PM ET)

A 6.9% edge on the under 2.5 steals line makes Dillon Brooks a value play in Suns vs. Thunder, with our model projecting him for 1.0 steals at +178 odds.

Luka Doncic over 1.5 steals (+124)

• Edge: 5.1%
• Probability: 49.8%
• Projection: 1.5
• Game: Spurs vs. Lakers (10:00PM ET)

Simulations project Luka Doncic for 1.5 steals here, creating a 5.1% edge on the over 1.5 line at +124 odds.

NBA player prop summary: Wednesday, December 10, 2025

A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 6:57PM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Spurs vs. Lakers	Deandre Ayton over 1.5 blocks	+175 @ DraftKings	11.0%	47.3%
Suns vs. Thunder	Alex Caruso over 1.5 steals	+160 @ DraftKings	10.5%	48.9%
Suns vs. Thunder	Jalen Williams over 1.5 steals	+162 @ FanDuel	8.9%	45.2%
Spurs vs. Lakers	Stephon Castle over 1.5 steals	+176 @ DraftKings	8.9%	45.2%
Suns vs. Thunder	Ryan Dunn over 4.5 rebounds	+134 @ FanDuel	8.6%	51.4%
Spurs vs. Lakers	Austin Reaves over 1.5 steals	+178 @ FanDuel	7.8%	43.8%
Spurs vs. Lakers	De'Aaron Fox over 1.5 steals	+151 @ DraftKings	7.4%	47.3%
Suns vs. Thunder	Royce O'Neale over 2.5 3-pointers made	+102 @ FanDuel	7.4%	56.9%
Suns vs. Thunder	Dillon Brooks under 2.5 steals	+178 @ FanDuel	6.9%	42.8%
Spurs vs. Lakers	Luka Doncic over 1.5 steals	+124 @ DraftKings	5.1%	49.8%

Conclusion

For December 10, 2025, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Deandre Ayton, Alex Caruso and Jalen Williams. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.