MLB player props today: Friday's best props include Tarik Skubal [8/28/2026]

Tarik Skubal under 1.5 walks allowed (-144)

• Edge: 9.9%
• Probability: 68.9%
• Game: Dodgers vs. Tigers (6:40PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on LA Dodgers' Tarik Skubal under 1.5 walks allowed. A probability of 68.9% gives this play an edge of 9.9% at -144 odds.

Hunter Brown under 2.5 walks allowed (-156)

• Edge: 7.8%
• Probability: 68.8%
• Game: Astros vs. Mets (7:10PM ET)

Hunter Brown’s walks allowed prop shows a 68.8% probability and an 7.8% edge at -156 odds, according to our model.

Dean Kremer under 5.5 strikeouts (-147)

• Edge: 8.4%
• Probability: 67.9%
• Game: White Sox vs. Twins (8:10PM ET)

The data highlights value on Dean Kremer under 5.5 strikeouts, with simulations showing a 67.9% probability and an 8.4% edge at -147.

Ha-Seong Kim to get a hit (-157)

• Edge: 4.9%
• Probability: 66.0%
• Game: Rockies vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)

Our model finds value on Ha-Seong Kim to get a hit, with a 66.0% probability and an edge of 4.9% at -157 odds.

Eury Pérez under 2.5 earned runs (-165)

• Edge: 3.5%
• Probability: 65.7%
• Game: Marlins vs. Nationals (6:45PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Eury Pérez under 2.5 earned runs for Miami, showing an edge of 3.5% at -165 odds.

Mike Yastrzemski over 0.5 bases (-150)

• Edge: 4.1%
• Probability: 64.1%
• Game: Rockies vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)

Mike Yastrzemski’s bases prop shows an edge of 4.1% at -150 odds, supported by a 64.1% probability according to our model.

Mike Yastrzemski to get a hit (-157)

• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 64.1%
• Game: Rockies vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Mike Yastrzemski to get a hit for Atlanta, with a 64.1% probability and a 3.0% edge at -157 odds.

Tomoyuki Sugano over 5.5 hits allowed (-131)

• Edge: 7.1%
• Probability: 63.8%
• Game: Rockies vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)

The data shows value on Tomoyuki Sugano over 5.5 hits allowed, supported by a 63.8% probability at -131 odds and an edge of 7.1%.

Drew Anderson over 1.5 earned runs (-147)

• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 63.4%
• Game: Dodgers vs. Tigers (6:40PM ET)

A 3.9% edge on the over 5.5 earned runs line makes Drew Anderson a value play in Dodgers vs. Tigers, supported by a 63.4% probability at -147 odds.

Sean Murphy over 0.5 bases (-140)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 62.9%
• Game: Rockies vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)

Simulations show value on Sean Murphy over 0.5 bases here, with a 62.9% probability and 4.5% edge at -140 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Friday, August 28, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 5:59PM ET:

Conclusion

For August 28, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Tarik Skubal, Hunter Brown and Dean Kremer. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.