Home run predictions and picks: Top bet for Wednesday has +920 odds [6/10/2026]

Our analysis shows Kurtz leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 27.9% chance to go yard, followed by Shea Langeliers (26.3%) and Brent Rooker (24.9%).

Tyler Soderstrom and Michael Busch are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Wednesday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Wednesday's home run picks [6/10/2026]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and assessing key variables like weather and pitching form, Dimers Pro’s data highlights today’s top home run prop.

Brett Baty (Mets) to hit a home run

• Probability: 13.8%
• Odds: +920
• Edge: 4.0%
• Game: Cardinals vs. Mets (7:10 PM EDT)
• Pitching matchup: Andre Pallante

Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, New York slugger Brett Baty rates as a value play at +920 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 4.0% edge.

Set to face Andre Pallante in tonight's Cardinals-Mets matchup, the data supports Baty as one of Wednesday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.

Pro users have access to a total of nine home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

Conclusion

For June 10, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Nick Kurtz, Shea Langeliers and Brent Rooker projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Brett Baty who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 4.0% edge at +920 odds.

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