...
...
Read Article
Home run predictions for Dinger Tuesday include Shohei Ohtani, Shea Langeliers [5/12/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get home run predictions today backed by expert analysis of Tuesday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Tuesday, May 12, 2026, feature Shohei Ohtani as the top projected hitter, based on Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.
Tuesday's HR projections come from our home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the top home run bets today.
Home run predictions for May 12, 2026
See which hitters join Ohtani on today’s list — including one long-shot pick the model rates as value at +525.
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) | 26.2% |
| Nick Kurtz (Athletics) | 25.8% |
| Shea Langeliers (Athletics) | 24.0% |
| Brent Rooker (Athletics) | 22.9% |
| Tyler Soderstrom (Athletics) | 20.3% |
| JJ Bleday (Reds) | 20.1% |
| Kyle Tucker (Dodgers) | 19.9% |
| Teoscar Hernandez (Dodgers) | 18.9% |
| Max Muncy (Dodgers) | 18.7% |
| Elly De La Cruz (Reds) | 18.3% |
Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 26.2% chance to go deep, followed by Nick Kurtz (25.8%) and Shea Langeliers (24.0%).
Brent Rooker and Tyler Soderstrom are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.
Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Tuesday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.
Tuesday's home run picks [5/12/2026]
Powered by 10,000 simulations and data-driven variables like weather and pitcher form, Dimers Pro spotlights today’s top home run prop.
Kyle Tucker (Dodgers) to hit a home run
- Probability: 19.9%
- Odds: bet_rivers_in+525
- Edge: 3.9%
- Game: Giants vs. Dodgers (10:10 PM EDT)
- Pitching matchup: Adrian Houser
Ranked among today’s top 10 home run projections, Los Angeles slugger Kyle Tucker rates as a value play at +525 with bet_rivers_in, showing a 3.9% edge.
Set to face Adrian Houser in tonight's Giants-Dodgers matchup, the data supports Tucker as one of Tuesday’s strongest value spots among available home run props — and a natural fit for Dinger Tuesday, a night built around finding value in long-ball matchups.
Originally sparked by sportsbook offers rewarding bonus bets for each home run hit by a selected player, Dinger Tuesday has evolved into a weekly tradition for MLB bettors — where clear, model-driven insights like these can help separate signal from noise.
Pro users have access to a total of 14 home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
Conclusion
For May 12, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Nick Kurtz and Shea Langeliers projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Kyle Tucker who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 3.9% edge at +525 odds.
For guidance on safer wagering habits, explore our Responsible Gambling resources.
Continue reading with Dimers Pro
Join now to unlock this article and get full access to our predictions and betting tools. Cancel anytime.
$0 for 3 days
then $14.99/week
Already a Pro member? Log in
New here? See everything Pro includes
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
Advertiser disclosure