Today’s top 10 most likely home run hitters, plus +800 pick for Saturday [7/25/2026]
Get home run predictions today guided by expert analysis of Saturday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Saturday, July 25, 2026, feature Shohei Ohtani as the top projected hitter, based on Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.
Saturday's HR projections come straight from our home run predictions, which highlight the most likely home run hitters today.
Home run predictions for July 25, 2026
See which hitters join Ohtani on today’s list — plus a long-shot pick the model rates as value at +800.
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) | 18.7% |
| Pete Alonso (Orioles) | 18.4% |
| Eugenio Suárez (Reds) | 18.1% |
| Junior Caminero (Rays) | 17.9% |
| Cal Raleigh (Mariners) | 17.6% |
| Matt Olson (Braves) | 16.9% |
| Jake Bauers (Brewers) | 16.5% |
| Austin Riley (Braves) | 16.2% |
| Yordan Alvarez (Astros) | 16.1% |
| Jackson Chourio (Brewers) | 15.6% |
Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 18.7% chance to go deep, followed by Pete Alonso (18.4%) and Eugenio Suárez (18.1%).
Junior Caminero and Cal Raleigh are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10.
Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Saturday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.
Saturday's home run picks [7/25/2026]
After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and assessing key variables like weather and pitching form, Dimers Pro’s data highlights today’s top home run prop.
Teoscar Hernández (Dodgers) to hit a home run
- Probability: 13.5%
- Odds: fanatics+800
- Edge: 2.4%
- Game: Dodgers vs. Mets (7:15 PM EDT)
- Pitching matchup: Nolan McLean
Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, Los Angeles slugger Teoscar Hernández rates as a value play at +800 with fanatics, showing a 2.4% edge.
Against Mets starter Nolan McLean, the data supports Hernández as one of Saturday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.
Pro users have access to all of our home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
Conclusion
For July 25, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Pete Alonso and Eugenio Suárez projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Teoscar Hernández who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 2.4% edge at +800 odds.
Dive into more MLB player projections with our list of Saturday's top 10 pitchers by projected strikeouts
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
