Home run predictions and picks: Top bet for Friday has +370 odds [7/17/2026]
Get home run predictions today backed by expert analysis of Friday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Friday, July 17, 2026, feature Eugenio Suárez as the top projected hitter, based on Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.
Friday's HR projections pull from our full list of home run predictions, which highlight the most likely home run hitters today.
Home run predictions for July 17, 2026
See which hitters join Suárez on today’s list plus find our best value play for Friday’s slate.
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Eugenio Suárez (Reds) | 27.5% |
| Shea Langeliers (Athletics) | 23.4% |
| JJ Bleday (Reds) | 20.6% |
| Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) | 19.9% |
| Tyler Soderstrom (Athletics) | 19.6% |
| Hunter Goodman (Rockies) | 19.4% |
| Jo Adell (Angels) | 19.3% |
| Matt Olson (Braves) | 19.1% |
| Elly De La Cruz (Reds) | 18.8% |
| Cal Raleigh (Mariners) | 18.6% |
Our analysis shows Suárez leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 27.5% chance to go deep, followed by Shea Langeliers (23.4%) and JJ Bleday (20.6%).
Shohei Ohtani and Tyler Soderstrom are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.
Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Friday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.
Friday's home run picks [7/17/2026]
Powered by 10,000 simulations and data-driven variables like weather and pitcher form, Dimers Pro identifies today’s top home run prop.
Eugenio Suárez (Reds) to hit a home run
- Probability: 27.5%
- Odds: +370
- Edge: 6.2%
- Game: Reds vs. Rockies (8:40 PM EDT)
- Pitching matchup: Gabriel Hughes
Ranked top of today’s home run projections, Cincinnati slugger Eugenio Suárez rates as a value play at +370 with FanDuel Sportsbook, showing a 6.2% edge.
With Gabriel Hughes on the mound for the Rockies, the data supports Suárez as one of Friday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.
Pro users have access to a total of 15 home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
Conclusion
For July 17, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Eugenio Suárez, Shea Langeliers and JJ Bleday projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. Suárez in particular emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 6.2% edge at +370 odds.
Dive into more MLB player projections with our list of Friday's top 10 pitchers by projected strikeouts
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
