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Read Article Home run predictions for Friday include Shohei Ohtani, Eugenio Suarez [4/10/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get home run predictions today guided by expert analysis of Friday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Friday, April 10, 2026, feature Shohei Ohtani as the top projected hitter, according to Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.
Friday's HR projections come straight from our home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the top home run picks today.
Home run predictions for April 10, 2026
See which hitters join Ohtani on today’s list — plus a long-shot pick the model rates as value at +980.
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) | 24.1% |
| Eugenio Suarez (Reds) | 21.0% |
| Aaron Judge (Yankees) | 20.4% |
| Fernando Tatis (Padres) | 18.8% |
| Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees) | 18.8% |
| Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) | 18.5% |
| Kyle Tucker (Dodgers) | 18.2% |
| Junior Caminero (Rays) | 17.7% |
| Pete Alonso (Orioles) | 17.7% |
| Manny Machado (Padres) | 17.4% |
Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 24.1% chance to go yard, followed by Eugenio Suarez (21.0%) and Aaron Judge (20.4%).
Fernando Tatis and Giancarlo Stanton are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.
Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Friday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.
Friday's home run picks [4/10/2026]
After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and evaluating key variables like weather and pitching form, Dimers Pro’s data highlights today’s top home run prop.
Cody Bellinger (Yankees) to hit a home run
- Probability: 12.8%
- Odds: +980
- Edge: 3.6%
- Game: Yankees vs. Rays (7:10 PM EDT)
- Pitching matchup: Steven Matz
Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, New York slugger Cody Bellinger rates as a value play at +980 with FanDuel Sportsbook, showing a 3.6% edge.
Set to face Steven Matz in tonight's Yankees-Rays matchup, the data supports Bellinger as one of Friday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.
Pro users have access to a total of six home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
Conclusion
For April 10, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Eugenio Suarez and Aaron Judge projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Cody Bellinger who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 3.6% edge at +980 odds.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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