Home run predictions for Friday include Shohei Ohtani, Eugenio Suarez [4/10/2026]

Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 24.1% chance to go yard, followed by Eugenio Suarez (21.0%) and Aaron Judge (20.4%).

Fernando Tatis and Giancarlo Stanton are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Friday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Friday's home run picks [4/10/2026]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and evaluating key variables like weather and pitching form, Dimers Pro’s data highlights today’s top home run prop.

Cody Bellinger (Yankees) to hit a home run

• Probability: 12.8%
• Odds: +980
• Edge: 3.6%
• Game: Yankees vs. Rays (7:10 PM EDT)
• Pitching matchup: Steven Matz

Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, New York slugger Cody Bellinger rates as a value play at +980 with FanDuel Sportsbook, showing a 3.6% edge.

Set to face Steven Matz in tonight's Yankees-Rays matchup, the data supports Bellinger as one of Friday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.

Pro users have access to a total of six home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

Conclusion

For April 10, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Eugenio Suarez and Aaron Judge projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Cody Bellinger who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 3.6% edge at +980 odds.

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