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Minnesota United vs. Portland Timbers prediction, odds, MLS picks [4/18/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Minnesota United vs Portland Timbers predictions for MLS Saturday.
Minnesota and Portland will meet in MLS action at Allianz Field on Saturday, with kickoff at 8:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLS model projects Minnesota as the most likely winner of the Minnesota vs. Portland game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Minnesota United vs. Portland Timbers prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's MLS game between Minnesota and Portland, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model suggests a 55.0% chance of Minnesota winning, a 22.9% chance for Portland, and a 22.0% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 60% chance of going over, according to our model.
Minnesota United vs. Portland Timbers odds
We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Minnesota | Portland | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -130 | +320 | +295 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -185 | +125 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Minnesota United vs. Portland Timbers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Portland | +320 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -185 |
According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Portland to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Minnesota United vs. Portland Timbers: Correct score predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| MIN 1-1 POT | 10.1% |
| MIN 2-1 POT | 9.8% |
| MIN 1-0 POT | 8.6% |
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Minnesota United vs. Portland Timbers game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's game between Minnesota and Portland in MLS at Allianz Field is scheduled to start at 8:30 PM ET.
- Who: Minnesota United vs. Portland Timbers
- Date: Saturday, April 18, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: Allianz Field
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Minnesota has a 55.0% win probability on Saturday, Portland has a 22.9% win probability, and there is a 22.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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