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Bucks vs. Kings prediction: Milwaukee to win, Giannis Antetokounmpo projected for 30 points in Sunday's NBA game [1/4/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Milwaukee Bucks vs Sacramento Kings predictions for NBA Sunday.
The Sacramento Kings will take on the favored Milwaukee Bucks in NBA action at Golden 1 Center on Sunday, starting at 9:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model projects the Bucks as the most likely winner of the Bucks vs. Kings game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Kings lineup will feature stars like DeMar DeRozan, Zach LaVine and Keegan Murray, while the Bucks will rely on Giannis Antetokounmpo, Kevin Porter and Ryan Rollins.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Bucks vs. Kings prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NBA game between the Bucks and Kings 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Bucks a 72% chance of beating the Kings. Our predicted final score has the Bucks winning 117-110.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Bucks and Kings each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 227.5 points also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Bucks vs. Kings odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Bucks | Kings |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -6.5 (-110) | +6.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -235 | +205 |
| Total | o227.5 (-108) | u227.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Bucks vs. Kings picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Bucks -6.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Bucks | -235 |
| Total | Over 227.5 | -108 |
According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Bucks to win.
Bucks vs. Kings player props
Betting on Bucks vs. Kings NBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Golden 1 Center.
Giannis Antetokounmpo is expected to lead the Bucks with 30 points, 10 rebounds and 7 assists, while DeMar DeRozan is projected to have 19 points, 4 rebounds and 4 assists for the Kings.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Bucks prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Bucks are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Antetokounmpo | 30 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 58 |
| Kevin Porter | 18 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 45 |
| Ryan Rollins | 17 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 38 |
| Bobby Portis | 13 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 26 |
| Kyle Kuzma | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 24 |
Kings prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Kings:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan | 19 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 34 |
| Zach LaVine | 18 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 29 |
| Keegan Murray | 15 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 32 |
| R. Westbrook | 14 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 36 |
| Maxime Raynaud | 13 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 28 |
Bucks vs. Kings game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's matchup between the Kings and Bucks at Golden 1 Center is scheduled to commence at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: Milwaukee Bucks vs. Sacramento Kings
- Date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: Golden 1 Center
Conclusion
We predict the Bucks, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat the Kings on Sunday, with Giannis Antetokounmpo projected for a game-high 58 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Bucks vs. Kings insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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