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Bucks vs. Hawks prediction: Atlanta to win, Giannis Antetokounmpo projected for 28 points in Saturday's NBA game [3/14/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Milwaukee Bucks vs Atlanta Hawks predictions for NBA Saturday.
The Atlanta Hawks will take on the Milwaukee Bucks in NBA action at State Farm Arena on Saturday, beginning at 3:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Hawks as the most likely winner of the Bucks vs. Hawks game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Hawks lineup will feature players like Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker and CJ McCollum, while the Bucks will be led by Giannis Antetokounmpo, Ryan Rollins and Kevin Porter.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Bucks vs. Hawks prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NBA game between the Bucks and Hawks 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Hawks a 76% chance of beating the Bucks. Our predicted final score has the Hawks winning 118-109.
According to our model, the Bucks (+9) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the 228.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Bucks vs. Hawks odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Bucks | Hawks |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +9 (-106) | -9 (-114) |
| Moneyline | +295 | -350 |
| Total | o228.5 (-105) | u228.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Bucks vs. Hawks picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Bucks +9 | -106 |
| Moneyline | Hawks | -350 |
| Total | Over 228.5 | -105 |
According to our NBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Bucks +9 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Bucks vs. Hawks player props
NBA prop bets are a popular way to wager on Saturday's Bucks vs. Hawks matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at State Farm Arena.
Giannis Antetokounmpo is expected to lead the Bucks with 28 points, 10 rebounds and 6 assists, while Jalen Johnson is projected to have 23 points, 11 rebounds and 9 assists for the Hawks.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Bucks prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Bucks are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Antetokounmpo | 28 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 55 |
| Ryan Rollins | 19 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 42 |
| Kevin Porter | 15 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 35 |
| Bobby Portis | 15 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 31 |
| Kyle Kuzma | 10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22 |
Hawks prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Hawks:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson | 23 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 56 |
| N. Alexander-Walker | 19 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 36 |
| CJ McCollum | 18 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 33 |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 15 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 36 |
| Dyson Daniels | 12 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 35 |
Bucks vs. Hawks game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's game between the Hawks and Bucks at State Farm Arena is scheduled to start at 3:00 PM ET.
- Who: Milwaukee Bucks vs. Atlanta Hawks
- Date: Saturday, March 14, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
- Venue: State Farm Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Hawks, with a 76% win probability, will likely beat the Bucks on Saturday, with Jalen Johnson projected for a game-high 56 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Bucks vs. Hawks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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