Aug 28, 2026
Phillies vs. Angels prediction: Philadelphia favored to win Friday's MLB matchup [8/28/2026]
Read Article Marlins vs. Nationals prediction: Why Miami is favored to win Friday's MLB matchup [8/28/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals predictions for MLB Friday.
The Washington Nationals will square off with the Miami Marlins in MLB action at Nationals Park on Friday, starting at 6:45 PM ET.
The Nationals will send Jackson Kent (0-2, 8.03 ERA) to the mound, while the Marlins have opted for Eury Pérez (7-9, 3.17 ERA).
Dimers' advanced MLB model projects the Marlins as the most likely winner in this Marlins vs. Nationals prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Marlins vs. Nationals prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's MLB game between the Marlins and Nationals, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Marlins a 56.8% chance of defeating the Nationals.
According to our model, the Nationals (+1.5) have a 56.1% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 53.4% chance of going over.
Marlins vs. Nationals odds [8/28/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Marlins -1.5 (+125) / Nationals +1.5 (-127)
- Moneyline: Marlins -130, Nationals +127
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Marlins vs. Nationals picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Nationals +1.5 @ -127 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Marlins @ -130 via DraftKings
- Total: Over 8.5 @ +100 via DraftKings
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Marlins vs. Nationals game-day updates and essential details
Friday's MLB action between the Nationals and Marlins at Nationals Park is scheduled to commence at 6:45 PM ET.
- Who: Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals
- Date: Friday, August 28, 2026
- Time: 6:45 PM ET/3:45PM PT
- Venue: Nationals Park
Conclusion
We predict the Marlins, with a 56.8% win probability, will likely beat the Nationals in Friday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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