Aces vs. Mercury Prediction: Phoenix Predicted to Win Sunday's WNBA Matchup [6/29/2025]

The Phoenix Mercury and Las Vegas Aces will lock horns in the WNBA at PHX Arena on Sunday, starting at 6:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced WNBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Mercury as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Aces-Mercury game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Mercury with a win probability of 72%, while the Aces have 28%."

The Mercury, with star players like Satou Sabally, Kahleah Copper and Alyssa Thomas, are set to take on the Aces, featuring A'ja Wilson, Jewell Loyd and Jackie Young.

For a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Aces vs. Mercury predictions page.

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Mercury vs. Aces Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's WNBA game between the Aces and Mercury 10,000 times as part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Mercury a 72% chance of defeating the Aces.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Aces and Mercury each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 168 points has a 51% chance of going over.

Aces vs. Mercury Odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Aces vs. Mercury Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Aces vs. Mercury matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best WNBA picks and WNBA best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Aces vs. Mercury Player Props

Betting on Las Vegas vs. Phoenix WNBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at PHX Arena.

A'ja Wilson is expected to lead the Aces in scoring, while Satou Sabally is projected to be the top scorer for the Mercury.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every WNBA game this season.

Projected Box Scores for Every WNBA Game

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Aces vs. Mercury Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's action between the Mercury and Aces at PHX Arena is scheduled to begin at 6:00PM ET.

• Who: Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury
• Date: Sunday, June 29, 2025
• Time: 6:00PM ET/3:00PM PT
• Venue: PHX Arena

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Sunday's Aces vs. Mercury matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Aces vs. Mercury picks, be sure to check out the latest WNBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Mercury, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat the Aces on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Aces vs. Mercury insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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