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Chiefs vs. Steelers Prediction: Kansas City Predicted to Win in NFL Week 17 [2024]
Our expert prediction for Wednesday's Kansas City Chiefs vs Pittsburgh Steelers matchup.
The Pittsburgh Steelers will face the Kansas City Chiefs in NFL Week 17 action at Acrisure Stadium on Christmas Day, beginning at 1:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Chiefs as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Kansas City-Pittsburgh game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"With the latest updates and numerous other variables, we estimate the Chiefs' chance of winning at 57%, with the Steelers at 43%."
This updated Chiefs vs. Steelers betting preview builds on my early Chiefs vs. Steelers prediction that I published at the start of the week.
For a closer look at today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Chiefs vs. Steelers predictions page.
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Chiefs vs. Steelers Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
The NFL Week 17 matchup between the Steelers and Chiefs at Acrisure Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
- Date: Wednesday, December 25, 2024 (Christmas Day)
- Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: Acrisure Stadium
- Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
- Merchandise: Buy Steelers and Chiefs gear at Fanatics
Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of this week's Chiefs vs. Steelers matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Kansas City vs. Pittsburgh picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Chiefs vs. Steelers Predictions
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NFL game between the Chiefs and Steelers 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Chiefs a 57% chance of defeating the Steelers in Week 17 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Chiefs winning 23-21.
According to our model, the Chiefs (-1.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 45.5 points has a 51% chance of staying under.
Along with our Chiefs vs. Steelers predictions, we've also prepared the following for this week's action:
Chiefs vs. Steelers Odds
We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Chiefs | Steelers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -1.5 (-115) | +1.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | -130 | +112 |
| Total | o45.5 (-120) | u45.5 (-102) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Chiefs vs. Steelers Picks
Our model's biggest edge in today's Chiefs vs. Steelers matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Chiefs vs. Steelers TD Scorers
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Chiefs vs. Steelers?
According to our model, Pittsburgh's George Pickens is most likely to score the first TD in Chiefs vs. Steelers.
Our projections give Pickens an 8.3% chance of getting in for six first at Acrisure Stadium, while the Steelers WR is a 35.4% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Kansas City Chiefs
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Kareem Hunt | 7.5% |
| Isiah Pacheco | 7.1% |
| Xavier Worthy | 6.9% |
Pittsburgh Steelers
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| George Pickens | 8.3% |
| Najee Harris | 7.9% |
| Jaylen Warren | 6.6% |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Kansas City Chiefs
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Kareem Hunt | 32.2% |
| Isiah Pacheco | 32.2% |
| Xavier Worthy | 31.5% |
Pittsburgh Steelers
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| George Pickens | 35.4% |
| Najee Harris | 35.0% |
| Jaylen Warren | 31.2% |
Chiefs vs Steelers Player Props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Chiefs and Steelers. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.
Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Chiefs-Steelers page now to access every player prop projection.
Chiefs vs. Steelers Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is projected to throw for more yards than the Steelers' Russell Wilson.
Chiefs Rushing
Isiah Pacheco, Kareem Hunt and Patrick Mahomes are projected to be the leading rushers for the Chiefs.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Isiah Pacheco | RB |
| Kareem Hunt | RB |
| Patrick Mahomes | QB |
Steelers Rushing
Najee Harris, Jaylen Warren and Russell Wilson are expected to lead the Steelers in rushing yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Najee Harris | RB |
| Jaylen Warren | RB |
| Russell Wilson | QB |
Chiefs Receiving
Travis Kelce, DeAndre Hopkins, Xavier Worthy, Hollywood Brown and Noah Gray are projected to top the receiving yards for the Chiefs.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Travis Kelce | TE |
| DeAndre Hopkins | WR |
| Xavier Worthy | WR |
| Hollywood Brown | WR |
| Noah Gray | TE |
Steelers Receiving
George Pickens, Pat Freiermuth, Calvin Austin, Jaylen Warren and Van Jefferson are projected to lead the Steelers in receiving yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| George Pickens | WR |
| Pat Freiermuth | TE |
| Calvin Austin | WR |
| Jaylen Warren | RB |
| Van Jefferson | WR |
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Conclusion
We predict the Chiefs, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat the Steelers in Week 17 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Chiefs vs. Steelers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NFL
Stay informed with the latest NFL news, NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the latest predictions for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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