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Girona vs. Athletic Bilbao prediction, odds, La Liga picks [3/14/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer
Get Girona vs Athletic Bilbao predictions for La Liga Saturday.
Girona will take on Athletic Bilbao in La Liga action at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi on Saturday, commencing at 9:00 AM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced La Liga model predicts Athletic Bilbao as the most likely winner of the Girona vs. Athletic Bilbao game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Girona vs. Athletic Bilbao prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's La Liga match between Girona and Athletic Bilbao 10,000 times as part of our La Liga predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model indicates a 35.6% chance of Girona winning, a 37.4% chance for Athletic Bilbao, and a 27.0% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 55% chance of staying under, according to our model.
Girona vs. Athletic Bilbao odds
We have sourced the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Girona | Athletic Bilbao | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +175 | +165 | +235 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| +104 | -128 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Girona vs. Athletic Bilbao picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Athletic Bilbao | +165 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | -128 |
According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Athletic Bilbao to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Girona vs. Athletic Bilbao: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| GIR 1-1 ATB | 12.8% |
| GIR 0-1 ATB | 10.5% |
| GIR 1-0 ATB | 10.1% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 50.8% chance of both sides finding the net and a 49.2% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Girona vs. Athletic Bilbao game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's La Liga action between Girona and Athletic Bilbao at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi is scheduled to commence in the United States at 9:00 AM ET.
- Who: Girona vs. Athletic Bilbao
- Date: Saturday, March 14, 2026
- Time: 9:00 AM ET/6:00AM PT
- Venue: Estadio Municipal de Montilivi
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Girona has a 35.6% win probability on Saturday, Athletic Bilbao has a 37.4% win probability, and there is a 27.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Girona vs. Athletic Bilbao insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
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