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Girona vs. Athletic Bilbao Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Girona vs. Athletic Bilbao at the La Liga on March 14, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
Athletic Bilbao
0
3
Mar 14, 1PM Estadio Municipal de Montilivi
Girona
Mar 14, 1PM Estadio Municipal de Montilivi
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
GironaGIR
Score Summary
Athletic BilbaoBIL
H. Rincon (4')
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A. Ounahi (77')
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C. Echeverri (90')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
GIR
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
BIL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Girona by C. Echeverri, assisted by V. Tsygankov
0-3
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: A. Moreno replaces J. Roca
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: A. Ruiz replaces A. Ounahi
82'
Yellow Card
A. Berenguer (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: Izeta replaces I. Williams
77'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Girona by A. Ounahi, assisted by C. Echeverri
0-2
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: N. Serrano replaces O. Sancet
73'
Yellow Card
O. Sancet (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: C. Echeverri replaces V. Vanat
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: I. Martin replaces F. Beltran
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: M. Vesga replaces M. Jauregizar
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: G. Guruzeta replaces R. Navarro
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: J. Areso replaces A. Gorosabel
4'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Girona by H. Rincon, assisted by V. Tsygankov
0-1

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Girona vs. Athletic Bilbao: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Girona vs. Athletic Bilbao prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Girona vs. Athletic Bilbao
  • Date: Saturday, March 14, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Municipal de Montilivi
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Girona +190, Athletic Bilbao +155, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+100/-110)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Girona: 35.6%
  • Athletic Bilbao: 37.4%
  • Draw: 27.0%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Girona 1-1 Athletic Bilbao, with a probability of 13%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Girona is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 35.6% probability, while Athletic Bilbao sits at 37.4%, with the draw at 27.0%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Girona vs. Athletic Bilbao prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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