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Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Casper Ruud prediction, odds, picks for ATP Monte-Carlo Masters 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer
Get Auger-Aliassime vs Ruud predictions for ATP Monte-Carlo Masters.
Felix Auger-Aliassime and Casper Ruud will meet in the round of 16 of the ATP Monte-Carlo Masters event on Thursday.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Casper Ruud as the most likely winner of the Auger-Aliassime vs. Ruud match.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.
Auger-Aliassime vs. Ruud prediction: Who will win and advance to the quarterfinals?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's Auger-Aliassime-Ruud men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives Ruud a 59% chance of winning against Auger-Aliassime at the ATP Monte-Carlo Masters tournament.
Additionally, Ruud has a 55% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Auger-Aliassime (+2.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 22.5 games has a 52% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Casper Ruud odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Auger-Aliassime | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +147 | -172 |
| First Set | +120 | -152 |
| Game Spread | +2.5 (-112) | -2.5 (-118) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-110) | u22.5 (-122) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Auger-Aliassime vs. Ruud picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Auger-Aliassime | +147 |
| First Set | Ruud | -110 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 22.5 total games.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Auger-Aliassime vs. Ruud updates and essential details
The ATP Monte-Carlo Masters match between Felix Auger-Aliassime and Casper Ruud is scheduled to commence on Thursday at 6:10 AM ET.
- Who: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Casper Ruud
- Date: Thursday, April 9, 2026
- Approx. Time: 6:10 AM ET/3:10AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Monte Carlo, Monaco Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 16
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Casper Ruud, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat Felix Auger-Aliassime at the ATP Monte-Carlo Masters tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
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