Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs. Carlos Alcaraz prediction, odds, picks for ATP Shanghai Masters 2026

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Saturday's Cerundolo-Alcaraz men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Alcaraz a 93% chance of beating Cerundolo at the ATP Shanghai Masters tournament.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Carlos Alcaraz -3448, Juan Cerundolo +1400

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Cerundolo @ +1400 via DraftKings
• First Set: Alcaraz @ -105 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 18.5 total games.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Shanghai Masters match between Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Carlos Alcaraz is scheduled to begin on Saturday at 12:00 AM ET.

• Who: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs. Carlos Alcaraz
• Date: Saturday, October 10, 2026
• Approx. Time: 12:00 AM ET/9:00PM PT
• Tournament: ATP Shanghai, China Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 64

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Carlos Alcaraz, with a 93% win probability, will likely beat Juan Cerundolo at the ATP Shanghai Masters tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.