Lions vs. Bears Prediction: Detroit Predicted to Win in NFL Week 16 [2024]

NFL Week 16 action continues on Sunday at 1:00PM ET as the Detroit Lions square off with the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Lions as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Detroit-Chicago game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Lions with a win probability of 73%, while the Bears have 27%."

This updated Lions vs. Bears betting preview builds on my early Lions vs. Bears prediction that I released at the start of the week.

For a closer look at today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Lions vs. Bears predictions page.

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Lions vs. Bears Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 16 action between the Bears and Lions at Soldier Field is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears
• Date: Sunday, December 22, 2024
• Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Soldier Field
• Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
• Merchandise: Buy Bears and Lions gear at Fanatics

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of this week's Lions vs. Bears matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Detroit vs. Chicago picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Lions vs. Bears Predictions

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Lions and Bears 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Lions a 73% chance of defeating the Bears in Week 16 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Lions winning 27-20.

According to our model, the Lions (-6.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the 47.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Along with our Lions vs. Bears predictions, we've also here's what else we've got for today’s action:

• NFL Best Bets for Week 16
• NFL Player Props for Week 16
• Anytime TD Scorer Predictions for Week 16

Lions vs. Bears Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Lions	Bears
Spread	-6.5 (-118)	+6.5 (-104)
Moneyline	-340	+275
Total	o47.5 (-110)	u47.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Lions vs. Bears Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's Lions vs. Bears matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Lions vs. Bears TD Scorers

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Lions vs. Bears?

According to our model, Detroit's Jahmyr Gibbs is most likely to score the first touchdown in Lions vs. Bears.

Our projections give Gibbs an 18.2% chance of scoring the first TD at Soldier Field, while the Lions RB is a 66.9% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Detroit Lions

Player	First TD Probability
Jahmyr Gibbs	18.2%
Amon-Ra St. Brown	10.4%
Sam LaPorta	7.7%

Chicago Bears

Player	First TD Probability
DJ Moore	7.7%
D'Andre Swift	7.6%
Keenan Allen	7.2%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Detroit Lions

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Jahmyr Gibbs	66.9%
Amon-Ra St. Brown	44.1%
Jameson Williams	34.6%

Chicago Bears

Player	Anytime TD Probability
DJ Moore	36.1%
D'Andre Swift	35.6%
Keenan Allen	33.6%

For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 16 touchdown scorer predictions

Lions vs Bears Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Lions and Bears. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Lions-Bears page now to access every player prop projection.

Lions vs. Bears Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Lions' Jared Goff is projected to throw for more yards than the Bears' Caleb Williams.

Lions Rushing

Jahmyr Gibbs, Craig Reynolds and Jared Goff are projected to be the leading rushers for the Lions.

Player	Position
Jahmyr Gibbs	RB
Craig Reynolds	RB
Jared Goff	QB

Bears Rushing

D'Andre Swift, Caleb Williams and Roschon Johnson are expected to lead the Bears in rushing yards.

Player	Position
D'Andre Swift	RB
Caleb Williams	QB
Roschon Johnson	RB

Lions Receiving

Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jameson Williams, Sam LaPorta, Tim Patrick and Jahmyr Gibbs are projected to top the receiving yards for the Lions.

Player	Position
Amon-Ra St. Brown	WR
Jameson Williams	WR
Sam LaPorta	TE
Tim Patrick	WR
Jahmyr Gibbs	RB

Bears Receiving

DJ Moore, Keenan Allen, Rome Odunze, Cole Kmet and D'Andre Swift are projected to lead the Bears in receiving yards.

Player	Position
DJ Moore	WR
Keenan Allen	WR
Rome Odunze	WR
Cole Kmet	TE
D'Andre Swift	RB

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Conclusion

We predict the Lions, with a 73% win probability, will likely beat the Bears in Week 16 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Lions vs. Bears insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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