Deportivo La Coruna vs. Sevilla prediction, odds, La Liga picks [9/16/2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Wednesday's La Liga match between Deportivo La Coruna and Sevilla, forming part of our La Liga predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model suggests a 37.8% chance of Deportivo La Coruna winning, a 35.2% chance for Sevilla, and a 27.0% chance of a draw. Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 54.6% chance of staying under., with a 50.7% likelihood that both teams score.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Sevilla +194, Deportivo La Coruna +181
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (+127/-133)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Deportivo La Coruna @ +181 via Kalshi
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ +127 via Polymarket

According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Deportivo La Coruna to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 Sevilla (12.8% probability)
• Deportivo La Coruna 1-0 Sevilla (10.5%)
• Deportivo La Coruna 0-1 Sevilla (10.1%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 50.7% chance of both sides finding the net and a 49.3% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Wednesday's La Liga action between Deportivo La Coruna and Sevilla at Estadio Municipal de Riazor is scheduled to start in the USA at 1:00 PM ET.

• Who: Deportivo La Coruna vs. Sevilla
• Date: Wednesday, September 16, 2026
• Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Estadio Municipal de Riazor

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Deportivo La Coruna has a 37.8% win probability on Wednesday, Sevilla has a 35.2% win probability, and there is a 27.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary La Liga prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.