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Mavericks vs. Suns prediction: Why Phoenix is favored to win Wednesday's NBA matchup [4/8/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns predictions for NBA Wednesday.
The Phoenix Suns will take on the Dallas Mavericks in NBA action at Mortgage Matchup Center on Wednesday, commencing at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Suns as the most likely winner of the Mavericks vs. Suns game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Suns lineup will feature players like Devin Booker, Jalen Green and Dillon Brooks, while the Mavericks will look to Cooper Flagg, Max Christie and Marvin Bagley.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Mavs vs. Suns prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NBA game between the Mavericks and Suns, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Suns an 82% chance of defeating the Mavericks. Our predicted final score has the Suns winning 121-110.
According to our model, the Mavericks (+12.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 234.5-point over/under has a 55% chance of staying under.
Mavericks vs. Suns odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mavericks | Suns |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +12.5 (-105) | -12.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +520 | -700 |
| Total | o234.5 (-105) | u234.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mavericks vs. Suns picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Mavericks +12.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Mavericks | +520 |
| Total | Under 234.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Wednesday, the top play to make on this game is Mavericks +12.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mavericks vs. Suns player props
Looking for Mavericks vs. Suns NBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Mortgage Matchup Center.
Cooper Flagg is expected to lead the Mavericks with 26 points, 7 rebounds and 5 assists, while Devin Booker is projected to have 27 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists for the Suns.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Mavericks prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Mavericks are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg | 26 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 48 |
| Max Christie | 13 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 24 |
| Marvin Bagley | 12 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 27 |
| Tyler Smith | 11 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22 |
| Khris Middleton | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 23 |
Suns prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Suns:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker | 27 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 47 |
| Jalen Green | 21 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 38 |
| Dillon Brooks | 20 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 33 |
| C. Gillespie | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 28 |
| Jordan Goodwin | 10 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 26 |
Mavs vs. Suns game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's game between the Suns and Mavericks at Mortgage Matchup Center is scheduled to commence at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Dallas Mavericks vs. Phoenix Suns
- Date: Wednesday, April 8, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Mortgage Matchup Center
Conclusion
We predict the Suns, with an 82% win probability, will likely beat the Mavericks on Wednesday, with Cooper Flagg projected for a game-high 48 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mavericks vs. Suns insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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