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Colombia vs. Uzbekistan 2026 World Cup early prediction with win probabilities
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get early predictions for the upcoming Colombia vs Uzbekistan FIFA World Cup game.
Colombia and Uzbekistan will meet in the group stage of the 2026 World Cup at Estadio Azteca on Wednesday, June 17.
For this Group K meeting, Colombia—led by experienced talisman James Rodríguez—face Uzbekistan, appearing at the World Cup for the first time.
With 104 days until kickoff, Dimers’ trusted soccer model currently favors Colombia to win.
For full coverage, see our interactive Uzbekistan vs. Colombia page and World Cup predictions hub.
Colombia vs. Uzbekistan early predictions
Leveraging trusted machine learning and analysis, we have simulated the Colombia vs. Uzbekistan game as part of our World Cup predictions coverage. Here are the latest insights:
- Win probabilities: Colombia 65.7%, Draw 20.8%, Uzbekistan 13.6%
- Total goals (2.5): Over 51%, Under 49%
- Both teams to score: Yes 45%, No 55%
- Most likely final score: Uzbekistan 0-1 Colombia (13%)
As of March 6, 2026, these Uzbekistan-Colombia figures and predictions reflect the latest data and insights available.
Colombia vs. Uzbekistan World Cup details
The FIFA World Cup matchup between Uzbekistan and Colombia is scheduled for June 17, 2026, with the two teams starting their tournaments in what is set to be the largest World Cup in history.
- Teams: Uzbekistan vs. Colombia
- Tournament stage: Group L
- Date: Wednesday, June 17, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Estadio Azteca
- More previews: Latest World Cup news
Colombia vs. Uzbekistan current odds
We've researched the best betting odds across America for this Group L game, which are listed here:
- Moneyline: Colombia -210, Uzbekistan +750, Draw +390
- Total goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-125/+104)
Odds subject to change as the game draws nearer.
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia picks and best bet
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Uzbekistan | +750 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +104 |
We will be providing 2026 World Cup best bets all tournament long, with the early edge on this game being on Uzbekistan to win.
Although they are not the most likely winner of the match, the edge provided on Uzbekistan's odds provide the best long-term value right now.
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 Colombia win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Uzbekistan 0-1 Colombia | 13% |
| Uzbekistan 0-2 Colombia | 12.7% |
| Uzbekistan 1-1 Colombia | 9.8% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 45.4% chance of both sides finding the net and a 54.6% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Conclusion: Uzbekistan vs. Colombia prediction
Our World Cup predictions for this matchup suggest that Colombia to win is the most likely outcome, followed by a draw, with Uzbekistan to win as the least likely result..
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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