Cavaliers vs. Hawks prediction: Cleveland to win, Donovan Mitchell projected for 28 points in Black Friday NBA game [11/28/2025]

The Atlanta Hawks and Cleveland Cavaliers are scheduled to meet on Black Friday in NBA Cup action at State Farm Arena on Friday, with tipoff at 7:30PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Cavaliers as the most likely winner of the Cavaliers vs. Hawks game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Hawks lineup will feature players like Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker and Onyeka Okongwu, while the Cavaliers will be led by Donovan Mitchell, Darius Garland and Evan Mobley.

This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Cavs vs. Hawks prediction: Who will win NBA Cup game?

As part of Dimers' NBA predictions coverage—and following a review of recent results—our pregame model has generated moneyline, spread, and over/under probabilities for Friday's clash between the Cavaliers and Hawks.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Cavaliers a 70% chance of beating the Hawks. Our predicted final score has the Cavaliers winning 120-114.

According to our model, the Hawks (+6.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 236.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.

Cavaliers vs. Hawks odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Cavaliers	Hawks
Spread	-6.5 (-115)	+6.5 (-105)
Moneyline	-250	+210
Total	o236.5 (-108)	u236.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Cavaliers vs. Hawks picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Hawks +6.5	-105
Moneyline	Cavaliers	-250
Total	Under 236.5	-110

According to our best NBA bets for Friday, the top play to make on this game is Hawks +6.5 at the spread.

Cavaliers vs. Hawks player props

Betting on Cavaliers vs. Hawks NBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at State Farm Arena.

Donovan Mitchell is expected to lead the Cavaliers with 28 points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists, while Jalen Johnson is projected to have 23 points, 10 rebounds and 7 assists for the Hawks.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.

Cavaliers prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Cavaliers are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
D. Mitchell	28	5	5	3	49
Darius Garland	18	3	6	3	37
Evan Mobley	18	8	4	1	40
De'Andre Hunter	17	5	2	2	30
Jarrett Allen	12	7	2	0	28

Hawks prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Hawks:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Jalen Johnson	23	10	7	2	52
N. Alexander-Walker	17	3	4	2	32
Onyeka Okongwu	16	9	3	2	37
Z. Risacher	15	3	1	2	25
Dyson Daniels	12	6	5	1	35

Cavs vs. Hawks game-day updates and essential details

Friday's action between the Hawks and Cavaliers at State Farm Arena is scheduled to start at 7:30PM ET.

• Who: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Atlanta Hawks
• Date: Friday, November 28, 2025 (Black Friday)
• Time: 7:30PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: State Farm Arena
• Tournament details: 2025 Emirates NBA Cup

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Conclusion

We predict the Cavaliers, with a 70% win probability, will likely beat the Hawks on Black Friday, with Jalen Johnson projected for a game-high 52 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Cavaliers vs. Hawks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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