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Burnley vs. Chelsea prediction, odds, Premier League picks [11/22/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Burnley vs Chelsea predictions for Premier League Saturday.
Premier League action continues on Saturday at 7:30AM ET as Chelsea squares off with Burnley at Turf Moor.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven Premier League model predicts Chelsea as the most likely winner of the Burnley vs. Chelsea game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Burnley vs. Chelsea prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Premier League match between Burnley and Chelsea 10,000 times as part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently suggests an 18.3% chance of Burnley winning, a 60.8% chance for Chelsea, and a 20.9% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 59% chance of going over, according to our model.
Burnley vs. Chelsea odds
We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Burnley | Chelsea | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +470 | -170 | +320 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -152 | +124 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Burnley vs. Chelsea picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Burnley | +470 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -152 |
According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Burnley to win.
Burnley vs. Chelsea: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scoresaccording to our model, with a 2-1 Chelsea win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| BUR 1-2 CHE | 10% |
| BUR 0-2 CHE | 9.8% |
| BUR 1-1 CHE | 9.8% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 55.6% chance that both Burnley and Chelsea score, and a 44.4% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations.
Burnley vs. Chelsea game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Premier League matchup between Burnley and Chelsea at Turf Moor is scheduled to commence in the United States at 7:30AM ET.
- Who: Burnley vs. Chelsea
- Date: Saturday, November 22, 2025
- Time: 7:30AM ET/4:30AM PT
- Venue: Turf Moor
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Conclusion
According to our computer model, Burnley has an 18.3% win probability on Saturday, Chelsea has a 60.8% win probability, and there is a 20.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Burnley vs. Chelsea insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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