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Burnley vs. Chelsea Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Burnley vs. Chelsea Premier League game on November 22, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Chelsea
2
0
Nov 22, 12:30PM Turf Moor
Burnley
Nov 22, 12:30PM Turf Moor
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
BurnleyBUR
Score Summary
ChelseaCFC
P. Neto (37')
E. Fernandez (88')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
BUR
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
CFC
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
88'
Goal scored for Chelsea by E. Fernandez, assisted by M. Guiu
2-0
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: J. Laurent replaces Florentino
82'
Yellow Card
H. Mejbri (Burnley) cautioned
81'
Yellow Card
B. Badiashile (Chelsea) cautioned
78'
Yellow Card
E. Maresca (Chelsea) cautioned
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: M. Guiu replaces Joao Pedro
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: J. Bruun Larsen replaces L. Tchaouna
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: L. Foster replaces J. Anthony
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: H. Mejbri replaces L. Ugochukwu
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: A. Broja replaces Z. Flemming
69'
Yellow Card
Joao Pedro (Chelsea) cautioned
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: M. Gusto replaces L. Delap
49'
Yellow Card
K. Walker (Burnley) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: B. Badiashile replaces R. James
41'
Yellow Card
P. Neto (Chelsea) cautioned
37'
Goal scored for Chelsea by P. Neto, assisted by J. Gittens
1-0

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Burnley vs. Chelsea: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Burnley vs. Chelsea
  • Date: Saturday, November 22, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 AM ET
  • Venue: Turf Moor

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Burnley +510, Chelsea -170, Draw +335
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-150/+125)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Burnley: 18.3%
  • Chelsea: 60.8%
  • Draw: 20.9%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Burnley 1-2 Chelsea, which has a correct score probability of 10%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Burnley a win probability of 18.3%, while Chelsea has a win probability of 60.8%. The chance of a draw is 20.9%.

Summary

Our Burnley vs. Chelsea predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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