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Celtics vs. Hawks prediction: Why Atlanta is favored to win Monday's NBA game [3/30/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks predictions for NBA Monday.
The Atlanta Hawks and Boston Celtics will meet in NBA action at State Farm Arena on Monday, with tipoff at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model gives the Hawks a slight edge with a 52% win probability over the Celtics.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Hawks lineup will feature players like Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker and CJ McCollum, while the Celtics will look to Jaylen Brown, Payton Pritchard and Derrick White.
This article offers further insights into Monday's Celtics vs. Hawks matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Celtics vs. Hawks prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's NBA matchup between the Celtics and Hawks, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Hawks a 52% chance of beating the Celtics. Our predicted final score has the Hawks winning 111-110.
According to our model, the Celtics (+1.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 222.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Celtics vs. Hawks odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Celtics | Hawks |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +1.5 (-108) | -1.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +110 | -120 |
| Total | o222.5 (-108) | u222.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Celtics vs. Hawks picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Celtics +1.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Celtics | +110 |
| Total | Over 222.5 | -108 |
According to our best NBA bets for Monday, the top play to make on this game is Celtics +1.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Celtics vs. Hawks player props
NBA prop bets are a popular way to wager on Monday's Celtics vs. Hawks game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at State Farm Arena.
Jaylen Brown is expected to lead the Celtics with 30 points, 8 rebounds and 6 assists, while Jalen Johnson is projected to have 22 points, 10 rebounds and 8 assists for the Hawks.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Celtics prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Celtics are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown | 30 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 53 |
| P. Pritchard | 18 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 35 |
| Derrick White | 17 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 38 |
| Neemias Queta | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 31 |
| Sam Hauser | 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 22 |
Hawks prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Hawks:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson | 22 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 51 |
| N. Alexander-Walker | 18 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 34 |
| CJ McCollum | 17 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 31 |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 12 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 29 |
| Dyson Daniels | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 32 |
Celtics vs. Hawks game-day updates and essential details
Monday's matchup between the Hawks and Celtics at State Farm Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Boston Celtics vs. Atlanta Hawks
- Date: Monday, March 30, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: State Farm Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Hawks, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat the Celtics on Monday, with Jaylen Brown projected for a game-high 53 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Celtics vs. Hawks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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