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Best bets today for all sports: Thursday's picks include Cal State Bakersfield vs. Cal State Northridge men's college basketball play [12/4/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get the best bets for Thursday, December 4, 2025.
Today’s best sports bets for December 04, 2025 are here, with Cal State Bakersfield vs. Cal State Northridge and Cal Poly vs. Cal State Fullerton in men's college basketball among the top plays identified by our model across Thursday’s schedule.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, scanning the latest odds to find legitimate betting edges. The result? Data-backed plays that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of best bets for today [12/4, updated 9:31PM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 bets, ranked by edge for Thursday, December 4, 2025.
Men's College Basketball: Cal State Bakersfield +5.5 (-106)
- Edge: 9.3%
- Probability: 60.7%
- Men's College Basketball matchup: Cal State Bakersfield vs. Cal State Northridge (10:00PM ET, Thursday)
Our model has identified value on Cal State Bakersfield +5.5 at -106 odds. A 60.7% probability produces an edge of 9.3%, making this the strongest play for today's sports action.
Men's College Basketball: Cal Poly vs. Cal State Fullerton under 177.5 points (-105)
- Edge: 5.5%
- Probability: 56.7%
- Men's College Basketball matchup: Cal Poly vs. Cal State Fullerton (10:00PM ET, Thursday)
Cal Poly vs. Cal State Fullerton under 177.5 points carries a 5.5% edge and a probability of 56.7% at -105 odds, according to our model.
Men's College Basketball: Cal State Bakersfield ML (+198)
- Edge: 3.3%
- Probability: 32.2%
- Men's College Basketball Matchup: Cal State Bakersfield vs. Cal State Northridge (10:00PM ET, Thursday)
Cal State Bakersfield ML at +198 odds shows a 3.3% edge, supported by a 32.2% probability in simulations.
Men's College Basketball: South Alabama +5.5 (-112)
- Edge: 7.9%
- Probability: 60.7%
- Men's College Basketball Matchup: South Alabama vs. East Tennessee State (7:00PM ET, Friday)
A 7.9% edge and 60.7% probability make South Alabama +5.5 vs. East Tennessee State at a value play in the South Alabama vs. East Tennessee State matchup, per our model.
NBA: Jazz +15.5 (-110)
- Edge: 5.8%
- Probability: 58.2%
- NBA Matchup: Jazz vs. Knicks (7:30PM ET, Friday)
Jazz +15.5 at -110 odds presents a 5.8% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 58.2%.
Men's College Basketball: Cal Poly vs. Cal State Fullerton under 177.5 points (-105)
- Edge: 5.5%
- Probability: 56.7%
- Men's College Basketball Matchup: Cal Poly vs. Cal State Fullerton (10:00PM ET, Thursday)
Our model finds value on under 177.5 points in Cal Poly vs. Cal State Fullerton at -105 odds, supported by an edge of 5.5%.
NBA: Mavericks +15.5 (-110)
- Edge: 4.5%
- Probability: 56.9%
- NBA Matchup: Mavericks vs. Thunder (9:30PM ET, Friday) Our model has uncovered value on Mavericks +15.5 at -110 odds. A 56.9% probability produces a 4.5% edge, making this a strong play for today's NBA action.
Men's College Basketball: Quinnipiac +1.5 (-105)
- Edge: 4.4%
- Probability: 55.6%
- Men's College Basketball Matchup: Quinnipiac vs. Iona (7:00PM ET, Friday)
A 4.4% edge on a 55.6% probability makes Quinnipiac +1.5 at -105 odds a solid value play in today's Quinnipiac vs. Iona matchup.
Men's College Football: Jacksonville State ML (+115)
- Edge: 3.9%
- Probability: 50.4%
- Men's College Football Matchup: Kennesaw State vs. Jacksonville State (7:00PM ET, Friday)
Our model projects value on Jacksonville State to win at +115 odds. A 50.4% probability produces a 3.9% edge, making Jacksonville State the favorable ML play in Saturday’s men's college football matchup.
Men's College Basketball: Marist ML (-455)
- Edge: 3.9%
- Probability: 85.5%
- Men's College Basketball Matchup: Mount St. Mary's vs. Marist (7:00PM ET, Friday)
Rounding out our top 10 bets, Marist to defeat Mount St. Mary's at -455 odds shows an 85.5% probability and a 3.9% edge.
Best sports bets today summary: Thursday, 12/4/2025
As of 9:31PM ET, here are our top bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cal State Bakersfield vs. Cal State Northridge (Men's College Basketball) | Cal State Bakersfield +5.5 | -106 @ FanDuel | 9.3% | 60.7% |
| Cal Poly vs. Cal State Fullerton (Men's College Basketball) | Under 177.5 Points | -105 @ FanDuel | 5.5% | 56.7% |
| Cal State Bakersfield vs. Cal State Northridge (Men's College Basketball) | Cal State Bakersfield ML | +198 @ FanDuel | 3.3% | 32.2% |
| South Alabama vs. East Tennessee State (Men's College Basketball) | South Alabama +5.5 | -112 @ DraftKings | 7.9% | 60.7% |
| Jazz vs. Knicks (NBA) | Jazz +15.5 | -110 @ BetMGM | 5.8% | 58.2% |
| Cal Poly vs. Cal State Fullerton (Men's College Basketball) | Under 177.5 Points | -105 @ FanDuel | 5.5% | 56.7% |
| Mavericks vs. Thunder (NBA) | Mavericks +15.5 | -110 @ FanDuel | 4.5% | 56.9% |
| Quinnipiac vs. Iona (Men's College Basketball) | Quinnipiac +1.5 | -105 @ BetMGM | 4.4% | 55.6% |
| Kennesaw State vs. Jacksonville State (Men's College Football) | Jacksonville State ML | +115 @ BetMGM | 3.9% | 50.4% |
| Mount St. Mary's vs. Marist (Men's College Basketball) | Marist ML | -455 @ DraftKings | 3.9% | 85.5% |
List of upcoming events to bet on right now [12/4/2025]
- NCAAM: Cal State Bakersfield vs. Cal State Northridge (10:00PM ET, Thursday)
- NCAAM: Cal Poly vs. Cal State Fullerton (10:00PM ET, Thursday)
- NCAAM: UC Riverside vs. UC Irvine (10:00PM ET, Thursday)
- NHL: Blackhawks vs. Kings (10:00PM ET, Thursday)
- NCAAM: UC Davis vs. Hawaii (12:00AM ET, Friday)
- La Liga: Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo (3:00PM ET, Friday)
- NHL: Golden Knights vs. Devils (7:00PM ET, Friday)
- NHL: Sabres vs. Jets (7:00PM ET, Friday)
- NCAAF: Troy vs. James Madison (7:00PM ET, Friday)
- NCAAM: Niagara vs. Siena (7:00PM ET, Friday)
Conclusion
Our best bets are locked and loaded for December 4, 2025, featuring plays such as Cal State Bakersfield +5.5 and under 177.5 points in the Cal Poly vs. Cal State Fullerton matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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