Alejandro Tabilo vs. Stan Wawrinka prediction, odds, picks for ATP Geneva Open 2026

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's Tabilo-Wawrinka men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Tabilo a 72% chance of beating Wawrinka at the ATP Geneva Open tournament.

Additionally, Tabilo has a 68% chance of winning the first set, while the under 22.5 games has a 53% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Alejandro Tabilo vs. Stan Wawrinka odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Tabilo	Wawrinka
Moneyline	-260	+220
First Set	-227	+175
Total Games	o22.5 (-105)	u22.5 (-140)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Tabilo vs. Wawrinka picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Moneyline	Tabilo	-260
First Set	Wawrinka	-105

According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is Alejandro Tabilo to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Tabilo vs. Wawrinka updates and essential details

The ATP Geneva Open match between Alejandro Tabilo and Stan Wawrinka is scheduled to begin on Monday at 5:00 AM ET.

• Who: Alejandro Tabilo vs. Stan Wawrinka
• Date: Monday, May 18, 2026
• Approx. Time: 5:00 AM ET/2:00AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Geneva, Switzerland Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 32

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Alejandro Tabilo, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat Stan Wawrinka at the ATP Geneva Open tournament.

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