Kings vs. Cavaliers Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Kings vs. Cavaliers NBA game on January 23, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA
Kings
118
123
Rocket Arena
Cavaliers
Rocket Arena
TEAM1234T
Kings
35 36 47 0 118
Cavaliers
35 33 55 0 123
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Kings
    <1%
  • Cavaliers
    >99%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Kings
35 36 47 0 118
Cavaliers
35 33 55 0 123
Q4 00:08 DeMar DeRozan makes two point running layup
Q4 00:45 Kings misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:34 Domantas Sabonis misses two point running layup
Q4 1:34 Kings makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:40 Malik Monk misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:58 Donovan Mitchell makes two point pullup jump shot (Evan Mobley assists)
Q4 3:23 Malik Monk misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:25 Kings misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:44 Evan Mobley misses two point driving floating jump shot
Q4 7:17 Domantas Sabonis makes two point jump shot (Malik Monk assists)
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:08
    +2
    DeMar DeRozan makes two point running layup
    118-123
  2. Q4 00:14
    Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
  3. Q4 00:15
    +1
    Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    118-123
  4. Q4 00:43
    Evan Mobley defensive rebound
  5. Q4 00:45
    Kings misses three point jump shot
  6. Q4 00:48
    Jaylon Tyson turnover (Malik Monk steals)
  7. Q4 1:28
    Cavaliers offensive rebound
  8. Q4 1:34
    Domantas Sabonis misses two point running layup
  9. Q4 1:34
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    118-123
  10. Q4 1:36
    Cavaliers turnover
  11. Q4 1:51
    DeMar DeRozan turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
  12. Q4 1:56
    Cavaliers turnover
  13. Q4 2:12
    Jaylon Tyson personal foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)
  14. Q4 2:40
    Malik Monk misses three point jump shot
  15. Q4 2:58
    +2
    Donovan Mitchell makes two point pullup jump shot (Evan Mobley assists)
    118-123
  16. Q4 3:23
    Malik Monk misses two point jump shot
  17. Q4 3:34
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  18. Q4 3:43
    Dylan Cardwell defensive rebound
  19. Q4 4:24
    Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
  20. Q4 5:08
    Dennis Schroder turnover (lost ball) (Dean Wade steals)
  21. Q4 5:25
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  22. Q4 5:42
    Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
  23. Q4 5:44
    Evan Mobley misses two point driving floating jump shot
  24. Q4 6:06
    Cavaliers personal foul
  25. Q4 6:06
    +1
    Dennis Schroder makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    118-123
  26. Q4 6:20
    Kings turnover
  27. Q4 7:17
    +2
    Domantas Sabonis makes two point jump shot (Malik Monk assists)
    93-104
  28. Q4 7:45
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  29. Q4 8:02
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    118-123
  30. Q4 8:29
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  31. Q4 8:49
    Cavaliers 60 second timeout
  32. Q4 8:49
    Kings lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Malik Monk, Domantas Sabonis, Dylan Cardwell, DeMar DeRozan)
  33. Q4 9:05
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    93-104
  34. Q4 9:06
    Dennis Schroder offensive rebound
  35. Q4 9:10
    Kings misses three point jump shot
  36. Q4 9:27
    Nae'Qwan Tomlin personal foul
  37. Q4 9:35
    +2
    Nae'Qwan Tomlin makes two point jump shot
    118-123
  38. Q4 9:48
    Kings misses three point jump shot
  39. Q4 10:06
    +2
    Domantas Sabonis makes two point jump shot
    118-123
  40. Q4 10:18
    De'Andre Hunter misses two point pullup jump shot
  41. Q4 10:31
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  42. Q4 10:31
    Domantas Sabonis offensive rebound
  43. Q4 10:31
    Kings lineup change (Russell Westbrook, Dennis Schroder, Malik Monk, Domantas Sabonis, Dylan Cardwell)
  44. Q4 10:48
    Larry Nance Jr. offensive rebound
  45. Q4 10:48
    +2
    Larry Nance Jr. makes two point jump shot
    118-123
  46. Q4 10:53
    Nae'Qwan Tomlin misses two point turnaround jump shot
  47. Q4 11:09
    Zach LaVine personal foul
  48. Q4 11:14
    Malik Monk turnover (bad pass) (Donovan Mitchell steals)
  49. Q4 11:27
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  50. Q4 11:36
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  51. Q3 00:00
    Cavaliers offensive rebound
  52. Q3 00:00
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  53. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  54. Q4 12:00
    Kings lineup change (Russell Westbrook, Zach LaVine, Dennis Schroder, Malik Monk, Domantas Sabonis)
  55. Q4 12:00
    Cavaliers lineup change (Larry Nance Jr., De'Andre Hunter, Nae'Qwan Tomlin, Donovan Mitchell, Jarrett Allen)
  56. Q3 00:03
    Zach LaVine misses three point jump shot
  57. Q3 00:09
    Russell Westbrook defensive rebound
  58. Q3 00:13
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  59. Q3 00:35
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    118-123
  60. Q3 00:53
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    118-123
  61. Q3 1:03
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    118-123
  62. Q3 1:22
    Kings lineup change (Russell Westbrook, Zach LaVine, Dennis Schroder, Malik Monk, Dylan Cardwell)
  63. Q3 1:24
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    90-95
  64. Q3 1:30
    Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
  65. Q3 1:45
    Jarrett Allen misses two point tip layup
  66. Q3 1:45
    Nique Clifford shooting foul (Jarrett Allen draws the foul)
  67. Q3 1:45
    +1
    Jarrett Allen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    90-95
  68. Q3 1:45
    Jarrett Allen offensive rebound
  69. Q3 1:45
    +1
    Jarrett Allen makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    116-122
  70. Q3 1:45
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    118-123
  71. Q3 1:46
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  72. Q3 2:39
    Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
  73. Q3 2:55
    +2
    De'Andre Hunter makes two point jump shot
    90-95
  74. Q3 3:19
    Nique Clifford personal foul
  75. Q3 3:19
    Cavaliers lineup change (Larry Nance Jr., Craig Porter Jr., De'Andre Hunter, Donovan Mitchell, Jarrett Allen)
  76. Q3 3:19
    +1
    De'Andre Hunter makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    116-122
  77. Q3 3:29
    Evan Mobley misses three point jump shot
  78. Q3 3:56
    Larry Nance Jr. misses three point jump shot
  79. Q3 4:01
    Craig Porter Jr. defensive rebound
  80. Q3 4:44
    Instant replay (Challenge)
  81. Q3 4:44
    Kings lineup change (Russell Westbrook, Zach LaVine, Domantas Sabonis, DeMar DeRozan, Precious Achiuwa)
  82. Q3 4:44
    Cavaliers 60 second timeout
  83. Q3 4:44
    Instant replay
  84. Q3 4:44
    Cavaliers lineup change (Craig Porter Jr., De'Andre Hunter, Jaylon Tyson, Evan Mobley, Dean Wade)
  85. Q3 4:46
    Cavaliers challenge timeout
  86. Q3 4:46
    Cavaliers lineup change (Larry Nance Jr., Craig Porter Jr., De'Andre Hunter, Jaylon Tyson, Evan Mobley)
  87. Q3 4:46
    Kings lineup change (Nique Clifford, Dennis Schroder, Malik Monk, Dylan Cardwell, DeMar DeRozan)
  88. Q3 4:52
    Nique Clifford defensive rebound
  89. Q3 4:54
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  90. Q3 5:33
    Kings 60 second timeout
  91. Q3 5:44
    Dean Wade defensive rebound
  92. Q3 5:45
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  93. Q3 6:22
    Precious Achiuwa turnover (3-second violation)
  94. Q3 6:36
    Cavaliers personal foul
  95. Q3 6:36
    +1
    DeMar DeRozan makes technical free throw 1 of 1
    90-95
  96. Q3 6:36
    Kings lineup change (Russell Westbrook, Zach LaVine, Nique Clifford, DeMar DeRozan, Precious Achiuwa)
  97. Q3 6:38
    Kings personal foul
  98. Q3 6:38
    Jaylon Tyson misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  99. Q3 6:55
    Kings misses three point jump shot
  100. Q3 7:21
    Evan Mobley offensive rebound
  101. Q3 7:23
    De'Andre Hunter misses three point pullup jump shot
  102. Q3 7:35
    +2
    Evan Mobley makes two point cutting layup (Donovan Mitchell assists)
    84-87
  103. Q3 7:35
    Evan Mobley misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  104. Q3 7:40
    Zach LaVine turnover (Jarrett Allen steals)
  105. Q3 8:52
    +1
    Jarrett Allen makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    79-76
  106. Q3 8:52
    Kings personal foul
  107. Q3 9:01
    Domantas Sabonis offensive rebound
  108. Q3 9:06
    DeMar DeRozan misses three point jump shot
  109. Q3 9:31
    Kings misses three point jump shot
  110. Q3 9:40
    Donovan Mitchell misses three point jump shot
  111. Q3 9:45
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  112. Q3 11:02
    Jaylon Tyson defensive rebound
  113. Q3 11:11
    Precious Achiuwa defensive rebound
  114. Q3 11:15
    Dean Wade misses three point jump shot
  115. Q3 11:47
    Donovan Mitchell personal foul
  116. Q2 00:00
    Cavaliers offensive rebound
  117. Q2 00:01
    Cavaliers personal foul
  118. Q2 00:01
    Evan Mobley misses three point jump shot
  119. Q2 00:01
    Kings defensive rebound
  120. Q2 00:01
    +1
    Dennis Schroder makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    70-68
  121. Q2 00:20
    Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
  122. Q2 00:48
    Russell Westbrook misses two point driving layup
  123. Q2 00:52
    Russell Westbrook misses three point jump shot
  124. Q2 1:06
    Kings personal foul
  125. Q2 1:27
    Maxime Raynaud defensive rebound
  126. Q2 2:19
    +3
    Kings makes three point jump shot
    69-68
  127. Q2 2:48
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  128. Q2 2:48
    Cavaliers lineup change (Jaylon Tyson, Evan Mobley, Dean Wade, Donovan Mitchell, Jarrett Allen)
  129. Q2 3:09
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    61-60
  130. Q2 3:12
    DeMar DeRozan defensive rebound
  131. Q2 3:32
    +3
    Kings makes three point jump shot
    59-60
  132. Q2 3:53
    Jaylon Tyson offensive rebound
  133. Q2 4:05
    +2
    DeMar DeRozan makes two point pullup jump shot (Russell Westbrook assists)
    56-58
  134. Q2 4:19
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    54-57
  135. Q2 4:35
    Zach LaVine misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
  136. Q2 4:41
    Malik Monk misses two point jump shot
  137. Q2 5:02
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    54-55
  138. Q2 5:11
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    54-55
  139. Q2 5:13
    Precious Achiuwa defensive rebound
  140. Q2 5:22
    Evan Mobley offensive rebound
  141. Q2 5:31
    Precious Achiuwa personal foul
  142. Q2 5:31
    Cavaliers lineup change (Craig Porter Jr., Jaylon Tyson, Evan Mobley, Dean Wade, Jarrett Allen)
  143. Q2 5:31
    Cavaliers lineup change (Craig Porter Jr., Jaylon Tyson, Evan Mobley, Dean Wade, Jarrett Allen)
  144. Q2 6:02
    DeMar DeRozan defensive rebound
  145. Q2 6:06
    Dean Wade misses three point jump shot
  146. Q2 6:14
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  147. Q2 6:39
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    50-52
  148. Q2 6:58
    Malik Monk defensive rebound
  149. Q2 7:00
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  150. Q2 7:13
    Kings personal foul
  151. Q2 7:17
    Precious Achiuwa defensive rebound
  152. Q2 7:29
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  153. Q2 7:40
    Cavaliers personal foul
  154. Q2 7:40
    Cavaliers lineup change (Larry Nance Jr., Craig Porter Jr., Jaylon Tyson, Donovan Mitchell, Jarrett Allen)
  155. Q2 7:49
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    47-49
  156. Q2 8:24
    +1
    Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    44-46
  157. Q2 8:26
    Larry Nance Jr. defensive rebound
  158. Q2 8:29
    Domantas Sabonis turnover (lost ball) (Larry Nance Jr. steals)
  159. Q2 8:49
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  160. Q2 8:49
    Kings personal foul
  161. Q2 8:49
    +1
    Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    44-44
  162. Q2 8:49
    Cavaliers lineup change (Larry Nance Jr., Tyrese Proctor, Jaylon Tyson, Donovan Mitchell, Jarrett Allen)
  163. Q2 8:55
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  164. Q2 9:00
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  165. Q2 9:11
    Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
  166. Q2 9:45
    Cavaliers personal foul
  167. Q2 9:45
    +1
    DeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    44-41
  168. Q2 9:45
    Kings lineup change (Russell Westbrook, Zach LaVine, Domantas Sabonis, DeMar DeRozan, Precious Achiuwa)
  169. Q2 9:45
    DeMar DeRozan misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  170. Q2 10:13
    Dennis Schroder defensive rebound
  171. Q2 10:16
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  172. Q2 10:27
    Kings lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Malik Monk, Domantas Sabonis, DeMar DeRozan, Precious Achiuwa)
  173. Q2 10:41
    Kings personal foul
  174. Q2 10:41
    Cavaliers offensive rebound
  175. Q2 10:55
    Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
  176. Q2 11:02
    Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
  177. Q2 11:15
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    39-37
  178. Q2 11:33
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    37-37
  179. Q1 00:00
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  180. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  181. Q2 12:00
    Cavaliers lineup change (De'Andre Hunter, Tyrese Proctor, Evan Mobley, Nae'Qwan Tomlin, Donovan Mitchell)
  182. Q1 00:30
    Kings offensive rebound
  183. Q1 00:30
    Cavaliers personal foul
  184. Q1 00:30
    +1
    Domantas Sabonis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    34-33
  185. Q1 00:30
    +1
    Domantas Sabonis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    35-33
  186. Q1 1:03
    Kings defensive rebound
  187. Q1 1:03
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  188. Q1 1:13
    Cavaliers personal foul
  189. Q1 1:13
    +1
    Dennis Schroder makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    30-31
  190. Q1 1:22
    Kings personal foul
  191. Q1 1:22
    +1
    Jarrett Allen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    28-31
  192. Q1 1:22
    Kings lineup change (Nique Clifford, Maxime Raynaud, Dennis Schroder, Malik Monk, Domantas Sabonis)
  193. Q1 1:52
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  194. Q1 2:06
    +3
    Kings makes three point jump shot
    25-29
  195. Q1 2:21
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    22-29
  196. Q1 2:32
    Kings personal foul
  197. Q1 2:35
    Kings personal foul
  198. Q1 2:44
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    22-27
  199. Q1 3:02
    Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
  200. Q1 3:04
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  201. Q1 3:12
    Craig Porter Jr. defensive rebound
  202. Q1 3:29
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    20-27
  203. Q1 3:57
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    18-25
  204. Q1 4:10
    Kings turnover
  205. Q1 4:11
    Malik Monk defensive rebound
  206. Q1 4:56
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    13-25
  207. Q1 5:07
    Kings personal foul
  208. Q1 5:07
    +1
    Evan Mobley makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    11-25
  209. Q1 6:09
    Kings defensive rebound
  210. Q1 6:09
    Cavaliers lineup change (Craig Porter Jr., De'Andre Hunter, Jaylon Tyson, Evan Mobley, Nae'Qwan Tomlin)
  211. Q1 6:42
    Cavaliers lineup change (Craig Porter Jr., De'Andre Hunter, Jaylon Tyson, Evan Mobley, Dean Wade)
  212. Q1 6:57
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    6-20
  213. Q1 7:05
    Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
  214. Q1 7:32
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  215. Q1 7:43
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    6-16
  216. Q1 7:44
    Domantas Sabonis offensive rebound
  217. Q1 7:53
    Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
  218. Q1 8:32
    Kings 60 second timeout
  219. Q1 8:36
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    2-16
  220. Q1 9:00
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    2-13
  221. Q1 9:20
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  222. Q1 9:40
    Evan Mobley defensive rebound
  223. Q1 9:43
    Kings misses three point jump shot
  224. Q1 10:08
    Dean Wade defensive rebound
  225. Q1 10:29
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    0-7
  226. Q1 11:03
    Jaylon Tyson offensive rebound
  227. Q1 11:05
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  228. Q1 11:09
    Dean Wade defensive rebound
  229. Q1 11:11
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  230. Q1 12:00
    Kings lineup change (Russell Westbrook, Zach LaVine, Maxime Raynaud, DeMar DeRozan, Precious Achiuwa)
Box Score
Kings
PosPlayerPts
Cavaliers
PosPlayerPts

Kings vs. Cavaliers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Kings vs. Cavaliers
  • Date: Friday, January 23, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Rocket Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Cavaliers favored at -12.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 234
  • Moneyline Odds: Kings +475, Cavaliers -575

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Kings: 17%
  • Cavaliers: 83%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Kings 110-122 Cavaliers.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Kings a win probability of 17%, while the Cavaliers have a win probability of 83%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Cavaliers are more likely to beat the Kings in the NBA game at Rocket Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Kings vs. Cavaliers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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