Suns vs. Hawks Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Suns vs. Hawks NBA game on January 23, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA
Suns
103
110
State Farm Arena
Hawks
State Farm Arena
TEAM1234T
Suns
31 28 40 4 103
Hawks
27 37 34 12 110
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Suns
    <1%
  • Hawks
    >99%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Suns
31 28 40 4 103
Hawks
27 37 34 12 110
Q4 00:34 Grayson Allen misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:19 Hawks makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:53 Suns misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:46 Hawks makes two point jump shot
Q4 4:04 Collin Gillespie makes two point jump shot
Q4 4:19 Suns makes two point jump shot
Q4 5:32 Hawks misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:53 Suns misses two point jump shot
Q4 6:19 Hawks makes two point jump shot
Q4 6:44 Suns misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    Hawks turnover
  2. Q4 00:24
    Collin Gillespie personal foul (Take) (Onyeka Okongwu draws the foul)
  3. Q4 00:24
    +1
    Onyeka Okongwu makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    103-109
  4. Q4 00:24
    +1
    Onyeka Okongwu makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    103-110
  5. Q4 00:31
    Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
  6. Q4 00:34
    Grayson Allen misses three point jump shot
  7. Q4 00:36
    Grayson Allen personal foul (Jalen Johnson draws the foul)
  8. Q4 00:36
    +1
    Jalen Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    103-108
  9. Q4 00:36
    Oso Ighodaro defensive rebound
  10. Q4 00:36
    Suns 60 second timeout
  11. Q4 00:38
    Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
  12. Q4 00:48
    Dillon Brooks defensive rebound
  13. Q4 1:23
    Collin Gillespie defensive rebound
  14. Q4 2:19
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    103-110
  15. Q4 2:41
    Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
  16. Q4 2:51
    Oso Ighodaro offensive rebound
  17. Q4 2:53
    Suns misses three point jump shot
  18. Q4 3:05
    Oso Ighodaro defensive rebound
  19. Q4 3:08
    Grayson Allen personal foul
  20. Q4 3:08
    Suns lineup change (Grayson Allen, Oso Ighodaro, Dillon Brooks, Collin Gillespie, Royce O'Neale)
  21. Q4 3:12
    Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
  22. Q4 3:46
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    103-110
  23. Q4 4:04
    +2
    Collin Gillespie makes two point jump shot
    103-108
  24. Q4 4:10
    Hawks turnover
  25. Q4 4:19
    +2
    Suns makes two point jump shot
    103-108
  26. Q4 4:32
    Suns defensive rebound
  27. Q4 4:41
    Dyson Daniels defensive rebound
  28. Q4 4:56
    Suns lineup change (Grayson Allen, Mark Williams, Dillon Brooks, Collin Gillespie, Royce O'Neale)
  29. Q4 5:32
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  30. Q4 5:53
    Suns misses two point jump shot
  31. Q4 6:19
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    103-108
  32. Q4 6:38
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  33. Q4 6:44
    Suns misses three point jump shot
  34. Q4 7:17
    +2
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes two point jump shot
    99-98
  35. Q4 7:55
    Hawks lineup change (Luke Kennard, Dyson Daniels, Onyeka Okongwu, Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
  36. Q4 8:03
    +3
    Suns makes three point jump shot
    103-108
  37. Q4 8:19
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    103-108
  38. Q4 9:20
    Suns misses three point jump shot
  39. Q4 9:29
    Jalen Johnson offensive rebound
  40. Q4 9:42
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  41. Q4 9:49
    Jordan Goodwin personal foul (Onyeka Okongwu draws the foul)
  42. Q4 9:49
    Suns lineup change (Oso Ighodaro, Jordan Goodwin, Ryan Dunn, Collin Gillespie, Royce O'Neale)
  43. Q4 10:03
    Suns misses three point jump shot
  44. Q4 10:08
    Ryan Dunn defensive rebound
  45. Q4 10:33
    Onyeka Okongwu personal foul
  46. Q4 10:33
    Suns offensive rebound
  47. Q4 10:33
    +1
    Grayson Allen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    99-98
  48. Q4 10:53
    Hawks offensive rebound
  49. Q4 10:53
    Suns personal foul
  50. Q4 10:54
    Onyeka Okongwu misses two point layup
  51. Q4 11:05
    Suns violation
  52. Q4 11:23
    +2
    Onyeka Okongwu makes two point jump shot
    99-98
  53. Q3 00:00
    Onyeka Okongwu misses two point jump shot
  54. Q4 12:00
    Hawks lineup change (Luke Kennard, Dyson Daniels, Onyeka Okongwu, Jalen Johnson, CJ McCollum)
  55. Q3 00:05
    Suns 60 second timeout
  56. Q3 00:05
    Hawks lineup change (Luke Kennard, Onyeka Okongwu, Jalen Johnson, CJ McCollum, Corey Kispert)
  57. Q3 00:05
    Grayson Allen defensive rebound
  58. Q3 00:10
    CJ McCollum misses two point jump shot
  59. Q3 00:31
    +2
    Suns makes two point jump shot
    99-98
  60. Q3 00:41
    +2
    Devin Booker makes two point running layup
    99-98
  61. Q3 00:47
    Hawks turnover
  62. Q3 1:01
    +2
    Jordan Goodwin makes two point jump shot
    99-98
  63. Q3 1:03
    Jordan Goodwin offensive rebound
  64. Q3 1:53
    Luke Kennard shooting foul (Collin Gillespie draws the foul)
  65. Q3 2:01
    Collin Gillespie offensive rebound
  66. Q3 2:13
    Devin Booker defensive rebound
  67. Q3 2:23
    Mouhamed Gueye defensive rebound
  68. Q3 2:39
    Suns lineup change (Grayson Allen, Devin Booker, Oso Ighodaro, Jordan Goodwin, Collin Gillespie)
  69. Q3 2:44
    Luke Kennard defensive rebound
  70. Q3 2:48
    Suns misses three point jump shot
  71. Q3 3:00
    CJ McCollum personal foul (Dillon Brooks draws the foul)
  72. Q3 3:00
    Hawks lineup change (Luke Kennard, Onyeka Okongwu, CJ McCollum, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Mouhamed Gueye)
  73. Q3 3:14
    Suns misses two point jump shot
  74. Q3 3:20
    Hawks turnover
  75. Q3 3:34
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  76. Q3 3:43
    Hawks 60 second timeout
  77. Q3 3:58
    +2
    Suns makes two point jump shot
    73-77
  78. Q3 4:07
    Luke Kennard violation
  79. Q3 4:18
    Jordan Goodwin misses three point jump shot
  80. Q3 4:30
    Devin Booker defensive rebound
  81. Q3 4:42
    Dillon Brooks misses two point jump shot
  82. Q3 4:49
    Suns lineup change (Grayson Allen, Devin Booker, Oso Ighodaro, Dillon Brooks, Jordan Goodwin)
  83. Q3 5:13
    +2
    Grayson Allen makes two point jump shot
    87-84
  84. Q3 5:16
    CJ McCollum turnover (bad pass) (Grayson Allen steals)
  85. Q3 5:56
    Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
  86. Q3 6:13
    Suns lineup change (Grayson Allen, Devin Booker, Mark Williams, Dillon Brooks, Royce O'Neale)
  87. Q3 6:13
    Christian Koloko turnover (offensive foul)
  88. Q3 6:23
    +2
    Suns makes two point jump shot
    87-84
  89. Q3 6:30
    Dillon Brooks defensive rebound
  90. Q3 6:33
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  91. Q3 6:54
    Dillon Brooks misses two point jump shot
  92. Q3 7:05
    Mark Williams defensive rebound
  93. Q3 7:10
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  94. Q3 7:21
    Collin Gillespie misses two point fadeaway jump shot
  95. Q3 7:25
    Mark Williams defensive rebound
  96. Q3 7:32
    Jalen Johnson offensive rebound
  97. Q3 7:42
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  98. Q3 7:44
    Dyson Daniels turnover (bad pass) (Royce O'Neale steals)
  99. Q3 7:50
    +3
    Devin Booker makes three point running jump shot (Collin Gillespie assists)
    73-77
  100. Q3 7:53
    Collin Gillespie defensive rebound
  101. Q3 8:12
    Suns turnover
  102. Q3 8:14
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  103. Q3 8:28
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  104. Q3 8:42
    +2
    Devin Booker makes two point running pullup jump shot (Royce O'Neale assists)
    62-73
  105. Q3 8:47
    Hawks turnover
  106. Q3 8:52
    Suns personal foul
  107. Q3 9:07
    Collin Gillespie defensive rebound
  108. Q3 9:18
    Suns misses two point jump shot
  109. Q3 9:39
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot (Jalen Johnson assists)
    69-75
  110. Q3 9:47
    Suns misses three point jump shot
  111. Q3 9:58
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  112. Q3 10:04
    Collin Gillespie defensive rebound
  113. Q3 10:17
    Dyson Daniels offensive rebound
  114. Q3 10:19
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  115. Q3 10:38
    +3
    Suns makes three point jump shot
    69-75
  116. Q3 10:53
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    62-73
  117. Q3 10:58
    Corey Kispert defensive rebound
  118. Q3 11:01
    Mark Williams misses two point jump shot
  119. Q3 11:28
    Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
  120. Q3 11:31
    Devin Booker misses two point jump shot
  121. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  122. Q3 12:00
    Suns lineup change (Devin Booker, Mark Williams, Dillon Brooks, Collin Gillespie, Royce O'Neale)
  123. Q2 00:33
    Suns misses three point jump shot
  124. Q2 00:41
    Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
  125. Q2 00:42
    Oso Ighodaro misses two point jump shot
  126. Q2 1:14
    +1
    Devin Booker makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    59-64
  127. Q2 1:44
    +3
    Devin Booker makes three point jump shot (Grayson Allen assists)
    49-54
  128. Q2 2:51
    Jalen Johnson turnover (offensive foul)
  129. Q2 3:31
    Suns 60 second timeout
  130. Q2 3:39
    Suns misses two point jump shot
  131. Q2 3:55
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    47-52
  132. Q2 4:14
    +1
    Dillon Brooks makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    46-50
  133. Q2 4:14
    +1
    Dillon Brooks makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    47-50
  134. Q2 4:24
    Royce O'Neale defensive rebound
  135. Q2 4:31
    CJ McCollum defensive rebound
  136. Q2 4:45
    Royce O'Neale defensive rebound
  137. Q2 4:55
    +3
    Suns makes three point jump shot
    45-50
  138. Q2 5:20
    Dillon Brooks turnover (offensive foul)
  139. Q2 5:20
    Suns lineup change (Grayson Allen, Devin Booker, Mark Williams, Dillon Brooks, Royce O'Neale)
  140. Q2 5:27
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    42-50
  141. Q2 5:34
    Corey Kispert defensive rebound
  142. Q2 5:38
    Suns misses two point jump shot
  143. Q2 5:40
    Ryan Dunn offensive rebound
  144. Q2 6:00
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    42-48
  145. Q2 6:08
    Suns misses three point jump shot
  146. Q2 6:14
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    42-45
  147. Q2 6:25
    Hawks violation
  148. Q2 6:37
    Hawks lineup change (Jalen Johnson, CJ McCollum, Corey Kispert, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Christian Koloko)
  149. Q2 6:43
    Hawks turnover
  150. Q2 7:02
    +2
    Suns makes two point jump shot
    42-43
  151. Q2 7:21
    Suns turnover
  152. Q2 7:32
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    40-43
  153. Q2 7:46
    Hawks defensive rebound
  154. Q2 7:46
    Hawks lineup change (Dyson Daniels, Vit Krejci, Jalen Johnson, Corey Kispert, Christian Koloko)
  155. Q2 8:10
    Ryan Dunn offensive rebound
  156. Q2 8:25
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    38-39
  157. Q2 8:41
    Hawks lineup change (Luke Kennard, Dyson Daniels, Vit Krejci, Jalen Johnson, Christian Koloko)
  158. Q2 8:57
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    38-37
  159. Q2 9:14
    +2
    Suns makes two point jump shot
    38-35
  160. Q2 9:51
    +3
    Suns makes three point jump shot
    36-35
  161. Q2 10:33
    Hawks turnover
  162. Q2 10:46
    Suns misses two point jump shot
  163. Q2 11:04
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    31-32
  164. Q2 11:14
    Suns misses three point jump shot
  165. Q2 11:45
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  166. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  167. Q1 00:00
    Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)
  168. Q2 12:00
    Suns lineup change (Grayson Allen, Oso Ighodaro, Jordan Goodwin, Collin Gillespie, Royce O'Neale)
  169. Q2 12:00
    Hawks lineup change (Luke Kennard, Dyson Daniels, Vit Krejci, Onyeka Okongwu, Mouhamed Gueye)
  170. Q2 12:00
    Hawks lineup change (Luke Kennard, Dyson Daniels, Vit Krejci, Onyeka Okongwu, Mouhamed Gueye)
  171. Q1 00:21
    Jordan Goodwin defensive rebound
  172. Q1 1:18
    Ryan Dunn defensive rebound
  173. Q1 1:21
    Mouhamed Gueye defensive rebound
  174. Q1 1:26
    Suns misses three point jump shot
  175. Q1 1:43
    Suns personal foul
  176. Q1 2:15
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  177. Q1 2:21
    +2
    Suns makes two point jump shot
    22-23
  178. Q1 2:21
    Suns lineup change (Grayson Allen, Oso Ighodaro, Jordan Goodwin, Ryan Dunn, Collin Gillespie)
  179. Q1 2:32
    Grayson Allen defensive rebound
  180. Q1 2:35
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  181. Q1 2:43
    Suns turnover
  182. Q1 3:04
    Hawks turnover
  183. Q1 3:16
    +1
    Jalen Green makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    19-23
  184. Q1 3:16
    Suns lineup change (Grayson Allen, Jalen Green, Oso Ighodaro, Jordan Goodwin, Collin Gillespie)
  185. Q1 3:16
    Hawks lineup change (Luke Kennard, Onyeka Okongwu, CJ McCollum, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Mouhamed Gueye)
  186. Q1 3:41
    Luke Kennard defensive rebound
  187. Q1 3:56
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    18-23
  188. Q1 4:23
    Dillon Brooks defensive rebound
  189. Q1 4:26
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  190. Q1 4:31
    CJ McCollum offensive rebound
  191. Q1 4:36
    Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
  192. Q1 4:39
    Suns misses three point jump shot
  193. Q1 4:56
    Oso Ighodaro defensive rebound
  194. Q1 5:36
    Luke Kennard offensive rebound
  195. Q1 5:41
    Christian Koloko defensive rebound
  196. Q1 5:56
    Dillon Brooks defensive rebound
  197. Q1 6:01
    Jalen Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  198. Q1 6:01
    Suns lineup change (Grayson Allen, Devin Booker, Jalen Green, Oso Ighodaro, Dillon Brooks)
  199. Q1 6:09
    Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
  200. Q1 6:22
    Suns misses two point jump shot
  201. Q1 6:35
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    14-19
  202. Q1 6:35
    Suns 60 second timeout
  203. Q1 6:35
    Hawks lineup change (Dyson Daniels, Jalen Johnson, CJ McCollum, Corey Kispert, Christian Koloko)
  204. Q1 6:56
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    14-17
  205. Q1 7:40
    Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
  206. Q1 7:43
    Suns misses two point jump shot
  207. Q1 7:51
    Dyson Daniels offensive rebound
  208. Q1 7:51
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    12-12
  209. Q1 8:01
    Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
  210. Q1 8:04
    Suns misses two point jump shot
  211. Q1 8:13
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  212. Q1 8:24
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  213. Q1 9:36
    Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
  214. Q1 9:48
    Devin Booker defensive rebound
  215. Q1 9:51
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  216. Q1 9:55
    Collin Gillespie turnover (bad pass)
  217. Q1 9:59
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  218. Q1 10:41
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  219. Q1 11:10
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    3-3
  220. Q1 11:18
    Jalen Johnson offensive rebound
  221. Q1 11:39
    +3
    Suns makes three point jump shot
    3-0
  222. Q1 11:45
    Suns misses three point jump shot
  223. Q1 12:00
    Suns lineup change (Devin Booker, Mark Williams, Dillon Brooks, Collin Gillespie, Royce O'Neale)
  224. Q1 12:00
    (Collin Gillespie gains possession)
Box Score
Suns
PosPlayerPts
Hawks
PosPlayerPts

Suns vs. Hawks: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Suns vs. Hawks
  • Date: Friday, January 23, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: State Farm Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Suns favored at -2.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 233.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Suns -144, Hawks +130

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Suns: 57%
  • Hawks: 43%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Suns 117-115 Hawks.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Suns a win probability of 57%, while the Hawks have a win probability of 43%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Suns are more likely to beat the Hawks in the NBA game at State Farm Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Suns vs. Hawks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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