Celtics vs. Pistons Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Celtics vs. Pistons NBA game on January 19, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Celtics
103
104
Little Caesars Arena
Pistons
Little Caesars Arena
TEAM1234T
Celtics
29 22 31 21 103
Pistons
26 33 25 20 104
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Celtics
    42%
  • Pistons
    58%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Celtics
29 22 31 21 103
Pistons
26 33 25 20 104
Q4 00:05 Pistons misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:20 Pistons misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:00 Pistons misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:09 Pistons misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:20 Celtics makes two point jump shot
Q4 4:15 Pistons misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:30 Celtics misses three point jump shot
Q4 6:30 Celtics misses three point jump shot
Q4 6:57 Celtics misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:02 Celtics misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q4
  1. Q4 00:00
    Celtics offensive rebound
  2. Q4 00:04
    Celtics defensive rebound
  3. Q4 00:04
    Celtics lineup change (Derrick White, Jaylen Brown, Payton Pritchard, Sam Hauser, Anfernee Simons)
  4. Q4 00:05
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  5. Q4 00:20
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  6. Q4 1:00
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  7. Q4 1:54
    Jalen Duren defensive rebound
  8. Q4 1:58
    Celtics offensive rebound
  9. Q4 2:32
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  10. Q4 2:44
    +1
    Jaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    98-99
  11. Q4 3:09
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  12. Q4 3:10
    Celtics personal foul
  13. Q4 3:20
    +2
    Celtics makes two point jump shot
    97-96
  14. Q4 3:40
    Derrick White defensive rebound
  15. Q4 3:56
    Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
  16. Q4 4:15
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  17. Q4 4:30
    Celtics misses three point jump shot
  18. Q4 4:30
    Pistons personal foul
  19. Q4 4:30
    +1
    Payton Pritchard makes technical free throw 1 of 1
    94-96
  20. Q4 4:30
    Neemias Queta misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  21. Q4 4:30
    +1
    Neemias Queta makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    95-96
  22. Q4 4:49
    Celtics defensive rebound
  23. Q4 5:13
    Pistons personal foul
  24. Q4 5:13
    +1
    Neemias Queta makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    93-96
  25. Q4 5:24
    Pistons personal foul
  26. Q4 5:33
    Celtics lineup change (Derrick White, Jaylen Brown, Neemias Queta, Payton Pritchard, Sam Hauser)
  27. Q4 5:42
    Ronald Holland II defensive rebound
  28. Q4 5:46
    Anfernee Simons defensive rebound
  29. Q4 5:51
    Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
  30. Q4 6:26
    Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
  31. Q4 6:30
    Celtics misses three point jump shot
  32. Q4 6:42
    Luka Garza defensive rebound
  33. Q4 6:57
    Celtics misses three point jump shot
  34. Q4 7:02
    Celtics misses two point jump shot
  35. Q4 7:12
    Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Ronald Holland II, Tobias Harris, Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham)
  36. Q4 8:16
    Luka Garza offensive rebound
  37. Q4 8:19
    Jaylen Brown offensive rebound
  38. Q4 8:41
    Pistons personal foul
  39. Q4 9:03
    Celtics personal foul
  40. Q4 9:03
    Jaylen Brown turnover (offensive foul)
  41. Q4 9:16
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  42. Q4 9:16
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  43. Q4 9:34
    Celtics personal foul
  44. Q4 9:50
    Jaden Ivey misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  45. Q4 9:50
    +1
    Jaden Ivey makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    87-88
  46. Q4 9:50
    Derrick White misses technical free throw 1 of 1
  47. Q4 9:52
    Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
  48. Q4 10:10
    +3
    Pistons makes three point jump shot
    87-87
  49. Q4 10:20
    Jordan Walsh offensive rebound
  50. Q4 10:37
    Pistons personal foul
  51. Q4 10:50
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  52. Q4 11:02
    Celtics misses three point jump shot
  53. Q4 11:38
    +3
    Celtics makes three point jump shot
    85-84
  54. Q3 00:00
    Pistons offensive rebound
  55. Q4 12:00
    Celtics lineup change (Derrick White, Baylor Scheierman, Jordan Walsh, Luka Garza, Anfernee Simons)
  56. Q3 00:01
    Celtics turnover
  57. Q3 00:21
    Jordan Walsh offensive rebound
  58. Q3 00:23
    Jaden Ivey turnover (lost ball)
  59. Q3 00:34
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    82-84
  60. Q3 00:58
    Jordan Walsh defensive rebound
  61. Q3 1:15
    Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
  62. Q3 1:39
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    80-82
  63. Q3 2:01
    Pistons personal foul
  64. Q3 2:01
    Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, Ronald Holland II, Tobias Harris, Caris LeVert, Jaden Ivey)
  65. Q3 2:01
    Payton Pritchard misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  66. Q3 2:09
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  67. Q3 2:22
    Celtics misses three point jump shot
  68. Q3 2:28
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  69. Q3 3:05
    +3
    Celtics makes three point jump shot
    79-78
  70. Q3 3:28
    Jalen Duren offensive rebound
  71. Q3 3:43
    Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
  72. Q3 3:57
    Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
  73. Q3 4:17
    +3
    Celtics makes three point jump shot
    76-76
  74. Q3 4:31
    Jaden Ivey defensive rebound
  75. Q3 4:34
    Celtics misses three point jump shot
  76. Q3 4:45
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  77. Q3 4:45
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  78. Q3 5:22
    +3
    Pistons makes three point jump shot
    71-74
  79. Q3 5:30
    Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Payton Pritchard, Baylor Scheierman, Luka Garza, Anfernee Simons)
  80. Q3 5:55
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    68-71
  81. Q3 6:19
    Celtics personal foul
  82. Q3 6:19
    +1
    Cade Cunningham makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    68-68
  83. Q3 6:19
    +1
    Cade Cunningham makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    68-69
  84. Q3 6:26
    Celtics misses three point jump shot
  85. Q3 6:42
    Pistons turnover
  86. Q3 6:57
    Pistons personal foul
  87. Q3 6:57
    +1
    Payton Pritchard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    68-67
  88. Q3 7:16
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  89. Q3 7:47
    Neemias Queta defensive rebound
  90. Q3 7:56
    Celtics turnover
  91. Q3 8:32
    +2
    Celtics makes two point jump shot
    64-64
  92. Q3 8:39
    Celtics misses two point jump shot
  93. Q3 8:56
    Jalen Duren misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  94. Q3 8:56
    +1
    Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    62-64
  95. Q3 8:56
    Celtics lineup change (Derrick White, Jaylen Brown, Neemias Queta, Payton Pritchard, Baylor Scheierman)
  96. Q3 8:59
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  97. Q3 9:13
    +2
    Celtics makes two point jump shot
    62-63
  98. Q3 9:57
    +3
    Celtics makes three point jump shot
    60-61
  99. Q3 10:06
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  100. Q3 10:14
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  101. Q3 10:28
    Jump ball. (Jalen Duren gains possession)
  102. Q3 10:30
    Celtics personal foul
  103. Q3 10:30
    Instant replay
  104. Q3 10:31
    Cade Cunningham misses two point pullup jump shot
  105. Q3 11:03
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  106. Q2 00:00
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  107. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  108. Q3 12:00
    Pistons lineup change (Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris, Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham)
  109. Q2 00:04
    +1
    Jaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    50-59
  110. Q2 00:04
    Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, Tobias Harris, Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green)
  111. Q2 00:13
    Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
  112. Q2 00:16
    +1
    Cade Cunningham makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    49-59
  113. Q2 00:16
    Pistons lineup change (Ausar Thompson, Isaiah Stewart, Tobias Harris, Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green)
  114. Q2 00:22
    Isaiah Stewart offensive rebound
  115. Q2 00:24
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  116. Q2 00:35
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  117. Q2 00:35
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  118. Q2 1:12
    Celtics turnover
  119. Q2 1:34
    Celtics personal foul
  120. Q2 1:35
    Tobias Harris defensive rebound
  121. Q2 2:14
    Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
  122. Q2 2:38
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    46-51
  123. Q2 3:19
    Pistons lineup change (Ausar Thompson, Isaiah Stewart, Tobias Harris, Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham)
  124. Q2 3:19
    +1
    Derrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    44-47
  125. Q2 3:19
    Pistons lineup change (Ausar Thompson, Isaiah Stewart, Tobias Harris, Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham)
  126. Q2 3:19
    Celtics lineup change (Derrick White, Jaylen Brown, Payton Pritchard, Baylor Scheierman, Sam Hauser)
  127. Q2 3:36
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    42-47
  128. Q2 3:45
    Jalen Duren defensive rebound
  129. Q2 3:47
    Celtics misses three point jump shot
  130. Q2 3:54
    Neemias Queta offensive rebound
  131. Q2 4:14
    +3
    Pistons makes three point jump shot
    42-45
  132. Q2 4:35
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  133. Q2 4:50
    +3
    Celtics makes three point jump shot
    42-42
  134. Q2 4:55
    Payton Pritchard defensive rebound
  135. Q2 5:12
    +2
    Celtics makes two point jump shot
    39-42
  136. Q2 5:51
    Pistons personal foul
  137. Q2 5:51
    +1
    Neemias Queta makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    36-39
  138. Q2 5:51
    +1
    Neemias Queta makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    37-39
  139. Q2 5:51
    +1
    Ausar Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    37-40
  140. Q2 5:59
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    35-39
  141. Q2 5:59
    Celtics personal foul
  142. Q2 6:16
    +1
    Jaylen Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    35-37
  143. Q2 6:42
    Celtics 60 second timeout
  144. Q2 6:44
    Jalen Duren defensive rebound
  145. Q2 6:47
    Celtics misses three point jump shot
  146. Q2 6:57
    Pistons personal foul
  147. Q2 7:14
    +3
    Pistons makes three point jump shot
    33-35
  148. Q2 7:26
    Celtics personal foul
  149. Q2 7:40
    Pistons personal foul
  150. Q2 7:40
    Pistons 60 second timeout
  151. Q2 7:40
    Pistons lineup change (Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris, Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green)
  152. Q2 7:41
    Jalen Duren defensive rebound
  153. Q2 7:47
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  154. Q2 8:09
    Caris LeVert defensive rebound
  155. Q2 8:22
    Derrick White offensive rebound
  156. Q2 8:26
    Derrick White offensive rebound
  157. Q2 8:49
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    33-32
  158. Q2 9:02
    Celtics personal foul
  159. Q2 9:02
    Luka Garza turnover (offensive foul)
  160. Q2 9:10
    Pistons personal foul
  161. Q2 9:13
    Celtics misses two point jump shot
  162. Q2 9:13
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  163. Q2 9:13
    Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris, Caris LeVert, Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green)
  164. Q2 9:19
    Sam Hauser defensive rebound
  165. Q2 10:02
    +2
    Celtics makes two point jump shot
    33-28
  166. Q2 10:25
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    31-28
  167. Q2 10:44
    Neemias Queta defensive rebound
  168. Q2 10:59
    +2
    Celtics makes two point jump shot
    31-26
  169. Q2 11:12
    Celtics offensive rebound
  170. Q2 11:33
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  171. Q2 11:33
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  172. Q1 00:00
    Celtics offensive rebound
  173. Q2 12:00
    Celtics lineup change (Derrick White, Neemias Queta, Sam Hauser, Jordan Walsh, Anfernee Simons)
  174. Q1 00:09
    Pistons turnover
  175. Q1 00:28
    Celtics defensive rebound
  176. Q1 00:28
    Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, Duncan Robinson, Caris LeVert, Jaden Ivey, Javonte Green)
  177. Q1 00:38
    Ronald Holland II defensive rebound
  178. Q1 00:42
    Celtics misses two point jump shot
  179. Q1 00:42
    Celtics offensive rebound
  180. Q1 00:42
    Pistons personal foul
  181. Q1 00:42
    +1
    Neemias Queta makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    27-26
  182. Q1 00:46
    Celtics misses three point jump shot
  183. Q1 1:03
    Celtics personal foul
  184. Q1 1:03
    +1
    Isaiah Stewart makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    26-25
  185. Q1 1:03
    +1
    Isaiah Stewart makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    26-26
  186. Q1 1:09
    Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
  187. Q1 1:25
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    26-24
  188. Q1 1:53
    Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, Ronald Holland II, Caris LeVert, Jaden Ivey, Javonte Green)
  189. Q1 2:02
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  190. Q1 2:05
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  191. Q1 2:26
    +2
    Celtics makes two point jump shot
    26-22
  192. Q1 2:40
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  193. Q1 3:03
    Cade Cunningham offensive rebound
  194. Q1 3:03
    +1
    Cade Cunningham makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    24-22
  195. Q1 3:03
    Celtics lineup change (Derrick White, Jaylen Brown, Neemias Queta, Jordan Walsh, Anfernee Simons)
  196. Q1 3:18
    +3
    Celtics makes three point jump shot
    24-20
  197. Q1 3:23
    Pistons personal foul
  198. Q1 3:34
    Celtics personal foul
  199. Q1 3:34
    +1
    Ronald Holland II makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    21-20
  200. Q1 3:39
    +2
    Celtics makes two point jump shot
    21-17
  201. Q1 3:53
    Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, Ronald Holland II, Caris LeVert, Jaden Ivey, Cade Cunningham)
  202. Q1 3:58
    Caris LeVert defensive rebound
  203. Q1 4:02
    Jaylen Brown misses three point jump shot
  204. Q1 4:21
    Neemias Queta defensive rebound
  205. Q1 4:21
    Isaiah Stewart technical foul (Double)
  206. Q1 4:21
    Instant replay
  207. Q1 4:21
    Pistons lineup change (Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris, Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham)
  208. Q1 4:31
    Jalen Duren defensive rebound
  209. Q1 4:50
    Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, Jalen Duren, Duncan Robinson, Jaden Ivey, Cade Cunningham)
  210. Q1 5:06
    +3
    Celtics makes three point jump shot
    19-12
  211. Q1 5:10
    Payton Pritchard offensive rebound
  212. Q1 5:17
    Luka Garza defensive rebound
  213. Q1 5:27
    Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
  214. Q1 5:49
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    16-12
  215. Q1 5:52
    Tobias Harris defensive rebound
  216. Q1 5:53
    Jaylen Brown offensive rebound
  217. Q1 6:14
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    16-10
  218. Q1 6:17
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  219. Q1 6:29
    Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
  220. Q1 6:30
    Luka Garza offensive rebound
  221. Q1 6:33
    Celtics misses two point jump shot
  222. Q1 6:50
    Sam Hauser defensive rebound
  223. Q1 6:53
    Pistons 60 second timeout
  224. Q1 6:53
    Jalen Duren misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  225. Q1 6:53
    Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Payton Pritchard, Sam Hauser, Luka Garza, Anfernee Simons)
  226. Q1 6:56
    Celtics turnover
  227. Q1 7:01
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  228. Q1 7:16
    Pistons personal foul
  229. Q1 7:16
    +1
    Luka Garza makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    15-8
  230. Q1 7:37
    Celtics personal foul
  231. Q1 7:37
    Cade Cunningham misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  232. Q1 7:40
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  233. Q1 7:54
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  234. Q1 7:54
    Pistons personal foul
  235. Q1 7:54
    +1
    Jaylen Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    14-7
  236. Q1 7:54
    Celtics lineup change (Derrick White, Jaylen Brown, Payton Pritchard, Sam Hauser, Luka Garza)
  237. Q1 7:54
    Celtics lineup change (Derrick White, Jaylen Brown, Payton Pritchard, Sam Hauser, Luka Garza)
  238. Q1 7:54
    Celtics lineup change (Derrick White, Jaylen Brown, Payton Pritchard, Sam Hauser, Luka Garza)
  239. Q1 7:54
    +1
    Jaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    51-59
  240. Q1 7:58
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  241. Q1 8:09
    Celtics misses three point jump shot
  242. Q1 8:14
    Celtics misses three point jump shot
  243. Q1 8:24
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  244. Q1 8:43
    Sam Hauser defensive rebound
  245. Q1 8:59
    Celtics personal foul
  246. Q1 9:45
    +2
    Celtics makes two point jump shot
    7-5
  247. Q1 10:34
    Celtics turnover
  248. Q1 10:42
    Neemias Queta defensive rebound
  249. Q1 11:03
    +3
    Celtics makes three point jump shot
    3-0
  250. Q1 11:26
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  251. Q1 11:36
    Ausar Thompson turnover
  252. Q1 11:38
    Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
  253. Q1 12:00
    Celtics lineup change (Derrick White, Jaylen Brown, Neemias Queta, Payton Pritchard, Sam Hauser)
  254. Q1 12:00
    (Payton Pritchard gains possession)
Box Score
Celtics
PosPlayerPts
Pistons
PosPlayerPts

Celtics vs. Pistons: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Celtics vs. Pistons
  • Date: Monday, January 19, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Little Caesars Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Pistons favored at -2.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 223.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Celtics +116, Pistons -135

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Celtics: 41%
  • Pistons: 59%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Celtics 110-113 Pistons.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Celtics a win probability of 41%, while the Pistons have a win probability of 59%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Pistons are more likely to beat the Celtics in the NBA game at Little Caesars Arena on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Celtics vs. Pistons predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.